BLINKY
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The traditional four-year bull-bear cycle is no longer in place; it has been replaced by a super slow bull market with a ten-year cycle.
My judgment on the trend of BTC is that the traditional four-year bull-bear cycle is no longer in place, replaced by a super slow bull market with a ten-year cycle.
1. Two major holders, MicroStrategy and ETF, together hold 1 million Bitcoins. From the drop from 110,000 to over 70,000, 95% of their BTC remains. Their intention to hold long-term against inflation is obvious, which is the main reason why it won't drop below 70,000 in the short term.
2. All technical indicators support a 50% drop for BTC. Altcoins are at their necks, but BTC isn't dropping. If it doesn't drop, it must rise; the bull market isn't over.
3. BlackRock's CEO said that the next ten years will be the net adoption period for Bitcoin. Institutional positions in Bitcoin are extremely low, averaging below 1%, and they are slowly building positions at lower prices, which also aligns with the inference that the bull market is still ongoing.
1. Two major holders, MicroStrategy and ETF, together hold 1 million Bitcoins. From the drop from 110,000 to over 70,000, 95% of their BTC remains. Their intention to hold long-term against inflation is obvious, which is the main reason why it won't drop below 70,000 in the short term.
2. All technical indicators support a 50% drop for BTC. Altcoins are at their necks, but BTC isn't dropping. If it doesn't drop, it must rise; the bull market isn't over.
3. BlackRock's CEO said that the next ten years will be the net adoption period for Bitcoin. Institutional positions in Bitcoin are extremely low, averaging below 1%, and they are slowly building positions at lower prices, which also aligns with the inference that the bull market is still ongoing.
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The 10th anniversary of Ethereum's genesis block is about to ignite a global celebration!
The Ethereum Foundation recently announced that the Ethereum network is approaching a historically significant moment—the 10th anniversary of its genesis block, specifically on July 30, 2025, at 23:26:13. This milestone not only marks Ethereum's evolution from a testing ground for blockchain technology innovation to a global leader in smart contract platforms but also witnesses its ecosystem's transformation from an early geek community to a vast network encompassing diverse groups such as developers, enterprise users, and investors.
In response to the enthusiasm for participation from the global community, the Foundation will launch the 'Global 10th Anniversary Celebration Plan,' with core content including:
• Global offline gathering collaboration: The Foundation will partner with core community organizations in various regions to host main venue activities, while also opening permissions to encourage communities, developer groups, or users from any region globally to independently plan their own celebration events, including formats such as technical seminars, ecosystem exhibitions, hackathons, themed parties, etc.
• Funding support mechanism: Through the Ecosystem Support Program (ESP), funding will be provided for eligible activities, with a maximum of $500 available for each event to cover basic expenses such as venue rental, material production, online streaming, etc., aimed at lowering the participation threshold for grassroots communities.
• Application timeline: All funding applications must be submitted through official channels of the Foundation by June 15, 2025. Projects that pass the review will receive funding in early July to ensure smooth preparation for the events.
This celebration is seen as a concentrated display of the cohesion of the Ethereum ecosystem. Since the launch of the genesis block in 2015, Ethereum has undergone key upgrades, including the transformation from PoW to PoS consensus mechanism and the implementation of Layer 2 scaling solutions, currently hosting over 3,000 DApps and on-chain assets valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. The Foundation hopes that through this global coordination, it will further stimulate community innovation and lay the foundation for technological iteration and ecological expansion in the next decade.
#以太坊的未来 #比特币市值排名 #BLINKY
The Ethereum Foundation recently announced that the Ethereum network is approaching a historically significant moment—the 10th anniversary of its genesis block, specifically on July 30, 2025, at 23:26:13. This milestone not only marks Ethereum's evolution from a testing ground for blockchain technology innovation to a global leader in smart contract platforms but also witnesses its ecosystem's transformation from an early geek community to a vast network encompassing diverse groups such as developers, enterprise users, and investors.
