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Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle: Will History Repeat to $200K or $1M?
Special Analysis | May 2025 | ANAS_CRYPTO
Introduction
Bitcoin has followed a remarkable, recurring pattern known as the 4-Year Cycle — closely tied to halvings and market phases from accumulation to parabolic bull runs, followed by deep bear markets. This structure has repeated since 2011, offering valuable clues to market analysts and investors.
What is the 4-Year Cycle?
Halving: Occurs every 4 years, cutting the BTC block reward in half.
Bull Market: Prices rise rapidly after halving due to reduced supply.
Bear Market: Significant price correction lasting around 1–2 years.
Cycle Stages:
Accumulation (post-bear period)
Parabolic run (rising to ATH)
Distribution (peak volatility/stagnation)
Capitulation (market crash)
Historical Overview: What Happened?
Cycle 1 (2013):
All-Time High (ATH): $1,200
Bear Market Low: $150
Duration: 2014–2015
Cycle 2 (2017):
ATH: $20,000
Bear Market Low: $3,000
Duration: 2018–2019
Cycle 3 (2021):
ATH: $69,000
Bear Market Low: $15,000
Duration: 2022–2023
Each bear market lasted around 1 to 2 years, followed by a recovery phase leading into the
next halving-driven bull run.
2024–2025 Outlook: What Might Happen?
Based on current data:
Accumulation occurred during 2022–2023.
2024 Halving has already happened — acting as the trigger.
If history rhymes:
Bitcoin could reach $200,000 as a realistic cycle top.
Speculative potential: Blow-off top to $1,000,000.
Afterward, a new bear market could begin around 2026–2027.
Key Lessons for Smart Investors
History doesn’t guarantee the future — but it offers strong signals.
Watch on-chain metrics and institutional interest closely.
Focus on:
Macro trends
Whale activity
Wallet growth (e.g., wallets >1 BTC)
Conclusion
If the 4-Year Cycle holds, we are now in the middle of a new bull run. But wise investors will prepare both entry and exit strategies — because the crypto market is all about timing.
> "History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes." — Mark Twain.
#Bitcoin #CryptoCycle #BTC200K #BullMarket2025 #Halving #BinanceInsight #CryptoResearch #Bitcoin #CryptoCycle #BTC200K #BullMarket2025 #Halving #BinanceInsight #CryptoResearch #ANAS_CRYPTO
Introduction
Bitcoin has followed a remarkable, recurring pattern known as the 4-Year Cycle — closely tied to halvings and market phases from accumulation to parabolic bull runs, followed by deep bear markets. This structure has repeated since 2011, offering valuable clues to market analysts and investors.
What is the 4-Year Cycle?
Halving: Occurs every 4 years, cutting the BTC block reward in half.
Bull Market: Prices rise rapidly after halving due to reduced supply.
Bear Market: Significant price correction lasting around 1–2 years.
Cycle Stages:
Accumulation (post-bear period)
Parabolic run (rising to ATH)
Distribution (peak volatility/stagnation)
Capitulation (market crash)
Historical Overview: What Happened?
Cycle 1 (2013):
All-Time High (ATH): $1,200
Bear Market Low: $150
Duration: 2014–2015
Cycle 2 (2017):
ATH: $20,000
Bear Market Low: $3,000
Duration: 2018–2019
Cycle 3 (2021):
ATH: $69,000
Bear Market Low: $15,000
Duration: 2022–2023
Each bear market lasted around 1 to 2 years, followed by a recovery phase leading into the
next halving-driven bull run.
2024–2025 Outlook: What Might Happen?
Based on current data:
Accumulation occurred during 2022–2023.
2024 Halving has already happened — acting as the trigger.
If history rhymes:
Bitcoin could reach $200,000 as a realistic cycle top.
Speculative potential: Blow-off top to $1,000,000.
Afterward, a new bear market could begin around 2026–2027.
Key Lessons for Smart Investors
History doesn’t guarantee the future — but it offers strong signals.
Watch on-chain metrics and institutional interest closely.
Focus on:
Macro trends
Whale activity
Wallet growth (e.g., wallets >1 BTC)
Conclusion
If the 4-Year Cycle holds, we are now in the middle of a new bull run. But wise investors will prepare both entry and exit strategies — because the crypto market is all about timing.
> "History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes." — Mark Twain.
#Bitcoin #CryptoCycle #BTC200K #BullMarket2025 #Halving #BinanceInsight #CryptoResearch #Bitcoin #CryptoCycle #BTC200K #BullMarket2025 #Halving #BinanceInsight #CryptoResearch #ANAS_CRYPTO
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