This is based on basic economic principles:
scarcity and supply-demand imbalance.
Why Can Bitcoin Rise Parabolically?
1. Limited Supply
- Bitcoin has a maximum supply of 21 million coins, and about 19.7 million are already in circulation (as of April 2024).
- Every 4 years, the block reward (mining reward) is reduced by 50% (Halving), slowing the growth of new supply.
2. High Demand
- If demand (from institutions, ETFs, countries, or retail investors) continues to increase while new supply decreases, prices can skyrocket.
- Example: After the 2020 Halving, Bitcoin rose from ~$9,000 to $69,000 (2021).
3. FOMO Effect (Fear of Missing Out)
- When prices start to rise quickly, more people/institutions want to buy before it's too late, reinforcing the increase.
What Can Trigger Parabolic Movements?
- Adoption by Institutions
(example: Bitcoin ETF like BlackRock)
- Global Policies (e.g., Fed interest rate cuts)
- Uncertainty (Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset)
- Effects (like what happened in 2024, reducing new supply)
Correction Risks
Although the long-term trend is bullish, parabolic movements are often followed by sharp corrections (example: 2017, 2021). Therefore, risk management is important.
If demand remains high and supply tightens, phase could happen again!