btcusd

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) took a hit overnight following the Israel attack on Iran and at the moment the consequences of that action can't be quantified in great detail but on the long-term the bullish trend seems intact.
In fact it remains below the historic Pivot Growth Curve (PGC) that has separated BTC's peak pattern (green Arcs) from bottom and accumulation (red Arcs), and could be tested by next month.
Once broken, the real rally towards the Cycle's peak can start, with most previous studies we conducted showing that $150000 is a fair (if not modest) estimate.
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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is repeating almost to the exact point the 2023/ 2024 uptrend, as right now it is in the process of forming a Megaphone pattern similar to the one during December 2023 - January 2024.
Before that, both patterns started the uptrend when a 1D Death Cross formed the bottom. After the 1st Bullish Leg, a Channel Up on a 1D Golden Cross marked the transition to the 2nd Bullish Leg that eventually led to the Megaphone.
In 2024, when BTC broke above the Megaphone, it started the final Bullish Leg that peaked a little above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. During that process, the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals have been similar.
As result, aiming for the $150000, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext, is a solid target.
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$BTC

🕐 1-Hour (1H) Chart Insights
Current Price: ~$109,800
Near-Term Resistance: Price is hovering just below a Daily Supply Zone (~110,000–110,650), showing signs of hesitation and small rejections.
Price Action: There is a visible attempt to break above the minor consolidation, but rejection candles near the supply zone signal seller presence.
Bias: Neutral to slightly bearish unless BTC decisively breaks above the supply zone.

⏰ 4-Hour (4H) Chart Insights
Supply Zones:
Daily Supply at ~110,000–110,650: Strong resistance, marked twice on chart.
Demand Zones:
First: 108,000–106,000 (light blue): Could act as first bounce zone.
Second: 106,000–104,000 (merged Daily & 4H demand): Stronger support if breakdown continues.
Third: 102,000–100,377 (deepest, strongest zone): High confluence demand zone, ideal for long entries.

Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows still intact, but facing headwinds at supply.

📅 Daily (1D) Chart Insights
Trend: Bullish from late May, but stalling near Daily Supply.
Resistance:
Daily Supply Zone 1: ~109,700–110,650
Daily Supply Zone 2 (Wider): 110,000–112,000 (top resistance zone)
Support:
Clear 4H/Daily Demand Zones as seen on 4H chart — areas of likely price reaction.
Candlestick Structure: Current candle is a doji-like pattern, showing indecision right at supply.

📌 Summary

Immediate Resistance: ~110.6K–112K (Daily Supply Zone)
Immediate Support Zones (Buy on reaction):
108K–106K (short-term bounce)
106K–104K (stronger confluence)
102K–100.3K (major swing buy zone)

🧠 Strategy Notes (for traders)
⚔️ Bearish Scenario: If rejection continues from 110.6K+, watch for breakdowns toward 106K, 104K, or even 100K for better risk-reward long setups.
🚀 Bullish Scenario: Break and sustain above 112K can open gates toward 114K–116K zone.
🎯 Best Entry Zone: Look for reversal signals in 102K–104K demand range.
#BTCPrediction
#BTCUSD

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started June on a very promising note, recovering most of last week's losses and is potentially headed for a new All Time High (ATH). This however, should be no surprise as BTC has exhibited amazing strength during the month of June and onwards since 2013.
As this chart shows, the market has historically rallied on June, in fact it is the month that kick-started Bitcoin's final rallies towards the Top on its last three Cycles.
Based on the 2W RSI, which is ranging within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels, we can argue that the price action is closer to June 2017 than other Cycles. As to how high it can get to, we've analyzed that on other studies, the current analysis only serves to show you that historically we are set for a strong 'Bullish June Seasonality' effect.
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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has invalidated all bias calling for a deeper pull-back after May's new All Time High (ATH), as yesterday it broke above the previous ATH Resistance, invalidating the short-term Head and Shoulders pattern, while rebounding last week exactly on the dashed Lower Highs trend-line, confirming it as a Support level.
Within BTC's 3 year Channel Up pattern, we have seen this price action structure another 3 times. The minimum rise on such pattern has been +101% and that wasn't even a Lower Highs rebound. The other two that were exactly like the current formation, increased by a lot more.
As a result, we expect Bitcoin to complete a minimum +101% rise from the April 07 bottom, which translates to a clean $150000 Target.
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