When will the Altseason take place?
Altseason (altcoin season) usually occurs in cycles related to the cryptocurrency market, especially after a Bitcoin rally. Based on historical patterns and the current market context, some indicators suggest that the altseason could happen sometime between March and June 2025, depending on various factors:
Factors to consider:
Bitcoin Halving (April 2024):
Generally, about 6 to 12 months after the halving, the market experiences a significant bullish push. If we follow previous patterns, the peak of the bull run could arrive between late 2024 and mid-2025.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D):
Altseason usually starts when Bitcoin dominance begins to fall after a strong increase. Currently, BTC has been dominating, indicating that altcoins have not yet exploded.
Liquidity Cycle:
First, money enters BTC → Then into ETH → Finally into low-cap altcoins. The market is still in the phase where Bitcoin and Ethereum are absorbing most of the capital.
Institutional Interest and Adoption:
Bitcoin ETFs have already been approved, and if Ethereum ETFs are approved in 2024, this could accelerate the altseason.
Historical Data from Previous Cycles:
In the 2017 cycle, the altseason occurred in January 2018 (about 9 months after the 2016 halving). In the 2021 cycle, the altseason occurred in May 2021 (about 12 months after the 2020 halving).
If the market follows a similar pattern, we could see a strong altseason between March and June 2025. However, this is not a certainty, as the market can change due to macroeconomic or regulatory events.
Conclusion:
Based on historical patterns and the current market situation, the second quarter of 2025 (April-June) is a tentative date for a strong altseason. However, it is recommended to monitor key indicators such as BTC dominance and capital flow in the market.
