Solana's open interest has reached $5.55 billion, reflecting a 10.11% increase, while trading volume has surged by 24.28%, now totaling $12.6 billion.
Additionally, whale activity has intensified, and the likelihood of ETF approval is projected to rise to 77% by the end of 2025.
This week, Solana's derivatives market has experienced a notable uptick in activity. The recent data indicates that more traders are entering new positions in Solana (SOL), highlighting a resurgence of interest from both retail and institutional investors.
The Rise of Solana's Open Interest and Trading Volume
As reported by Coinglass, the increase in Solana's open interest coincides with a significant rise in trading volume.
The heightened market engagement has contributed to both open interest and turnover growth.
This trend suggests that some traders are positioning themselves in anticipation of a potential price movement for Solana within the coming days or weeks.
This development indicates a growing expectation for heightened volatility. There is an influx of capital into Solana futures and perpetual contracts as market participants either hedge their existing positions or speculate on potential price fluctuations.
Currently, Solana is trading within the range of $129 to $144, with analysts anticipating a breakout.
Whale Activity Indicates Long-Term Confidence
Recent data shows that large investors, or whales, are increasing their holdings in SOL, further supporting the evidence of inflows.
Additionally, Lookonchain has reported that Galaxy Digital has liquidated 606,000 SOL, valued at approximately $79.7 million. Of this amount, 462,000 SOL, roughly $60 million, has been staked.
This trend suggests a focus on long-term investment and a decrease in circulating supply, both of which can influence short-term price movements.
Furthermore, there has been a notable rise in the number of wallets holding over 10,000 SOL.
This week, analyst Ali Charts highlighted that the number of large holders has grown by 1.53%, increasing from 4,943 to 5,019.
An increase in the number of large wallets entering the market may indicate a rising confidence among significant market participants, he noted on X.
This trend typically corresponds with a more optimistic outlook for SOL prices, as large investors reduce selling pressure.
Technical Patterns and Key Levels for SOL Price
Crypto analyst Andrew Griffiths has observed that the Solana price has formed what seems to be a Cup and Handle pattern on the weekly chart over the past week.
When confirmed, this pattern is generally interpreted as a bullish indicator. The chart indicates that Solana's price recently reached a low of $123.55 and is showing signs of gradual recovery, with analysts establishing initial price targets at $139.80, $141.33, and $143.94.
Crypto analyst Ali Charts identifies $129 as the key support level for Solana's price, while $144 serves as the resistance threshold.
A breakout above $144 could pave the way for a rise to $150 and potentially $200, particularly if the current trend persists.
Nonetheless, a potential 'death cross' pattern has appeared on the SOL/BTC chart, indicating a downward trend in its performance relative to Bitcoin.
However, technical analyst Lordofalts suggests that a breakout from a parallel channel observed on the chart could alleviate these concerns.
Expectations for a Solana ETF have surged to 74%.
The introduction of spot Solana ETFs in Canada has further bolstered the asset's market presence.
These ETFs, which feature staking options, are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and have sparked renewed interest in similar offerings in the United States.
According to Polymarket, a prediction platform, there is a 74% likelihood that a U.S.-based Solana ETF will receive approval by the end of 2025. However, the chances of approval by July 2025 remain low, at just 24%.
Several asset management firms, including Fidelity, VanEck, Franklin Templeton, and Grayscale, have submitted proposals to launch Solana ETFs.
Although there has been little progress in this area, these filings reflect a growing acceptance of the digital asset among institutional investors, which could signal an impending upward trend.
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