BitcoinFlagPattern

📈 OTC Weekly Trading Insights – July 3, 2025!

#Bitcoin #MacroUpdate #ETFFlows #MarketSentiment

🔹 Market Overview!

Last week, BTC was testing the upper boundary of a bull flag near $109,000. It was rejected (high of $108,870) and pulled back to find support around $105,250.

📰 Positive macro headlines — including:

U.S. optimism over the "Big Beautiful Bill"

Fed rate cut expectations

A ceasefire between Israel and Hamas
— boosted sentiment in traditional markets, pushing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new all-time highs.

📉 Meanwhile, BTC remains range-bound, and the BTC volatility index hit a 2-year low, signaling an imminent breakout.

⚠️ Our desk leans bullish, expecting BTC to break upward if macro conditions remain supportive. Still, we stay alert to downside risks, especially pending Fed decisions.

📊 BTC ETF Tracker!
Despite $900M+ net inflows over the last 5 sessions, BTC's price remains stable.

➡️ Why? Long-term holders may be selling into strength, neutralizing ETF-driven demand.

🧠 Strategy: Maintain cautious neutrality while watching ETF momentum closely.

🌎 Macro Data Highlights

US jobless claims lower than expected

Durable goods orders revised higher: +16.4%

PCE inflation in line (Core PCE slightly above forecast)

China PMI improves to 49.7

Eurozone & German inflation cooling

US PMI and JOLTS data strong

ADP Jobs report disappoints with a surprise drop

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