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The March FOMC meeting is approaching. If the Federal Reserve signals a faster rate-cutting process this year, could it trigger a new rally in the crypto market? On the other hand, if the Fed adopts a more hawkish stance, will the market experience short-term volatility?
ahmadumer
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Yesterday I wrote that the market has a large number of open shorts on #BTC , especially in the 96,000–97,500 USD range. The market typically seeks to clear this liquidity — meaning triggering the stop-losses of short sellers. We saw a fakeout to the downside yesterday, which invited more short positions — many traders were expecting a correction ahead of the upcoming FED decision. Today’s move upward is, in my view, not a sign of strength but a calculated short squeeze. Once that excess short pressure is removed, I expect a sharp drop toward the 90,000–92,000 USD zone, where #Bitcoin will likely consolidate until May 7, when the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. Only after that event do I anticipate a bullish breakout and continuation of the upward trend, especially if the Fed’s tone is dovish or neutral. Why this scenario makes sense: • Coinglass heatmaps show large short liquidation clusters above — a clear target before any drop. • Positive funding and rising open interest suggest the price is being pushed up artificially before a correction. • Market psychology: many traders shorted too early — this leads to a squeeze, followed by a strong drop that also takes out late longs entering out of FOMO. • Historically, before key FOMC events, markets tend to consolidate lower due to uncertainty. ⸻ Summary: This rally looks more like a short squeeze than real strength. I expect BTC to drop toward 90–92k and stay there until May 7. The real upside move may come only after the Fed decision. ⸻ Follow my profile to stay updated with my real-time observations, analyses, and market insights on #Bitcoin and more. If you found this post helpful, feel free to like or comment — it motivates me to keep sharing live updates. #BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #FedWatch #tradingstrategy {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT)
Yesterday I wrote that the market has a large number of open shorts on #BTC , especially in the 96,000–97,500 USD range. The market typically seeks to clear this liquidity — meaning triggering the stop-losses of short sellers.

We saw a fakeout to the downside yesterday, which invited more short positions — many traders were expecting a correction ahead of the upcoming FED decision. Today’s move upward is, in my view, not a sign of strength but a calculated short squeeze.

Once that excess short pressure is removed, I expect a sharp drop toward the 90,000–92,000 USD zone, where #Bitcoin will likely consolidate until May 7, when the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. Only after that event do I anticipate a bullish breakout and continuation of the upward trend, especially if the Fed’s tone is dovish or neutral.

Why this scenario makes sense:
• Coinglass heatmaps show large short liquidation clusters above — a clear target before any drop.
• Positive funding and rising open interest suggest the price is being pushed up artificially before a correction.
• Market psychology: many traders shorted too early — this leads to a squeeze, followed by a strong drop that also takes out late longs entering out of FOMO.
• Historically, before key FOMC events, markets tend to consolidate lower due to uncertainty.



Summary:

This rally looks more like a short squeeze than real strength. I expect BTC to drop toward 90–92k and stay there until May 7. The real upside move may come only after the Fed decision.



Follow my profile to stay updated with my real-time observations, analyses, and market insights on #Bitcoin and more.
If you found this post helpful, feel free to like or comment — it motivates me to keep sharing live updates.

#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #FedWatch #tradingstrategy
Wilhelmina Budde FVxW:
nice analysis bro
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Bullish
🔥🚀 BITCOIN BREAKS $96,000 AHEAD OF PIVOTAL WEEK! 🚀🔥 What’s Going Down: Bitcoin just blasted past $96,000, kicking off a critical week packed with Fed minutes, geopolitical flashpoints, and ETF verdicts Key Stats: Price Action: Broke above $96K after holding $94K support all week 24H Range: $94,300 – $96,450 Volume Spike: 28% surge in trading volume signals fresh institutional buying Catalysts to Watch: Fed Minutes (May 2): Any dovish hints could ignite another leg up. Geopolitical Tensions: Trade-war chatter and Ukraine updates driving safe-haven flows. ETF Decisions: Rumors swirl over SOL/XRP/DOGE spot ETF approvals—BTC ETF entries could follow. 💬 Your Move: Are you loading up at $96K or waiting for a pullback to $94K? Drop your strategy below! 🔁 REPOST if you’re riding the Bitcoin rocket! 👀 FOLLOW for live trade alerts and market-bending alpha. #BTC #cryptotrading #ETFSeason #FedWatch #BTCRebound $BTC $ETH $XRP  
🔥🚀 BITCOIN BREAKS $96,000 AHEAD OF PIVOTAL WEEK! 🚀🔥

What’s Going Down:
Bitcoin just blasted past $96,000, kicking off a critical week packed with Fed minutes, geopolitical flashpoints, and ETF verdicts

Key Stats:

Price Action: Broke above $96K after holding $94K support all week 24H Range: $94,300 – $96,450 Volume Spike: 28% surge in trading volume signals fresh institutional buying

Catalysts to Watch:

Fed Minutes (May 2): Any dovish hints could ignite another leg up. Geopolitical Tensions: Trade-war chatter and Ukraine updates driving safe-haven flows. ETF Decisions: Rumors swirl over SOL/XRP/DOGE spot ETF approvals—BTC ETF entries could follow.

