M1

GM 🍜
Market Briefing..

China's M1 money supply is up, but retail sales have dropped by -0.9%, and the RRP (reverse repo rate) is at zero. This means the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has lost its momentum—at least for now, domestically in the US🤷🏻‍♂️🤬

Bitcoin is taking it easy on Saturday since institutions are off. "Taking it easy" means the closing price tomorrow, February 16th, won’t be too far from today’s closing price on February 15th, which ended at $97,287 at 00:00 UTC.🌊

As I mentioned yesterday, when Bitcoin closes higher, the next candle is usually green. Last night, Bitcoin nearly broke $99K.📈📈

I think I’ve discovered something new—just like all of you here, I’m always learning every day.😎RSI: 48☔

Market Outlook (UTC)
🟢00:00 – 07:00: → Green candles (This is due to China's M1 money supply increase, which also pushes altcoins up.)
🔴8:00 – 10:00: → Red candles (Short correction or profit-taking period.)
🟡11:00 – 15:00: → Chilling, low volatility
🟢16:00 – 00:00: → Wick formation (price fluctuation before settling)

If just using stimulus from a stable economy already causes inflation, imagine what happens when stimulus is taken from a declining economy—Bitcoin will pump hard next week... let see🚀🚀🌕🌕

Monday’s "early start" moves from Sunday, meaning today and tomorrow altcoins will perform well.🔥

The key is; If Saturday green, then Sunday will still green. and vice versa. Fundamental ALWAYS move the market, Technical is for timing the market.

$BTC $ETH #China #M1 #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto

BTC soars to 98K after 4 days wick🖐🏻😁

If M1 Goes Up, Bitcoin Goes Up.📉📈

I always say this—the world is connected. The ones holding the money are always the same, and the ones buying are always the same. And just like in any workplace, there are "bosses" running the show. You need to know who's got the money. 💰👀

People used to ask me, "Why do you always look at U.S. data?" My answer was simple: because that’s where the money is. But now, if the money shifts to China, I’ll start looking at China’s data instead—and this is where it begins. 🇨🇳

"But isn’t Bitcoin banned in China?" That’s an outdated way of thinking. Some people still believe Bitcoin only goes up when big players buy and down when they sell. But if that were true, it would be a Ponzi scheme. Bitcoin isn’t a Ponzi—it’s an asset class. 📊

An asset class means Bitcoin is now tied to gold, inflation, oil, stock indexes, and even global conflicts. It doesn’t just move because someone is buying or selling.

So what does China’s M1 Supply have to do with Bitcoin?

China’s M1 data shows how much cash is circulating. If M1 goes up, Bitcoin also goes up. Why? Because when the economy isn’t growing but liquidity is increasing, inflation rises—just like we saw in China recently. 🔥💸

Now, if Bitcoin can sit at $97K in the current economy, imagine what happens if things go south.

Why not look at M2 instead?

Well, China’s M2 has been rising for a year now, but M1 only started climbing in December 2024.

For the past four years, China’s been injecting liquidity, then pulling it back. Pump in 1.15T Yuan, then pull out 1T Yuan.

And what’s the result? U.S. liquidity is drying up—China played them at their own game.

Long live China. 😌🇨🇳🚀🚀🌕🌕

watch full of analysis this week here; MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY

$BTC $ETH #China #M1 #macroeconomy
source; @hoteliercrypto