Recently, someone made a bold claim: âWeâre already in phase 4 of the current bull run.â Wait, what?! Are we seriously near the end already? Does this mean no more mind-blowing 10,000x gains like those legendary altcoin moonshots?
At first, I thought it was too early to say weâve entered phase 4. After all, Bitcoin is still trading below $100,000, and the market sentiment hasnât turned euphoric yet. But after diving deeper, I started to see their point.
Looking at Bitcoinâs dominance, which currently sits at 55.6% according to CoinMarketCap, itâs clear the king of crypto is casting a long shadow over the market. When Bitcoin claims such a large chunk of the total market cap, itâs no surprise that most altcoins are struggling to keep up. Right now, many are showing bearish trends.
So, whatâs phase 4?
This stage of a bull run typically involves consolidation and distributionâa moment where the market pauses, catches its breath, and sets the stage for the final push upward. If we are indeed in phase 4, then a period of altcoin rallies might be right around the corner.
Take the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, for example. Currently sitting at 79, it suggests that the market sentiment is neutralânot overly bullish or bearish. In such a state, altcoins often struggle to gain momentum. On top of that, the Altcoin Season Index is at 73, which means Bitcoin is outperforming the majority of altcoins. Itâs like Bitcoin is the star of the show, drowning out everyone else.
But hereâs the silver lining: markets donât stay in one phase forever. A breather during phase 4 could be the perfect setup for altcoins to shine in the next leg of the bull run. While we may not see astronomical 10,000x returns, thereâs still significant potential for some serious gains.
The crypto market has a way of surprising us, and the party isnât over yet. If anything, it feels like the real excitement is just getting started.
Stay sharp, stay optimistic, and donât let short-term noise cloud the bigger picture. The best might still be ahead.
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