财经解读

Youmi's morning pancake idea is around 70,000. The current pancake has sufficient energy and is in a trend of a second decline. The rebound of pancake is not strong enough to stabilize at the 70,000 mark. In the afternoon, Youmi suggested that pancake can continue to be bearish to around 68,500, and pay attention to the support level of 68,000 below.

Auntie around 2520, target 2450#以太坊ETF通过 #比特币政策 #财经解读

From the four-hour K-line and daily line, both are showing continuous declines, especially the daily line of Bitcoin which has shown a downtrend of six consecutive red candles. Similarly, Ethereum is also experiencing a downtrend with five consecutive red candles. Therefore, our morning strategy remains focused on positioning for a rebound at high levels.

Personal operation suggestions:
Bitcoin: 69000-69500 range Target 67000-67500
Ethereum: 2480-2500 range Target 2380-2400 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #比特币政策 #财经解读

2024.4.10 Macro Analysis

Good morning, brothers. The current market situation is very clear. In essence, it is a cycle between a sharp drop and a rebound and a sharp drop in economic data. There was a sharp drop before the release of economic data, and then BTC rebounded strongly after the sharp drop. After BTC rebounded strongly, the expectation of economic data release came again, and it began to fall again. The sharp drop and rebound show that the buying power at the support level is still good. Economic data and speeches by Fed officials will lead to a drop. It shows that the market is pessimistic about interest rate cuts again and again.

Last night, Fed voting member Bostic said that he still expects one interest rate cut this year, but does not rule out 0 or 2. What about the three interest rate cuts? Once again, the expectation of interest rate cuts is brought to a freezing point.

If there is a big correction after the data is released at 8:30 tonight, you can choose to buy the bottom. The extreme pessimism is the release of negative news. If the CPI data is good (the probability is only 30%), there will be a big rise.

Another factor in yesterday's round of decline was that more than 10,000 BTC flowed into the exchange. It will take at least two days to digest before challenging the high again. The bull market has lasted for 5 months, and many coins have increased several times. Although BTC will fluctuate upward, we must lower our expectations, follow the trend, survive in the cracks and fluctuations, and seek the next outbreak point. #财经解读 #BTC

Tuesday Afternoon Analysis:

On Tuesday morning, the price once again tested lower, reaching the key support level of 67454. Subsequently, bullish strength gradually emerged, pushing the price to recover slowly and rebound, with the highest level currently reaching 68900.

From the analysis of the current market situation, Bitcoin's daily chart continues to show a downward trend, now forming a pattern of six consecutive red candles, with the price closing below the middle track. On a smaller time frame, the price continues to exhibit a downward adjustment trend. Although there may be repeated upward tests and pullbacks in the short term, it is ultimately expected to see a significant drop in volume, further expanding the downward space.

Tuesday Afternoon Recommendations:
Bitcoin: 68800-69300 target attention 67500
Ethereum: 2440-2430 target 2350-2300#BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #财经解读 #币圈段子

Last night's forecast went well, students Luodai 800 points #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #财经解读 #财经金融 #币圈段子

Key economic data and events to focus on today: January 10, 2025, Friday

① 14:45 Switzerland December seasonally adjusted unemployment rate
② 15:45 France November industrial production month-on-month
③ 16:00 Switzerland December consumer confidence index
④ 21:30 Canada December employment figures
⑤ 21:30 United States December unemployment rate
⑥ 21:30 United States December seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll
⑦ 21:30 United States December average hourly earnings year-on-year
⑧ 21:30 United States December average hourly earnings month-on-month
⑨ 23:00 United States January preliminary one-year inflation rate
⑩ 23:00 United States January preliminary University of Michigan consumer confidence index
⑪ Next day 02:00 United States total number of oil rigs as of January 10, #财经解读 #币圈

Last night, we provided guidance on the direction of doing Dou, and friends successfully secured 1200 points! #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #币圈段子 #财经解读

Trump signs executive order to establish strategic BTC reserve

On Friday, the White House cryptocurrency chief said that Trump signed an executive order to establish a strategic BTC reserve.

It is reported that the reserve will be funded by bitcoins owned by the federal government, which are confiscated in criminal or civil asset forfeiture proceedings.

But it is worth noting that the government will not purchase additional assets for the reserve in addition to assets acquired through asset forfeiture proceedings. The government will not sell any bitcoin deposited in the reserve. The Secretary of the Treasury and the Secretary of Commerce are authorized to develop budget-neutral strategies to obtain more bitcoins.

Affected by this, Bitcoin continued to fall and once fell below $85,000, and Ethereum once fell to $2,100.
🥇 It is estimated that the US government controls about 200,000 bitcoins, but has never conducted a full audit. In addition, the order also established a US digital asset reserve managed by the Treasury Department to store other confiscated cryptocurrencies.

Many crypto investors who support Trump expressed concerns over the weekend after Trump posted that in addition to Bitcoin and Ethereum, XRP, Solana’s SOL token, and Cardano’s ADA coin would also be part of the strategic cryptocurrency reserve.

“I have nothing against XRP, SOL, or ADA, but I don’t think they are suitable for the strategic reserve,” wrote Bitcoin billionaire Tyler Winklevoss. “There is only one digital asset in the world that meets the reserve criteria, and that is Bitcoin.”