In response to the enthusiasm for participation from the global community, the Foundation will launch the 'Global 10th Anniversary Celebration Plan,' with core content including:
• Global offline gathering collaboration: The Foundation will partner with core community organizations in various regions to host main venue activities, while also opening permissions to encourage communities, developer groups, or users from any region globally to independently plan their own celebration events, including formats such as technical seminars, ecosystem exhibitions, hackathons, themed parties, etc.
• Funding support mechanism: Through the Ecosystem Support Program (ESP), funding will be provided for eligible activities, with a maximum of $500 available for each event to cover basic expenses such as venue rental, material production, online streaming, etc., aimed at lowering the participation threshold for grassroots communities.
• Application timeline: All funding applications must be submitted through official channels of the Foundation by June 15, 2025. Projects that pass the review will receive funding in early July to ensure smooth preparation for the events.
This celebration is seen as a concentrated display of the cohesion of the Ethereum ecosystem. Since the launch of the genesis block in 2015, Ethereum has undergone key upgrades, including the transformation from PoW to PoS consensus mechanism and the implementation of Layer 2 scaling solutions, currently hosting over 3,000 DApps and on-chain assets valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. The Foundation hopes that through this global coordination, it will further stimulate community innovation and lay the foundation for technological iteration and ecological expansion in the next decade.
#以太坊的未来 #比特币市值排名 #BLINKY
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70%~80% of accounts are nearly zero, no one is playing in the crypto world anymore. Someone from a certain exchange revealed that compared to six months ago, 70%~80% of accounts have nearly zeroed out and entered a state of dead accounts. The number of new users skyrocketed after Trump announced his token, reaching a peak and then plummeting sharply; now it’s only 2% of the peak. In just six months, nearly 80% of retail investors have fallen.
This is why leading exchanges are in a hurry; the bosses are personally stepping in to activate the market (desperately struggling). There are no users left, it's harsher than the major A-shares! The trading volume of the top ten stablecoins has dropped to a quarter of last December's bull market levels, hitting a seven-year low. Damn Trump, he drained the liquidity from the crypto world and burst its bubble.
The most intuitive data, a friend who was doing arbitrage, could earn over 2000 🔪 in daily arbitrage fees last year, but now with more subordinates, he only makes a little over 100 🔪 a day, it’s so cold that it scares him.....
#BTC #ETH #SOL #BLINKY
This is why leading exchanges are in a hurry; the bosses are personally stepping in to activate the market (desperately struggling). There are no users left, it's harsher than the major A-shares! The trading volume of the top ten stablecoins has dropped to a quarter of last December's bull market levels, hitting a seven-year low. Damn Trump, he drained the liquidity from the crypto world and burst its bubble.
The most intuitive data, a friend who was doing arbitrage, could earn over 2000 🔪 in daily arbitrage fees last year, but now with more subordinates, he only makes a little over 100 🔪 a day, it’s so cold that it scares him.....
#BTC #ETH #SOL #BLINKY
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Before Trump took office, everyone hoped that Biden would step down soon because Trump is the president who supports cryptocurrency. When Trump took office, the spring of the crypto world arrived, but after he took office, oh my, this is not a crypto president at all, this is simply a vegetable harvesting machine 🥹 Are people now missing Biden again? 😂
#BLINKY #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
#BLINKY #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
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Ethereum vs. Solana: Validator Centralization and MEV
Ethereum vs. Solana: Validator Centralization and MEV
Ethereum's validator centralization and staking dominance
Ethereum's proof-of-stake network has seen staking rights highly concentrated in a few large entities. As of 2023, most staked ETH is controlled by centralized pools or exchanges. For example, Lido Finance alone accounts for about 30-32% of all staked ETH. Combined with other top providers like Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance, over 50% of Ethereum's stake is held by four entities. This trend immediately raised early concerns after The Merge - by the end of 2022, over 60% of staked ETH was held by Lido, Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance. Overall, analyses indicate that a small number of participants wield excessive influence: about 25 entities collectively manage ~84% of all staked ETH. This centralization means that a few operators could influence or censor a large portion of validators, posing systemic risks to network decentralization and consensus. Although Ethereum has hundreds of thousands of validator slots, many are run on behalf of users by these large proof-of-stake services, thus centralizing control.
