#市场调整策略 ASR-VC Indicator 4h Channel Status Update:

The yellow line still has not effectively held above it. Currently, the price has returned to the oscillation channel, which can be considered a minor level of consolidation. However, since the price remains in the upper area of the oscillation channel, the overall trend is still favorable for bulls;

The short-term target for the continued pullback is at the middle track, currently around 96500, while the rebound target for the price is at the yellow line, which is around 101500;

Returning to the idea in the quote, it was originally thought that there would be some resistance near the yellow line, but the judgment was incorrect. After a strong breakout, the price briefly oscillated before a false breakout, indicating that there was significant participation from futures in this process. Both the rise and fall have incentives from the news side, which indirectly suggests that the overall depth of the current market may not be as good as imagined;

What’s next?

First, the 4h channel has begun to turn upwards, so as long as the subsequent pullback does not fall below the middle track, the overall trend theoretically remains favorable for bulls. If the price accidentally breaks below the middle track, the theoretical pullback target will again reach the lower green demand area;

Personally, I believe that either the price should not break the middle track and restore the previous upward oscillation trend, or that this time, after breaking the middle track, it will accelerate downwards and directly breach the green demand area (92000), resulting in a truly deep pullback, at least to 86500, with a maximum limit of 74000, which would be considered a standard retest of the long-term oscillation range of the past 2024;