If the lawsuit between Ripple and the SEC ends in Ripple’s favor, it will likely have a significant positive effect on the price of XRP. Here’s why:
1. Legal clarity: A positive decision would provide legal certainty for XRP, removing doubts about its status as a security. This could increase investor confidence.
2. Institutional Interest: If a favorable decision is made, large institutions that have so far refrained from investing in XRP due to legal uncertainty may begin to include it in their portfolios.
3. Increased Liquidity: Exchanges that stopped trading XRP (like Coinbase) will likely add it back, which will increase liquidity and accessibility.
4. Market Optimism: Cryptocurrency markets often react emotionally. A positive decision will be seen as a big win for Ripple and the crypto industry as a whole, which could lead to a rapid price increase.
Forecast
• In the short term: The price of XRP could double or even triple, depending on the level of enthusiasm in the market.
• Long-term: If Ripple continues to expand its partnerships and the use of XRP in real-world cases (such as international payments), the price could stabilize at significantly higher levels.
Example: After the interim victory in July 2023, the price of XRP rose by over 70% in a short time. In the event of a final victory, the rise could be even more dramatic.
