inflatio

The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady during today’s FOMC meeting, but all eyes are on the forecast update, which could shake up the markets.

Here’s what you should watch:

📉 Interest Rate Outlook

The dot plot — showing individual Fed members’ rate predictions — is key. Earlier this year, the Fed signaled two potential rate cuts. But if just two officials shift their stance, the median could drop to only one cut in 2024.

🔥 Inflation & Economic Projections

The Fed will also update expectations for inflation, employment, and GDP.

Inflation: Goldman Sachs predicts the Fed may revise 2024 inflation upward to 3%.

Unemployment: Still low at 4.2%, but softening.

GDP: Slowing to 1.5% from 1.7%.

🌍 Global Pressure: Tariffs & Geopolitics

While Trump-era tariffs haven’t heavily impacted inflation yet, future effects remain unclear.
The Israel-Iran tension could disrupt global oil markets — a factor the Fed can’t ignore.

📊 Market Expectations

Markets anticipate the next rate cut in September — exactly one year after the last half-point cut.

Goldman Sachs: Still projects two cuts but expects only one to actually happen.

BofA’s Aditya Bhave: Thinks the Fed may skip cuts entirely this year.

Evercore’s Krishna Guha: Predicts a "wait-and-see" approach with September as the next key moment.

🔎 Key Data Driving the Fed

May Jobs Report: Labor market cooling.

Inflation Prints: Still tame despite tariff risks.

Global Disinflation: Ex-Fed officials say the only thing holding the Fed back is future tariff uncertainty.

Sure! Here are relevant and high-engagement hashtags you can add at the end of your article for Binance Square:

#FOMCMeeting #BinanceAlphaAlert #FederalReserve #FedRates #inflatio