Lichkinhte

📢 ECONOMIC CALENDAR ALERT – TONIGHT (13/05)

⏰ Hot time: 19:30 (Vietnam time)

🎯 Attention traders, the U.S. inflation news is extremely sensitive!

🔸 19:30 – INFLATION DATA RELEASE (April)

Core CPI (YoY): 2.8% ✅ As expected
Core CPI (MoM): 0.1% ⬇️ Lower than forecast (0.3%)
Overall CPI (MoM): -0.1% ❗️Unexpectedly low
Overall CPI (YoY): 2.4% ✅ As expected

🔴 Impact: VERY HIGH – Leaning negative for USD

→ April CPI is weaker than forecast, especially the overall consumer price index dropped unexpectedly compared to last month.

→ Reduced inflation pressure may boost expectations for Fed rate cuts.

⚠️ SUMMARY

U.S. inflation for April shows clear signs of "cooling down."

→ USD may drop sharply, gold and crypto could easily rally.
→ USD-related currency pairs may experience significant movements during the U.S. session.

#lichkinhte

📢 ECONOMIC CALENDAR ALERT – TONIGHT (05/05)

⏰ Hot time frame: 20:45 – 21:30 (Vietnam time)
🎯 Traders on #long #short should note, the market may experience strong fluctuations!

🔸 20:45 – COMPOSITE PMI & SERVICES PMI (S&P Global – April)
Composite PMI: 51.2 vs previous 53.5
Services PMI: 51.4 vs previous 54.4

🔴 Impact: High – Slightly negative
→ Both PMI indices decreased, reflecting a slowdown in growth in the services sector.

🔸 21:00 – EXTREMELY IMPORTANT DATA SET (ISM – April)
Non-Manufacturing Employment Index: 46.2
Non-Manufacturing PMI: 50.6 vs previous 50.8
Non-Manufacturing Price Index: 60.9

🔴 Impact: VERY HIGH – Multi-dimensional effects
→ Weak employment is evident (<50 indicates contraction), raising concerns about an economic slowdown.
→ However, the price index remains high, indicating that inflationary pressures have not eased – the Fed may continue to keep interest rates high.

⚠️ SUMMARY

Tonight features a “two-sided” data set:
The economy is slowing down (bad for growth)
But inflation remains high (bad for hopes of rate cuts)
→ The market may fluctuate strongly in both directions.

🔔 Recommendation
Avoid entering new trades close to the news release time.
Prioritize maintaining tight SLs with USD pairs, gold, crypto.

After 21:30, there may be a stable rebound if there are no unexpected news from the Fed.

#lichkinhte

📢 ECONOMIC CALENDAR ALERT – TONIGHT

⏰ Time: From 19:30 – 21:30
🎯 Special attention to those who are #long or #short!

🔸 19:30 – Building Permits (March)
Actual: 1.482M
Forecast: 1.459M
🟢 Impact: Average – Positive
→ Construction shows slight recovery, supporting economic confidence.

🔸 20:30 – Waller's Speech (Fed)
📣 Statements from Fed officials can significantly impact USD – gold – crypto.
🔴 Impact: High if there are unexpected hawkish/dovish signals

🔸 20:45 – PMI Manufacturing & Services Data (April)
Manufacturing (ISM): 49.3 vs 50.2
Composite PMI: 53.5
Services: 52.9 vs 54.4
🔴 Impact: High – Slightly Negative
→ All three PMI indicators are below expectations → signs of slight weakness in manufacturing & services.

🔸 21:00 – New Home Sales (March)
Actual: 680K
Forecast: 676K
🟢 Impact: Average – Stable
→ New home sales increase slightly, not creating a shock to the market.

🔸 21:30 – Crude Oil Inventories (Week)
Commercial inventories: 0.515M
Cushing, Oklahoma: -0.656M
🟡 Impact: Average – monitor oil price reactions
→ Oil may experience slight fluctuations, especially for those trading WTI or related energy stocks.

⚠️ SUMMARY
Tonight features a combo of "hard data" from PMI – housing – Fed speech – crude oil. Volatility may occur most strongly from 20:30 to 21:30.

🔔 Note:
Trade cautiously.
Limit orders close to the news release time.
Maintain reasonable SL, especially for USD pairs, gold, and crypto.
#lichkinhte

📢 ECONOMIC CALENDAR WARNING – TONIGHT

⏰ Time: From 7:30 PM – 9:30 PM
🎯 Special attention for those who are #long or #short!

🔸 7:30 PM – Trade Balance
Actual: -143.70B
Forecast: -147.85B
🟢 Impact: Average – Negative
→ Slight decrease in trade deficit, however still exerts pressure on USD and may negatively affect stock indices.

🔸 7:30 PM – Retail Inventories Excluding Autos
Actual: 0.1%
Forecast: 0.1%
🟢 Impact: Average – Positive
→ Slight growth in retail inventories, supports signals for recovery in the consumer sector.

🔸 8:00 PM – HPI Composite Index - 20 of S&P/CS
Actual: 4.6%
Forecast: 4.7%
🟡 Impact: Average – Slight Negative
→ Index shows slight increase, but does not create significant volatility for the housing market.

🔸 8:00 PM – HPI Composite Index - 20 of S&P/CS
Actual: 0.1%
Forecast: 0.1%
🟡 Impact: Average – Slight Negative
→ Modest growth, no significant changes compared to expectations.

🔸 9:00 PM – Consumer Confidence of CB
Actual: 87.4
Forecast: 92.9
🔴 Impact: High – Negative
→ Decline in consumer confidence may negatively affect the stock market and USD.

🔸 9:00 PM – JOLTS Job Openings
Actual: 7.568M
Forecast: 7.480M
🟢 Impact: Average – Positive
→ Increase in job openings indicates that the labor market remains stable and may boost consumer demand.

🔸 9:30 PM – Atlanta Fed GDPNow
Actual: -2.5%
Forecast: -2.5%
🔴 Impact: High – Negative
→ Forecast of a decline in GDP growth may raise concerns for investors and impact USD.
#lichkinhte