CryptoCPIWATCH

Key Takeaways:February CPI inflation expected at 2.9% YoY, down from 3.0% in January.Core CPI forecasted at 3.2%, slightly easing from 3.3% previously.US Federal Reserve's rate-cut outlook may shift based on CPI data.Crypto markets, stocks, and US dollar fluctuations depend on inflation trends.US Inflation Data Expected to Show Cooling, But Risks RemainThe US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to release its February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Wednesday at 12:30 GMT, offering a critical insight into inflation trends. Market analysts anticipate a slight drop in inflation, which could influence Federal Reserve policy, the US dollar, and risk assets like cryptocurrencies.The headline CPI inflation rate is expected to come in at 2.9% year-over-year (YoY), down from 3.0% in January, marking the first dual decline in core and headline inflation since July 2024. The core CPI inflation rate, which excludes food and energy, is projected to fall to 3.2% from 3.3%.Monthly inflation projections:Headline CPI: +0.3% MoMCore CPI: +0.3% MoMAnalysts at TD Securities predict a broad-based deceleration in inflation, noting that housing costs and goods prices may decline, contributing to an easing trend.How the CPI Data Could Affect the Federal Reserve's Rate DecisionThe Federal Reserve has signaled caution on rate cuts, with Chair Jerome Powell stating last week that economic conditions remain "solid" but inflation must cool further before monetary easing is considered.Markets have already priced in 85 basis points (bps) of rate cuts in 2025, but persistent inflation could force the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance. On the flip side, a softer inflation print could solidify expectations of rate cuts starting in June or July.Impact scenarios:Lower-than-expected CPI (below 2.9%) → Fed rate cuts may be accelerated, USD weakens, risk assets rally (crypto, stocks).Higher-than-expected CPI (above 3.0%) → Fed maintains restrictive policy, USD strengthens, stocks and crypto decline.Trump’s Trade Policies Add Inflation UncertaintyWhile inflation may be cooling, President Donald Trump’s trade policies pose new risks. His administration has imposed tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico, which could trigger higher import prices and supply chain disruptions, potentially reigniting inflationary pressures.Historically, the Federal Reserve has dismissed tariffs as one-off inflationary events, but if these policies escalate, inflation could remain stubbornly high, limiting the Fed’s ability to cut rates.Crypto Markets and the Inflation ReportCryptocurrency markets remain directionless ahead of the CPI update, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $82,185, down 25% from its peak, and Ethereum (ETH) at $1,889, marking a 16.2% weekly loss.Crypto investors are watching inflation data closely:Lower inflation → Bullish for Bitcoin and altcoins as Fed rate cuts become more likely.Higher inflation → Bearish for crypto as Fed remains restrictive, boosting the US dollar.Current crypto market sentiment:Bitcoin: +0.57% at $82,185Ethereum: -1.75% at $1,889XRP: +1.6%Dogecoin: +2.5%Solana, Cardano: Slight declinesMeanwhile, CoinShares' Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report showed $876 million in outflows, marking the fourth consecutive week of digital asset investment outflows, further Market Volatility AheadThe US CPI report is set to be a major catalyst for the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, the US dollar, and risk assets like crypto and stocks. While inflation is expected to cool, Trump’s trade policies, supply chain disruptions, and market uncertainty could keep the Fed cautious.Investors should brace for heightened volatility across all asset classes, with crypto markets especially sensitive to inflation surprises and Fed rate cut expectations.

#CryptoCPIWatch The long-awaited Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for the US for April 2025 brought important news: inflation continues to slow down! The overall CPI figure dropped to 2.3% year-on-year, the lowest since 2021 and even better than the forecast (2.4%).
What does this mean for us, crypto investors?

Cryptocpiwatch: Inflation in the USA cools down to 2.3%!📉 What does this mean for the crypto market?
#CryptoCPIWatch The long-awaited Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for April 2025 has brought important news: inflation continues to slow down! The overall CPI figure decreased to 2.3% year-over-year, the lowest level since 2021 and even better than the forecast (2.4%).

No indicators. Just price action mastery. 📉📈🚀
Want to trade like a pro? Learn to read charts like a book.
Let’s break down the 3 types of must-know patterns:
🔄
REVERSAL PATTERNS
– Trend About to Flip! ⚠️
Double Top ⛰️⛰️ → Bearish rejection, expect a drop! 🔻Head & Shoulders 🧠🧠🧠 → Three peaks + neckline = danger zone! 🟥Rising Wedge 📈🔺 → Tight up = breakdown coming.Double Bottom ⬇️⬇️ → Bullish bounce loading! 🔼Inverse H&S ⤵️🧠🧠🧠⤴️ → Breakout boom! 🚀Falling Wedge 🔻🔽 → Compression = bullish breakout incoming! 🟢
📊
CONTINUATION PATTERNS
– Trend Takes a Breather ☕️
Falling Wedge 🔽📈 → Breaks up after a healthy pause.Bullish Rectangle ⬛️🟩 → Sideways, then up!Bullish Pennant 🚩📈 → Mini triangle before liftoff!Rising Wedge 📈🔻 → Trap alert! Often breaks down.Bearish Rectangle 🟥⬛️ → Sideways, then dump.Bearish Pennant 🚩📉 → Small pause before more pain.
🔀
BILATERAL PATTERNS
– Breakout Either Way ⚔️
Ascending Triangle 🔼📊 → Flat top, rising pressure — pop or drop?Descending Triangle 🔽📊 → Flat bottom, sellers piling up!Symmetrical Triangle 🔺🔻 → Squeeze time — watch for the breakout!
✅
Pro Tips for Traders
Reversals = Trend is tired. Time to flip.Continuations = Trend still strong. Ride it!Bilateral = Uncertainty. Wait for breakout confirmation!
Study. Practice. Dominate.
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