Ethereum's validator centralization and staking dominance
Ethereum's proof-of-stake network has seen staking rights highly concentrated in a few large entities. As of 2023, most staked ETH is controlled by centralized pools or exchanges. For example, Lido Finance alone accounts for about 30-32% of all staked ETH. Combined with other top providers like Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance, over 50% of Ethereum's stake is held by four entities. This trend immediately raised early concerns after The Merge - by the end of 2022, over 60% of staked ETH was held by Lido, Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance. Overall, analyses indicate that a small number of participants wield excessive influence: about 25 entities collectively manage ~84% of all staked ETH. This centralization means that a few operators could influence or censor a large portion of validators, posing systemic risks to network decentralization and consensus. Although Ethereum has hundreds of thousands of validator slots, many are run on behalf of users by these large proof-of-stake services, thus centralizing control.
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The White House will host the first cryptocurrency summit on March 7
Recently, a major announcement has stirred significant waves in the cryptocurrency field and the international political arena. According to an official statement from the White House, on March 7, the current U.S. President Trump will personally host the inaugural White House cryptocurrency summit and deliver an important speech at the event. This summit is of great significance, representing not only a concentrated display of the Trump administration's attitude towards the cryptocurrency industry but also marking an important step for the U.S. in the direction of cryptocurrency policy.
The lineup for this summit is impressive. Well-known founders, CEOs, and investors from the cryptocurrency industry have been invited to attend, representing the core forces in the cryptocurrency field. Their businesses cover key areas such as cryptocurrency research and development, trading platform operations, and blockchain technology applications, making them the main drivers of industry development. Members of the President's Digital Asset Working Group will also gather, coming from key government agencies such as the Treasury Department, the Justice Department, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). They bear the important responsibility of providing digital asset policy recommendations to the White House and assessing cryptocurrency-related matters, playing a crucial role in the government's formulation of cryptocurrency policy.
#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #BLINKY #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #BTC #
Recently, a major announcement has stirred significant waves in the cryptocurrency field and the international political arena. According to an official statement from the White House, on March 7, the current U.S. President Trump will personally host the inaugural White House cryptocurrency summit and deliver an important speech at the event. This summit is of great significance, representing not only a concentrated display of the Trump administration's attitude towards the cryptocurrency industry but also marking an important step for the U.S. in the direction of cryptocurrency policy.
The lineup for this summit is impressive. Well-known founders, CEOs, and investors from the cryptocurrency industry have been invited to attend, representing the core forces in the cryptocurrency field. Their businesses cover key areas such as cryptocurrency research and development, trading platform operations, and blockchain technology applications, making them the main drivers of industry development. Members of the President's Digital Asset Working Group will also gather, coming from key government agencies such as the Treasury Department, the Justice Department, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). They bear the important responsibility of providing digital asset policy recommendations to the White House and assessing cryptocurrency-related matters, playing a crucial role in the government's formulation of cryptocurrency policy.
#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #BLINKY #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #BTC #
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How will various tracks in the cryptocurrency industry develop under market reshuffling?
1. The core of cryptocurrency is the monetary trajectory in its current form. The role of blockchain for currency/assets is like the role of the internet for information, with the consequence that speculative activities remain the primary application scenario in the industry.
Although the speed and scale of speculative behavior will fluctuate, the most significant outcomes (and the largest sources of income) in this field will still come from speculation and the derived secondary application scenarios, such as lending, derivatives, brokerage traders, etc.
2. With Circle submitting its IPO application, the stablecoin track may be approaching its peak stage. In my opinion, interest rate cuts will become another domino effect impacting this field. Considering the dual pressures of channel moats and regulatory challenges, the next significant opportunity for stablecoins may not be so explosive.
Although the speed and scale of speculative behavior will fluctuate, the most significant outcomes (and the largest sources of income) in this field will still come from speculation and the derived secondary application scenarios, such as lending, derivatives, brokerage traders, etc.
2. With Circle submitting its IPO application, the stablecoin track may be approaching its peak stage. In my opinion, interest rate cuts will become another domino effect impacting this field. Considering the dual pressures of channel moats and regulatory challenges, the next significant opportunity for stablecoins may not be so explosive.
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