May2025Data

#USCorePCEMay 🇺🇸 US Core PCE – May 2025 Updated

📅 Date Released: June 28, 2025
📊 Core PCE (MoM):

Actual: 0.1%

Forecast: 0.1%

Previous (April): 0.2%

📊 Core PCE (YoY):

Actual: 2.6%

Forecast: 2.6%

Previous (April): 2.8%

🔍 What Is Core PCE?

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. It excludes food and energy prices due to their volatility and reflects underlying inflation trends.

📈 Key Takeaways:

Inflation Cooling: May’s Core PCE YoY dropped to 2.6%, a further sign that inflation is gradually easing toward the Fed’s 2% target.

Month-over-Month Growth Slows: MoM core inflation rose by just 0.1%, aligning with market expectations.

Fed Policy Implications: The soft print reinforces market hopes for a rate cut potentially as early as September if the trend continues.

💬 Market Reaction:

📉 US Dollar: Slightly weaker as traders bet on rate cuts.

📈 Stocks: Modest gains in equities due to lower inflationary pressure.

📉 Bond Yields: Ticked lower on lower inflation expectations.

#CorePCESignalsShift #USInflationAboveTarget #May2025Data #USMarkets
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