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It’s been 372 days since the $BTC halving, and historically, the peak happens around day 400. ⏳

👀 What’s next?

$BTC is moving towards a huge breakout!
Altcoins market cap is set to skyrocket, potentially hitting a $15 TRILLION in this cycle! 💰

Get ready for an exciting ride as the crypto market heats up 🔥!

According to Çağnur Cessur in a recent post on X, Polkadot (DOT) has been consistently trading within a clearly defined black channel on the monthly chart. This channel is formed by well-established horizontal support and resistance levels, which have been tested numerous times over the past 4 to 5 years.
The range, spanning from $4 on the lower end to around $12 at the top, has effectively boxed in DOT’s price action, shaping a long-term sideways market structure. A clear move beyond this 5-year range, especially on strong volume, could mark the beginning of a new trend, either into price discovery or deeper support levels.
Analysing Price Action Within The Channel
Cessur emphasized in his recent analysis that the green channel shown on the Polkadot chart represents a downtrend that has been in place for nearly four years. This trend has consistently guided the broader market structure, acting as a long-term resistance. However, he noted that if DOT manages to break above this channel, it could set the stage for a major trend reversal to new highs in the months ahead.
He also drew attention to DOT’s short-term outlook, where a red falling channel on the weekly timeframe has just been breached to the upside. According to Cessur, this development is a sign of potential bullish continuation, positioning DOT as one of the altcoins to start an increase.

The analyst concluded that if the asset continues to follow the multi-year pattern of ranging from $4 to $12, another climb toward the top of this range seems likely. Most importantly, if the weekly candle closes above $4.70, he noted that the chances of seeing a swift move toward $10 could increase significantly, supported by growing bullish momentum and historical price behavior.
Bear Case: Losing $4 Might Send Polkadot To All-Time Lows
The bear case for Polkadot revolves around the critical $4 support level, which has been pivotal in maintaining the altcoin’s price structure. If DOT loses the $4 mark, it might signal a deeper bearish move. This would invalidate recent bullish hopes and raise the potential for further declines as market sentiment shifts to a more risk-averse stance.
Such a drop would suggest that the upward momentum observed in recent months could be a false rally, with DOT’s price unable to maintain its position above key support levels. Its failure to hold above $4 may prompt heightened selling pressure, especially when broader market conditions worsen or there’s a loss of confidence in Polkadot’s long-term prospects.
Additionally, a move below this critical support would raise the probability of a retest of all-time lows, which would be a significant bearish development for the token. In this scenario, patience and strategic re-entry points would become key factors for short and long-term holders.

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
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Prominent YouTuber Lark Davies is pointing to major Cardano upside as network development accelerates, says think bigger.
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Speaking to his audience of over 630,000 subscribers on April 24, Davies emphasized that Cardano achieved a $90 billion market cap in the previous cycle without smart contracts or widespread application usage.
Now, with smart contracts fully live and real-world use cases emerging, Davies suggested the blockchain’s users should think bigger than in the previous cycle.

The previous bull run saw Cardano move from below $1.2 to reach its highest price level at $3.09. At the same time, its market cap topped above $90 billion before plummeting and is now at around $25 billion today.
Cardano Exceeds 130,000 Smart Contracts
For context, according to TapTools data, Cardano has now exceeded 130,000 smart contracts deployed on its mainnet, indicating a sharp rise in development activity. 

Smart contracts could contribute to a surge in Cardano’s market capitalization by expanding the blockchain’s utility and application range. For context, smart contracts enable the development of decentralized applications (dApps) across sectors like decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), gaming, and supply chain management.
As a result, increased activity typically correlates with higher on-chain volumes, greater total value locked (TVL) in DeFi, and expanding user bases — all of which can strengthen a blockchain’s economic value.
Other Factors That Could See Cardano Surging
In addition to the expanding smart contract ecosystem, network stability has become a defining feature for Cardano.
Frederik Gregaard, CEO of the Cardano Foundation, reported that the blockchain has gone seven years without experiencing a single failure. According to Gregaard, Cardano maintains the most code changes compared to other networks, without missing a block since its launch in 2017.
Moreover, speculation is intensifying around a potential spot ADA exchange-traded fund (ETF). Following the appointment of Paul Atkins as the new chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), optimism surrounding crypto ETF approvals has grown.
Supporting this trend, data from prediction market Polymarket shows the probability of an ADA ETF approval in 2025 has climbed to 46%, suggesting mounting anticipation in the community.

Key Technical Levels Following Cardano Breakout
While these fundamental developments gather momentum, analysts are observing bullish signals for Cardano’s price. Justin Wu noted that ADA recently broke out of a descending wedge pattern that had formed since February 2025. This pattern, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, had kept downward pressure on prices until volatility tightened near its apex.
Notably, between April 11 and April 12, ADAgained over 8% as the breakout unfolded, often seen as a positive indicator for future price action. However, after the initial surge, Cardano entered a period of consolidation, holding steady above a critical support level of approximately $0.51.
Building on this movement, Wu identified two major resistance points to watch. The first sits at $1.2456, with a second resistance target at $1.4642 if bullish momentum continues.
DisClamier:
This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect @Lachakari_Crypto opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. @Lachakari_Crypto is not responsible for any financial losses.
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