bitcoin

$BTC has slipped to $85,600, but with more than $600 million liquidated and liquidity vanishing, some now say $50,000 is "inevitable." If support cracks, expect a slide.
Context in a Nutshell
Bitcoin just flashed a red alert signal. As volatility spikes and liquidity dries up, what many hoped was a rebound may be a setup for a deeper slide, potentially all the way to $50,000. Traders, holders, and institutions: prepare for turbulence.
What You Should Know
Recent volatility and thin liquidity could drive Bitcoin down to $50,000, a dramatic fall from current levels.At the November monthly close, BTC plunged to around $85,600 before a shallow bounce, an event crypto insiders refer to as a classic "dead-cat bounce."Liquidations across the crypto market were steep: over $600 million in 24-hour BTC and crypto liquidations, underscoring the fragility of leveraged longs.Macro and market-structure headwinds are piling up: weak liquidity, shrinking demand, and a hangover from sharp drawdowns, conditions that could fuel further downside.Some top traders and analysts are already warning of deep downside, with strong calls for sub-$70,000 and even sub-$50,000 price levels if support zones fail.
Why Does This Matter?
Because this could reshape expectations for the next 6–12 months. If Bitcoin sinks toward $50,000, it would rewrite risk and reward calculations for institutions and retail alike, dampening bullish sentiment, increasing volatility, and accelerating consolidation across the crypto market. For many, what was a bullish opportunity will turn into a harsh survival test.
Bitcoin is wobbling while flashing all the danger lights. If support fails, $50,000 may be the destination rather than the prediction. Stay cautious.
#bitcoin #crypto #ETH $BNB $ETH

$BTC descended to $85,500 during the Asia trading session on Monday, December 1, a price action that also saw $656 million in long positions liquidated and the bear flag broken, with the path pointing to $67,700 if support cracks. Brace for volatility.
Context in a Nutshell
Bitcoin's recent tumble to $85,500 wasn't just a minor pullback; it triggered hundreds of millions in liquidations and flipped key technicals bearish. With structural risk mounting, the path downward may still be long.
Bitcoin dropped sharply to $85,500 in early Asian trading, a 5%+ one-day decline that wiped out recent gains and triggered heavy liquidations across derivatives markets.Estimates suggest roughly $656 million in longs were liquidated during the move, underscoring how fragile the long side has become.The drop extended the drawdown from Bitcoin's October 6 high of $126,000 to more than 30%.Technically, the fall validated a "bear flag" breakdown, a bearish continuation pattern. If the pattern runs its course, the measured-move target drops to $67,700.
Why Does This Matter?
This price action is critical because it isn't just volatility per se; it also carries an element of structural breakdown. When long liquidation coincides with bearish chart patterns and macro stress, markets don't just wobble: they crash. For anyone holding or trading Bitcoin now, risk is real and growing.
Bitcoin's bounce is gone. If $85,000 fails to hold, the next major low could be a lot uglier and a lot deeper.
#bitcoin #crypto $ETH $BNB

Every cycle has a moment where the charts look broken, the sentiment collapses, and even the strongest believers start doubting their own conviction. The last few days have delivered exactly that moment. Bitcoin’s capitulation metrics, the same ones that flashed near the bottom in 2018, the Covid crash in 2020, and the post-FTX panic in late 2022, have lit up again. And whenever these indicators spike into extreme territory, it has usually signaled not the beginning of a deeper crash, but the final flush before the next expansion phase.

Today, Bitcoin once again slipped into the zone where traders panic, long-term investors start quietly accumulating, and the data shows stress at levels we only see during major market resets. Even though the market feels heavy and unpredictable, the underlying signals tell a different story. They tell a story of a market that is capitulating, resetting leverage, and preparing itself for the next macro move. This is not wishful thinking; it’s supported by real on-chain behaviour, liquidity patterns, and the psychology of market cycles.

Capitulation is not about price alone. It is about behaviour. And the behaviour we’re seeing now is textbook capitulation.