💬 Your Move: Are you loading up at $96K or waiting for a pullback to $94K? Drop your strategy below!
🔁 REPOST if you’re riding the Bitcoin rocket!
👀 FOLLOW for live trade alerts and market-bending alpha.

#BTC #cryptotrading #ETFSeason #FedWatch #BTCRebound
$BTC $ETH $XRP

 
⚠️ ECONOMIC ALERT! Tariffs are driving up prices — and you could be footing the bill❗❗ The U.S. Federal Reserve just released its Beige Book, revealing that tariffs are raising business costs in all 12 districts, and many companies plan to pass those costs on to consumers. Key Takeaways: Input costs are climbing due to tariffs Businesses are adding surcharges or shortening pricing windows Many expect to raise prices Some are seeing profit margins shrink due to weak demand — especially in consumer-focused sectors Current Economic Activity: 5 districts reported slight growth 3 remained steady 4 saw mild to moderate declines What’s Shifting: Car and durable goods sales are rising as consumers buy ahead of price hikes Travel is down across the board Fewer international visitors Home sales ticked up slightly, but inventory is still tight Meanwhile, President Trump says the U.S. is profiting from tariffs and believes this strategy will lead to tax cuts, adding: "We won’t be the world’s laughingstock anymore." ‼️ Heads-Up: The next Fed interest rate decision is set for May 6–7. Current rate: 4.25%–4.5% #TariffImpact #FedWatch #TariffPause #BinanceHODLerSIGN
⚠️ ECONOMIC ALERT! Tariffs are driving up prices — and you could be footing the bill❗❗

The U.S. Federal Reserve just released its Beige Book, revealing that tariffs are raising business costs in all 12 districts, and many companies plan to pass those costs on to consumers.

Key Takeaways:

Input costs are climbing due to tariffs

Businesses are adding surcharges or shortening pricing windows

Many expect to raise prices

Some are seeing profit margins shrink due to weak demand — especially in consumer-focused sectors

Current Economic Activity:

5 districts reported slight growth

3 remained steady

4 saw mild to moderate declines

What’s Shifting:

Car and durable goods sales are rising as consumers buy ahead of price hikes

Travel is down across the board

Fewer international visitors

Home sales ticked up slightly, but inventory is still tight

Meanwhile, President Trump says the U.S. is profiting from tariffs and believes this strategy will lead to tax cuts, adding:
"We won’t be the world’s laughingstock anymore."

‼️ Heads-Up:
The next Fed interest rate decision is set for May 6–7.
Current rate: 4.25%–4.5%

#TariffImpact #FedWatch #TariffPause #BinanceHODLerSIGN
The upcoming Flash PMI data release at 1:45 PM UTC is indeed a critical event for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Here’s a breakdown of potential scenarios and how traders might react: Key Expectations: - Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: 49.4 vs. Previous: 50.2) - A reading below 50 signals contraction, which could weaken the USD and boost risk assets like Bitcoin. - If the actual number is worse than expected (<49.4), expect BTC to rally as traders price in potential Fed rate cuts. - Services PMI (Previous: 54.8) - A slowdown here could reinforce recession fears, further fueling crypto demand. Possible Market Reactions: 1. Bearish PMI (Weaker Than Expected)* - Bitcoin Bullish Case: - Weak economic data → Higher odds of Fed easing → Dollar weakens → BTC surges. - Could trigger a retest of $70K+ if risk-on sentiment returns. - Altcoins may follow, especially high-beta assets (e.g., ETH, SOL). 2. Strong PMI (Better Than Expected) - Short-Term Bearish for Crypto: - Strong data → Delayed Fed rate cuts → USD strengthens → BTC dips. - Possible pullback to $65K–$66K support before next move. 3.In-Line with Expectations (Neutral Reaction) - Market may stay range-bound until clearer Fed signals emerge. Strategic Takeaways: - If PMI confirms economic weakness: - Consider buying BTC dips with targets at $70K–$72K. - Watch for altcoin breakouts (e.g., ETH/BTC pair rising). - If PMI surprises to the upside: - Short-term caution; wait for a deeper pullback before accumulating. - Monitor Fed speakers for hints on policy shifts. Longer-Term Implications: - A deteriorating economy could accelerate Bitcoin’s "digital gold" narrative, especially with ETF inflows and institutional demand (e.g., MicroStrategy buying more BTC). - However, a strong USD rebound could delay the next major rally until Fed pivot clarity. Stay alert—today’s data could set the tone for June’s market trend!🚀 #bitcoin #PMIData #CryptoMarkets #FedWatch #tradingStrategy
The upcoming Flash PMI data release at 1:45 PM UTC is indeed a critical event for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Here’s a breakdown of potential scenarios and how traders might react:

