When examining Bitcoin’s price behavior following each halving (2012, 2016, and 2020), the pattern looks familiar. The market stalls, then starts rising, then at some point it accelerates. This has become so ingrained that traders built entire strategies around it. The key dates were treated like landmarks: day 150, the build-up; day 200, real movement; day 400, potential peak. April 2024 was full of these narratives. Post-halving talk was everywhere. I remember them all. None of them turned out right. Most of those calls weren’t analysis. They were guesses, framed as predictions. Some weren’t even that. Just repetition. People saying what they wanted to see. And when it didn’t happen, the tweets disappeared, the videos went private, like nothing was ever said. You can check the charts yourself. Just type bitcoin price after halvings and scroll. See how the old cycles rise. Then look at 2025. It doesn’t look the same. It isn’t rising. There’s no curve. Just sideways. In 2013, it was already gaining. In 2017, pressure was building. In 2021, it was already halfway to vertical. 2025 isn’t doing that. Not yet. Some still say it's delayed. That the pattern is intact, just slower. That assumes the pattern still applies. That nothing around it has shifted. What if the move already happened. In the ETF run-up. In the front-run. In the weeks when everyone kept saying we were early. What if early already passed. What if we missed it. That’s not drama. It’s what’s left when the talking stops. The kind of thought that shows up when you’re not trading, just watching. And still, mid-June comes up. Some say there’s a chance. Maybe they’re right. Maybe I am. But if it moves, don’t call it the beginning. It could just be the rest.
#HALVİNG #JuneBullRun #BullishOutlook $BTC