Funding rates have flipped deeply negative, leverage has been wiped out across multiple exchanges, and short-term holders are selling at a loss in a way we only see during forced de-risking events. Even the market structure shows signs of exhaustion selling rather than trend reversal, something long-term Bitcoin followers understand very well. The same pattern played out before every major recovery.

When you zoom out and look beyond the noise, you see that Bitcoin dominance has quietly climbed near decade highs, sitting close to 60 percent. During corrections like this, capital runs away from risk and back into the core engine of the entire crypto market. It’s a protective migration, not a sign of collapse. Historically, whenever dominance rises this sharply during a flush, it marks the end of a risk-off phase, not the beginning of a new downtrend. Eventually, this rotation sets the foundation for stronger flows into altcoins, but Bitcoin always leads the shift.

There is also a larger macro story unfolding. The U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve have started signalling conditions that could push the market toward a rate cut sooner than expected. The liquidity environment is no longer aggressively restrictive. The bond market has begun pricing in softer monetary policy, and even the most conservative analysts have started admitting that the Fed is closer to cutting than hiking. Whenever this macro backdrop aligns with Bitcoin capitulation, it creates one of the strongest setups for a recovery. This exact combination appeared in late 2018 and again in 2020 just before explosive upside.

People forget that markets don’t bottom on good news. They bottom on fear, exhaustion, and forced selling. And that’s exactly what the last few days have looked like. The same traders who were shouting about ETFs, institutional adoption, and supply shock a few weeks ago are now convinced that Bitcoin is finished. This shift from euphoria to despair is not random; it is the emotional swing that defines the bottoming process. Smart money knows this and steps in quietly, without noise, without social media excitement.

Another overlooked factor is miner behaviour. Miners have started selling aggressively, not because they are bearish, but because higher difficulty, reduced margins, and the recent volatility have created pressure. Historically, miner capitulation has always been one of the strongest bottom signals for Bitcoin. When miners are stressed, it indicates a temporary equilibrium reset. Once that phase passes, the market often rebounds in a powerful way due to the reduced selling pressure.

There is also a psychological layer here. For months, traders have been conditioned to expect straight-line price action. The market spent so much time grinding up that any sudden drop feels catastrophic. But Bitcoin has always operated in waves. It rises, it shakes out, it climbs again, and it tests conviction at every stage. This is part of the natural rhythm of a decentralized asset that is still emerging as a macro commodity. What we are seeing now is not the end of the trend but the cleansing phase that prepares the system for its next leg.

On-chain data also shows that long-term holders remain unbothered. Their supply has barely moved, and in some cases has even increased as weaker hands exit. Long-term holders have seen these cycles repeatedly and understand the deeper structure. They accumulate when the sentiment feels cold and start trimming only when the market becomes euphoric again. Their behaviour is one of the clearest signals that the market is closer to a recovery than a collapse.

Even the global liquidity picture is shifting faster than people think. Major banks are exploring Bitcoin custody, ETFs continue absorbing supply, and several large institutions have started discussing crypto as a macro hedge again. This kind of narrative does not appear during bear markets. It appears during transitional phases when the market is preparing for something bigger. On the surface, the price action may look weak, but the fundamentals underneath are strengthening, not weakening.

If you look at previous cycles, every major rally began with a capitulation zone just like this one. The 2019 rally started after an aggressive sell-off that felt like the end. The 2020 rally started after a panic-driven crash that had many doubting Bitcoin’s entire future. Even the 2023 recovery began after a deep reset when everyone believed the market was dead. These resets are not bugs in the system; they are features. They shake out leveraged positions, redistribute supply, and create healthier structures for the next move.

It’s also important to acknowledge the emotional bias of the market right now. Fear is loud, while accumulation is silent. People posting every negative chart get more engagement than those quietly buying the dip. But if you study smart money behaviour, it has always been the opposite: noise at the bottom, silence at the top. What we’re seeing today fits perfectly into that historical rhythm.

