JPmorganAnalysis

JPMorgan Chase has fired a warning shot at stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL), forecasting a sharp correction for the stock that has surged nearly six times since its recent market debut.According to Bloomberg, JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Worthington has set a price target of $80 for Circle, which would mark a massive 56% drop from its current trading price of $182. The stablecoin firm, which went public on June 5, is still up about 487% from its IPO price of $31, but down roughly 39% from its all-time high of $299 reached just days ago on June 23.
Competition Could Eat Into Circle’s Lead
Worthington pointed to rising competition as the main threat to Circle’s explosive growth. He said the launch of tokenized deposit accounts, digital money market funds, and new players moving into the digital dollar space could quickly erode Circle’s market share. The analyst warned that switching costs in this industry are low, giving new entrants a real chance to scale quickly.
“We are witnessing the launch of tokenized deposit accounts, digital money market funds, and a host of new entrants looking to enter into the digital dollar market. The risk is that a few will succeed in taking enough share to reach critical mass in a business with low switching costs, allowing them to leverage the network built by Circle,” Worthington explained.
Retail giants Amazon and Walmart are reportedly among the companies exploring stablecoin issuance, adding to the competitive squeeze.
Barclays Remains Optimistic
While JPMorgan rings alarm bells, Barclays sees Circle’s future in a more bullish light. Barclays analyst Ramsey El-Assal maintains a price target of $215, arguing that stablecoins pegged to the US dollar will keep gaining traction as traditional finance (TradFi) firms adopt digital assets.
Circle currently boasts a market capitalization of over $40 billion and a lofty price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 234, underscoring the company's continued high valuation despite its pullback from June’s peak.
Mixed Views Highlight Uncertain Road Ahead
Circle’s stock was down about 39% from its June high when this report was filed, yet it remains one of the year’s standout crypto-linked IPOs. Whether JPMorgan’s bearish scenario or Barclays’ optimistic vision plays out will depend on how effectively Circle can defend its market share as the stablecoin space heats up.
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