Key Expectations:
- Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: 49.4 vs. Previous: 50.2)
- A reading below 50 signals contraction, which could weaken the USD and boost risk assets like Bitcoin.
- If the actual number is worse than expected (<49.4), expect BTC to rally as traders price in potential Fed rate cuts.
- Services PMI (Previous: 54.8)
- A slowdown here could reinforce recession fears, further fueling crypto demand.

Possible Market Reactions:
1. Bearish PMI (Weaker Than Expected)*
- Bitcoin Bullish Case:
- Weak economic data → Higher odds of Fed easing → Dollar weakens → BTC surges.
- Could trigger a retest of $70K+ if risk-on sentiment returns.
- Altcoins may follow, especially high-beta assets (e.g., ETH, SOL).

2. Strong PMI (Better Than Expected)
- Short-Term Bearish for Crypto:
- Strong data → Delayed Fed rate cuts → USD strengthens → BTC dips.
- Possible pullback to $65K–$66K support before next move.

3.In-Line with Expectations (Neutral Reaction)
- Market may stay range-bound until clearer Fed signals emerge.

Strategic Takeaways:
- If PMI confirms economic weakness:
- Consider buying BTC dips with targets at $70K–$72K.
- Watch for altcoin breakouts (e.g., ETH/BTC pair rising).
- If PMI surprises to the upside:
- Short-term caution; wait for a deeper pullback before accumulating.
- Monitor Fed speakers for hints on policy shifts.
Longer-Term Implications:
- A deteriorating economy could accelerate Bitcoin’s "digital gold" narrative, especially with ETF inflows and institutional demand (e.g., MicroStrategy buying more BTC).
- However, a strong USD rebound could delay the next major rally until Fed pivot clarity.

Stay alert—today’s data could set the tone for June’s market trend!🚀

#bitcoin #PMIData #CryptoMarkets #FedWatch #tradingStrategy
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Bullish
See original
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Bullish
$AAVE USDT BULLISH BREAKOUT SIGNAL – NEXT LEG UP? 🚀🔥 $AAVE is gaining momentum, currently trading at $182.27 (+7.67%), testing a crucial resistance zone. A successful breakout could push prices even higher! 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: $185.00 - $187.50 🔹 Key Support Levels: $177.50 - $170.00 Long Trade Setup 📈 🔹 Entry Zone: $180.00 - $183.00 🔹 Take Profit Targets: $188.00 / $195.00 / $205.00 🎯 🔹 Stop Loss: $172.50 If AAVE flips $185.00 into support, expect a bullish continuation towards higher targets. ⚠️ Risk Management: Use a stop loss to minimize risks, manage position size wisely, and secure profits at key levels. 🚨 Are you ready for the next AAVE breakout? Keep it on your watchlist! 🚀 #VoteToListOnBinance #FedWatch #ETHBreaks2k #StrategySmallestBTC #Write2Earn! $AAVE {future}(AAVEUSDT)
$AAVE USDT BULLISH BREAKOUT SIGNAL – NEXT LEG UP? 🚀🔥

$AAVE is gaining momentum, currently trading at $182.27 (+7.67%), testing a crucial resistance zone. A successful breakout could push prices even higher!

🔹 Key Resistance Levels: $185.00 - $187.50
🔹 Key Support Levels: $177.50 - $170.00

Long Trade Setup 📈

🔹 Entry Zone: $180.00 - $183.00
🔹 Take Profit Targets: $188.00 / $195.00 / $205.00 🎯
🔹 Stop Loss: $172.50

If AAVE flips $185.00 into support, expect a bullish continuation towards higher targets.

