According to Jinshi data reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 83.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 16.5%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 29.1%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 60.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 10.7%.