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noman_anjum90
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in bull run never short anything. wait to retest and long only
Amjad Pendu
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$BTC increase But I Am Don't Happy
Please BTC Help Me ๐ญ๐ญ๐ญ๐ญ๐ญ๐ญ๐ญ
#BTCNewATH #BTC500K #Btctopcrypto
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๐ Bitcoin vs. M2: Historical Correlation Analysis ๐น 2010โ2019 (Gradual M2 Growth) M2: Slow, steady growth. Bitcoin: Early-stage adoption โ volatile but upward trend. Correlation: Loose but developing. BTC reacted more to tech adoption and market cycles than monetary policy. --- ๐น 2020โ2021 (M2 Surge During COVID Stimulus) M2: Exploded from ~$15T to over $21T in just 18 months. Bitcoin: Rose from ~$5K to $69K (ATH in Nov 2021). Correlation: Very strong. Bitcoin acted as a hedge against fiat debasement and inflation expectations. ๐ This period cemented Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative. --- ๐น 2022โ2023 (M2 Contraction & Tightening) M2: Slight decline โ rare in U.S. history. Bitcoin: Fell from $69K to ~$15.5K by Nov 2022. Correlation: Clear again. Liquidity shrinkage reduced speculation and risk appetite. --- ๐น 2024โ2025 (M2 Begins Rising Again) M2: Recent uptick (as shown in your chart). Bitcoin: Recovered sharply, reaching above $70K before correcting. Correlation: BTC tends to rise with liquidity return, especially when markets expect future easing. --- ๐ Summary Table: Period M2 Trend Bitcoin Reaction Correlation 2010โ2019 Gradual rise Volatile growth WeakโModerate 2020โ2021 Massive surge Explosive rally Strong 2022โ2023 Slight decline Deep correction Strong 2024โ2025 Rising again Recovery & volatility ModerateโStrong --- ๐ Key Takeaways: Bitcoin thrives in liquidity expansion (rising M2). Tight monetary policy & M2 contraction = bearish for BTC. Market perception of future liquidity (not just current M2) is crucial for BTC price action.
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#TrumpVsMusk #BTC110KToday? $BTC This image illustrates a Bitcoin (BTC) market cycle psychology chart for 2024, suggesting that BTC has reached a cycle top at $120K, and the market is now in the โWeโre Hereโ phase โ typically associated with euphoria or peak optimism. Key Phases Highlighted: Hope โ Belief โ Euphoria ($120K top) The next projected stages are: Denial (misspelled as โDanialโ in the image) Panic Anger Depression Final Disbelief before possible recovery Interpretation: The chart implies we are at the peak of the cycle, and a steep decline is expected next. This matches classic Wall Street psychology cycle patterns, where emotions drive price action. Key Takeaways: If this projection is accurate, the worst part of the crash is still ahead. A recovery and new disbelief phase could follow after a prolonged bear phase. Investors should prepare for volatility and avoid getting trapped in emotional decisions.
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This image is a BTC Liquidation Heatmap from Coinglass, showing potential liquidation zones for leveraged positions over a 24-hour period. ๐ Key Observations: 1. Heatmap Colors (Purple to Yellow/White): Lighter colors (yellow/white) = Higher concentration of liquidation levels (more open leveraged positions around that price). Darker purple = Lower activity/liquidity. 2. Price Levels (Right Axis): The y-axis shows price levels, ranging roughly from 103,000 to 113,000. 3. Highlighted Zones (Green Boxes): Upper Zone (~110,000 - 111,000): Dense cluster of long liquidations. If price moves up, it could trigger a liquidity sweep โ a fast wick to liquidate short positions. Lower Zone (~105,500 - 106,500): High concentration of long positions' liquidation zones. If price drops, many leveraged longs may get liquidated here. --- ๐ Trading Implications: If BTC price rises sharply: Expect resistance around 110Kโ111K where short liquidations could occur. If BTC dips further: The 105.5Kโ106.5K zone could act as a magnet, possibly forming a local bottom if many longs are wiped out. โ ๏ธ Strategy Note: These heatmaps are often used by institutional players to predict and exploit liquidation liquidity. Watch these zones closely during high volatility periods.
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BTC Profits have surpassed $650B more than the entire last cycle. But as the third wave of profit-taking fades, liquidity dries up and momentum dies. This is exactly how Black Swans are born: When everyone thinks the top is safe, the real collapse begins. Stay ready, patience is your only shiel. #StrategyBTCPurchase #NEWTBinanceHODLer
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๐ Key Technical Observations: $BTC Pattern Formation Symmetrical Triangle: Price is compressing between lower highs and higher lows โ a neutral consolidation pattern. BTC is currently testing the upper resistance line of the triangle near $108,000โ$110,000. Support Levels Immediate support: $107,981 Key zones below: $105,513 $104,051 $97,670 Major support zone at $92,075 and $86,844 Resistance Levels Immediate resistance: $108,013 (triangle top) Breakout target: If broken, BTC could retest previous high zones around $115,000 and potentially aim for $120,000โ$125,000 region. Volume & MACD Histogram The histogram is slightly negative, suggesting bearish momentum has slowed but not yet reversed. A bullish breakout would need confirmation with increasing volume and histogram flipping green. --- ๐ฎ Potential Scenarios: โ Bullish Breakout If BTC breaks above $110,000 with strong volume: Target 1: $115,000 Target 2: $120,000โ$125,000 Confirmation: Daily candle close above triangle resistance โ Bearish Rejection If price gets rejected here and breaks below $105,000: Support retest at $97,670 Further downside to $92,075 or even $86,844 if selling pressure increases --- ๐ Strategy Suggestion: Aggressive Entry: Buy on breakout + volume above $110K Conservative Entry: Wait for daily candle close + retest above breakout Stop-Loss: Below $104,000 (previous swing low) Short Setup: On rejection at resistance with breakdown below $105K
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