⚠️ Risk Management: Use a stop loss to minimize risks, manage position size wisely, and secure profits at key levels. 🚨

Are you ready for the next AAVE breakout? Keep it on your watchlist! 🚀

#VoteToListOnBinance #FedWatch #ETHBreaks2k #StrategySmallestBTC #Write2Earn! $AAVE
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#FedWatch Ripple (XRP) Ripple  XRP +10.60% has experienced significant volatility since the beginning of 2025, with moments where it dropped below the $2 mark. However, applications for physical XRP ETFs by WisdomTree, CoinShares, Bitwise, and other companies remain the focus of attention, attracting significant interest from major institutional investment funds. Additionally, technical analysis shows that the price of the XRP coin has had a weekly breakout above the all-time high (ATH) of $2 reached in 2021. This could be a sign of the start of the next parabolic price surge for Ripple. Some crypto analysts predict that the price of Ripple will achieve an impressive increase of 500% by 2025. Favorable conditions such as an improved legal environment and a large influx of institutional investors will have a very positive impact on XRP.
#FedWatch
Ripple (XRP)

Ripple  XRP +10.60% has experienced significant volatility since the beginning of 2025, with moments where it dropped below the $2 mark. However, applications for physical XRP ETFs by WisdomTree, CoinShares, Bitwise, and other companies remain the focus of attention, attracting significant interest from major institutional investment funds.

Additionally, technical analysis shows that the price of the XRP coin has had a weekly breakout above the all-time high (ATH) of $2 reached in 2021. This could be a sign of the start of the next parabolic price surge for Ripple.

Some crypto analysts predict that the price of Ripple will achieve an impressive increase of 500% by 2025. Favorable conditions such as an improved legal environment and a large influx of institutional investors will have a very positive impact on XRP.
#BTC走势分析 The current Bitcoin price is around $84,088.3, with a 0.49% increase over the last 24 hours.The market cap is approximately $1.66 trillion, with a 0.46% increase.The 24-hour volume is around $19.63 billion, with a 36.75% increase . Here's a brief overview of the current Bitcoin market: - *Price*: $84,088.31 - *Market Cap*: $1.66 trillion - *24-hour Volume*: $19.63 billion - *Circulating Supply*: 19.84 million BTC - *All-time High : - $109,114.88 (reached on January 20, 2025) #VoteToDelistOnBinance #FedWatch
#BTC走势分析

The current Bitcoin price is around $84,088.3, with a 0.49% increase over the last 24 hours.The market cap is approximately $1.66 trillion, with a 0.46% increase.The 24-hour volume is around $19.63 billion, with a 36.75% increase .

Here's a brief overview of the current Bitcoin market:

- *Price*: $84,088.31
- *Market Cap*: $1.66 trillion
- *24-hour Volume*: $19.63 billion
- *Circulating Supply*: 19.84 million BTC
- *All-time High :
- $109,114.88 (reached on January 20, 2025)

#VoteToDelistOnBinance #FedWatch
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Bullish
Missed Opportunity Missed Opportunity: $10, SHIB Coins Could Have Made You $219,990! Imagine buying $10, worth of SHIB coins when the price was low. When SHIB's price surged by 2200%, you could have made a profit of $219,990! Recent Scenario: Looking at SHIB's current price, it's back to where it started before the pump. What do you think? Would you buy SHIB now? Final Trading Decision: If you believe in SHIB, consider buying and holding it for a while. Always invest what you can afford to lose, and use the dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy to minimize risks. Key Takeaway -Buy what you can afford to lose. - Use DCA to minimize risks. - Consider spot buying and holding. $SHIB SHIB 0.0000129 +1.81% #BinanceAlphaAlert #BNBChainMeme #FedWatch #VoteToDelistOnBinance $SHIB
Missed Opportunity
Missed Opportunity: $10, SHIB Coins Could Have Made You $219,990!
Imagine buying $10, worth of SHIB coins when the price was low. When SHIB's price surged by 2200%, you could have made a profit of $219,990!
Recent Scenario:
Looking at SHIB's current price, it's back to where it started before the pump. What do you think? Would you buy SHIB now?
Final Trading Decision:
If you believe in SHIB, consider buying and holding it for a while. Always invest what you can afford to lose, and use the dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy to minimize risks.
Key Takeaway
-Buy what you can afford to lose.
- Use DCA to minimize risks.
- Consider spot buying and holding.
$SHIB
SHIB
0.0000129
+1.81%
#BinanceAlphaAlert
#BNBChainMeme
#FedWatch
#VoteToDelistOnBinance $SHIB
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Bearish
According to BlockBeats, IntoTheBlock reported a significant drop in Ethereum transaction fees this week, declining by 50%. This decrease is primarily due to a sustained slowdown in on-chain activity, leading to fewer transactions and interactions on the network. The reduction in network congestion has resulted in lower fees for users. This trend highlights a broader decline in Ethereum’s overall usage, which may impact its fee structure and network dynamics. As fewer transactions take place, the demand for block space decreases, further driving down costs. The continued decline raises questions about Ethereum’s current utility and potential future adoption trends. $ETH #FedWatch
According to BlockBeats, IntoTheBlock reported a significant drop in Ethereum transaction fees this week, declining by 50%. This decrease is primarily due to a sustained slowdown in on-chain activity, leading to fewer transactions and interactions on the network. The reduction in network congestion has resulted in lower fees for users. This trend highlights a broader decline in Ethereum’s overall usage, which may impact its fee structure and network dynamics. As fewer transactions take place, the demand for block space decreases, further driving down costs. The continued decline raises questions about Ethereum’s current utility and potential future adoption trends.
$ETH
#FedWatch
See original
Market Capitalization of Stablecoins:The market capitalization of stablecoins has surpassed 220 billion dollars, and with increasing liquidity on margin, this could contribute to the upcoming rise of the main market as soon as the overall sentiment shifts towards bullish. $BTC $ETH $BNB #BinanceAlphaAlert #FedWatch #VoteToListOnBinance #BNBChainMeme #BinanceLaunchpoolNIL