This doesn’t mean the recovery will be instant. Markets need time to stabilize after a flush. Volatility remains high, and sentiment will take time to heal. But the signs of capitulation are already visible. Short liquidations, negative funding, long-term holder patience, miner stress, and dominance rotation are all flashing the same message: the panic is temporary, but the setup is long-term constructive.

When the dust settles, this drop may be remembered not as the beginning of a downtrend but as the final shakeout before Bitcoin enters its next macro stage. A stage defined not by hype, but by maturity, institutional flows, and real liquidity. A stage where Bitcoin behaves less like a speculative asset and more like a macro commodity. A stage where corrections are viewed as opportunities, not threats.

The market is offering that opportunity right now. It feels uncomfortable, uncertain, and heavy. But this is the same emotional profile that has preceded every major expansion phase in Bitcoin’s history. Capitulation is never clean. It never feels good in real time. But it is one of the most powerful signals the market has, and today, it is flashing again.

If you zoom out, this is not the end of the story. It’s the part of the story where the main character faces the biggest challenge, and everyone thinks the journey is over. But in every cycle, this moment becomes the turning point. Bitcoin thrives in these moments. It always has. And once again, the market may be standing right at that turning point, ready to surprise everyone who gave up too early.
#bitcoin
#CryptoIn401k
#BTC86kJPShock

Many people like you are asking these days, Will Bitcoin recover before the year 2025? And is $130K a realistic target? Let's break it down.
The recent drop of #BTC , so-called Red October, is not necessarily the bear market in its entirety. Others refer to it as a mid-cycle reset and not the bull run. $BTC has historically recovered well following such resets.
Here’s why a comeback is on the table:
The demand right now is not any weaker, institutional demand, #ETF flows, and long-term investors are still dedicated.Macro risks are easing. Part of the geopolitical tension could be eased and a cooling trade war provides tailwinds.November is historically one of the strongest months of the year as the average returns on Bitcoin are positive, approximately 42% in the last decade.
On the other side, $130K isn’t a sure thing:
That most basic of all requirements, institutional demand, and ETF flow, and long-term investment, are all loyal.Macro risks are easing. Some cooling in the trade war and a little positive development in the geopolitical tensions might provide tailwinds.Traditionally, November is one of the strongest months in the history of Bitcoin with 42% on average returns throughout the ten years.

My Opinion:
 Yes, #bitcoin is highly likely to recover by the year-end. But $130K? That's optimistic. I am inclined to a 110K-130K completion with 130K as the maximum in case of a really successful outcome. More likely, in more conservative planning, it will be $100K-120K.

Bitcoin’s decline intensified today as sellers fully reclaimed market control, wiping out recent gains and pushing BTC below the crucial $88,000 level. According to market data reviewed by CryptosNewss, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has dropped over 5 percent within hours, signaling renewed bearish pressure across the market.
The correction began shortly after Bitcoin failed to sustain momentum above the $92,000 resistance zone. This triggered a sharp fall below $90,500 and $90,000, with BTC breaking a key bullish trend line at $89,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair, based on Kraken data.
A fresh low formed at $86,500, where the price is now consolidating. BTC is trading well below both the $90,000 mark and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Key Resistance Zones Ahead
Bitcoin must break above $87,850 to attempt any recovery. The next significant resistance lies at $89,200, aligning with the 50 percent Fib retracement of the fall from $91,928 to $86,500.
If BTC successfully closes above $89,500, buyers may attempt to retest $90,650, followed by $91,500, and eventually the $92,000–$92,500 barrier.
Deeper Losses Likely if Support Fails
If Bitcoin fails to reclaim $87,800, analysts warn of another leg downward.Key support levels include:
$86,500 – Immediate support$86,000 – First major support$85,500 – Next critical level$83,500 – Potential short-term downside target$82,200 – Major support, beneath which sharper declines may accelerate
Technical indicators confirm bearish pressure:
MACD shows increasing momentum in the downside zoneRSI remains below 50, signaling weak buyer strength
Market volatility is expected to persist as traders react to global macro pressures and fading bullish momentum.
The post appeared first on CryptosNewss.com
#BTCRebound90kNext? #bitcoin $BTC