📈 Current status and immediate context
Bitcoin is trading around 104,666 USD, with an intraday range between 103,597 and 105,532 USD.
It remains within a sideways channel between 100,000 and 110,000 USD, with typical downward fluctuations and recovery.
In recent days, technical funds around 102,000 USD have been observed, followed by rebounds towards 105,000–107,000 USD.
🔮 Projections for the weekend (Friday–Sunday)
1. Algorithm-based predictions
Sites like CoinLore estimate that BTC will remain between approximately 104,500 and 104,800 USD, with slight variations over the weekend.
Binance, in a weekly forecast, suggests a slight upward trend (~+5%) in the next month, projecting to reach around 105,100 USD, including the weekend.
2. Risks and dynamics of the weekend
Volume tends to decrease, which can increase volatility with wider movements due to lower liquidity.
Given the current geopolitical context (Israel-Iran conflict) and macro uncertainty, a cautious sentiment is perceived, although institutional demand (ETF, large purchases) is present.
3. Possible technical scenarios
Conservative scenario: maintain in a sideways range between 104,000–107,000 USD if there are no significant external events.
Bearish scenario: if support at 102,000 USD is broken, it could deepen towards 100,000 USD.
Bullish scenario: with positive factors (ETF, geopolitical calm), a rally towards 110,000–112,000 USD is within the possible range.
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