Market Capitalization of Stablecoins:

The market capitalization of stablecoins has surpassed 220 billion dollars, and with increasing liquidity on margin, this could contribute to the upcoming rise of the main market as soon as the overall sentiment shifts towards bullish.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

#BinanceAlphaAlert #FedWatch #VoteToListOnBinance #BNBChainMeme #BinanceLaunchpoolNIL
#FedWatch *Meet Nillion (NIL) on Binance Launchpool!* We’re thrilled to introduce Nillion (NIL)—the 65th project on Binance Launchpool! Nillion is a decentralized network that uses blind computing to keep data secure and private while being processed. *🔹 How to Get Free NIL Tokens?* From March 21, 2025 (00:00 UTC), you can lock your BNB, FDUSD, or USDC for three days and earn NIL tokens! https://s.binance.com/KjrB1nMu 📢 What’s Binance Launchpool? It’s your gateway to earning tokens by locking your crypto (like BNB or FDUSD) and receiving rewards! *How to Join?* 1️⃣ Log in to Binance and go to [More] > [Launchpool] 2️⃣ Scroll down to see available and past projects 3️⃣ Pick a project and start farming! 👉 Full details & step-by-step guide here: https://s.binance.com/1FN4iHFD
#FedWatch *Meet Nillion (NIL) on Binance Launchpool!*

We’re thrilled to introduce Nillion (NIL)—the 65th project on Binance Launchpool! Nillion is a decentralized network that uses blind computing to keep data secure and private while being processed.

*🔹 How to Get Free NIL Tokens?*
From March 21, 2025 (00:00 UTC), you can lock your BNB, FDUSD, or USDC for three days and earn NIL tokens!
https://s.binance.com/KjrB1nMu

📢 What’s Binance Launchpool?
It’s your gateway to earning tokens by locking your crypto (like BNB or FDUSD) and receiving rewards!

*How to Join?*
1️⃣ Log in to Binance and go to [More] > [Launchpool]
2️⃣ Scroll down to see available and past projects
3️⃣ Pick a project and start farming!

👉 Full details & step-by-step guide here: https://s.binance.com/1FN4iHFD
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Bullish
BTC#FedWatch *BTC update* Many people have started investing in crypto currency, which is why the crypto market is very down. The market is disturbing people so that they can get out with a small profit and then it will go up as usual. No market ever gives profit to anyone. Its job is to give profit to the least number of people and to cause loss to the most number of people. Donald Trump has included BTC in his country's assets, which has led to more people moving towards buying BTC, which is why the market is still under pressure and as far as traction is concerned, it will go up a lot.
BTC#FedWatch
*BTC update*
Many people have started investing in crypto currency, which is why the crypto market is very down. The market is disturbing people so that they can get out with a small profit and then it will go up as usual. No market ever gives profit to anyone. Its job is to give profit to the least number of people and to cause loss to the most number of people.
Donald Trump has included BTC in his country's assets, which has led to more people moving towards buying BTC, which is why the market is still under pressure and as far as traction is concerned, it will go up a lot.
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