QCPCapital

Professional traders are reducing their positions amid the decline of #BTC , and the demand from investment funds for the first cryptocurrency has reached its limit, as reported by #QCPCapital .
🟢 "Expected price fluctuations #биткоина for the upcoming month have risen to a significant level (indicator 50v). Institutional demand for the asset has nearly reached its limit. Over the past 14 months, the issuance of securities related to cryptocurrencies has accounted for approximately 19% of the total issuance of corporate securities"
#Launchpool #Megadrop
$BTC

Market analysis published by QCP Capital indicates that as volatility continues to retreat, risk assets keep rising. Since Bitcoin briefly fell below $77,000 last week, the price has surged by 15%, while other cryptocurrencies have generally outperformed the overall market. Throughout this process, concerns regarding U.S. trade policy and broader political uncertainty remain focal points for the market. Trump has hinted at taking further tariff measures before the April 2 deadline, but the market remains unclear about the specific scope, timing, and scale of these potential actions, so it is expected that the market will continue to move sideways before then.

In the short term, Bitcoin still has some upside potential, especially as companies like GameStop (GME) have incorporated Bitcoin into their treasury, further boosting market confidence. #QCPCapital

Bitcoin's Volatility at Historic Lows, but "Fireworks" Ahead

Bitcoin price volatility is at a record low, just 2% away from its all-time high. However, analysts from #QCPCapital warn to "beware of the calm", as the third and fourth quarters of this year may bring "fireworks" for the market.

Supporting Factors and Risk Warnings

Bitcoin's current stability is believed to be due to the market pricing in positive scenarios such as tariff delays, the FED cutting interest rates at the end of the year, and prolonged fiscal deficits. Continuous capital flows from ETF funds and corporate treasuries are supporting Bitcoin's price.
Notably, BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has attracted nearly $53 billion in capital inflows and holds over 700,000 Bitcoin (equivalent to 3.52% of the total circulating supply). If ETF capital flows continue, the market could enter a phase of tightening supply, leading to greater volatility and stronger upward price pressure.
Analysts also point out that the stock market continues its strong upward trend, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 reaching record highs, along with credit spreads at their narrowest since the March-April correction, indicating investor confidence.
However, the potential risk lies in President #DonaldTrump 's trade policy. If he implements aggressive tariff measures ahead of the August 1 deadline, this could negatively impact global growth and test the market's risk resilience.