According to Jinshi data reports, CME's 'Federal Reserve Watch' shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.7%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 85.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 14.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 0.3%.