Before the announcement, Castle Island Venture’s Nic Carter said that the U.S. should commit to using only Bitcoin as a reserve would “affirm Bitcoin as an important global asset, on par with gold.”

“The U.S. is clearly the most important country in the world, so their endorsement means a lot to Bitcoin,” Carter said, noting that if the strategic reserve included any other digital currency, it would make it look like another speculative fund.
#币圈暴富 #比特币走势分析 #财经解读

The era of trillion-yuan assets 'registering' has arrived!
The world's first RWA registration platform will be launched on August 7! This means:
1️⃣ A turnaround for small and medium-sized enterprises: Your patents/warehouses/charging piles can now instantly become 'hot commodities' in the eyes of international capital.
2️⃣ Hong Kong's dual ace strategy: RWA platform + stablecoin regulations = the ambition of Web 3.0 as Asia's financial hub!
3️⃣ Beware of false innovation traps: Recognize ISO standards + on-chain traceability, and stay away from 'paper-based wealth creation' scams!

🌏 'Off-chain confirmation, on-chain circulation - the liquidity revolution of silent assets has just begun'

1. Reshaping asset circulation models
◦ Cost reduction and efficiency improvement: The platform establishes RWA coding, metadata, and other standard systems to clarify asset ownership, solve the information asymmetry problem of traditional assets (such as real estate, intellectual property), and reduce transaction costs and risks.
◦ Full life-cycle services: Covering the entire process from digital confirmation of rights, token issuance to financial circulation, promoting efficient financing of non-standard assets (such as new energy power stations, cultural IP).
2. Connecting Eastern and Western capital hubs
◦ Hong Kong's strategic positioning: Leveraging Hong Kong's unique advantage of 'backing the mainland and facing the world', the platform becomes the core channel for mainland enterprises (such as Xiexin Energy's photovoltaic project, Longxin Group's charging pile assets) to connect with international ESG capital, helping the globalization of China's quality assets.
◦ Regulatory collaboration: The 'Stablecoin Regulations', which take effect on the same day as Hong Kong's, form a policy combination to build a regulatory framework that is 'safe and controllable, innovative and orderly', attracting licensed financial institutions to participate.
3. Promoting industry standardization and scaling
◦ Standards first: The Hong Kong Web 3.0 Association, in collaboration with international organizations such as ISO and IEEE, develops technical specifications (such as the 'RWA Identification and Metadata Standards') to lay the groundwork for cross-border asset mutual recognition, addressing the fragmentation pain points of the global RWA market.
◦ Scale explosion: The platform's pre-registration project has started, with the first batch of quality assets to be showcased first, accelerating the process of the '16 trillion USD RWA market by 2030' predicted by Boston Consulting Group.

Financial innovation #财经解读 Blockchain #LargeModel #GlobalDevelopment #投资 #IPO

Recently, a post by Binance founder CZ has attracted widespread attention in the industry. He retweeted a statement from the U.S. Efficiency Department (DOGE) where Musk is involved, regarding the issue of paper checks, and succinctly replied with "Blockchain." This brief interaction, however, contains a significant signal of industry transformation.

According to data disclosed by Musk's efficiency department, in the fiscal year 2024, the United States processed up to 116 million paper checks. However, in the fiscal year 2023, due to issues such as returned checks and expiration, $25 billion in tax refunds were affected. Moreover, maintaining the physical lockbox network for receiving checks is costly, with the cost per check reaching $2.40. If paper checks were eliminated, at least $750 million could be saved annually. These figures clearly demonstrate the drawbacks of the traditional paper check process, which is inefficient, costly, and prone to errors.

CZ's response suggests that blockchain technology may be the key to solving these problems. Blockchain's decentralized and tamper-proof characteristics enable it to simplify payment processes, effectively reduce costs, while ensuring the security and accuracy of transactions. These advantages show great potential in enhancing government financial management efficiency and reducing costs. This event indicates that blockchain is gradually expanding from the cryptocurrency field to traditional finance, government management, and other areas, and is expected to bring profound changes in the future.#财经解读 #币圈

Three consecutive declines in Bitcoin, is there a hidden rebound opportunity under the bearish trend?

In the past three days, the price of Bitcoin has significantly dropped, and the trend is concerning. The price once quickly plunged to around the 91000 level, and a clear descending channel has formed on the K-line chart, with a strong bearish atmosphere in the market.

From the analysis of technical indicators, the MACD indicator on the hourly chart is in the negative zone, with both the DIF line and DEA line diverging downwards. This formation is a typical short-term bearish signal, indicating that bearish forces still dominate in the short term.

Looking at the EMA moving average system, all three lines are showing a downward trend, and the Bitcoin price is situated below all moving averages, further confirming the current overall bearish trend. Following this trend, it seems that the Bitcoin price will continue to decline.

However, the market is always full of variables. The RSI14 indicator on the hourly chart shows a current value of 41.5, which is close to the oversold area. This means that the market's selling sentiment may have been excessively released, and there is some room for a rebound in the Bitcoin price. Once bullish forces gather, it may trigger a round of oversold rebound.

In summary, the main tone for today's Bitcoin operation remains bearish. However, given the oversold situation indicated by the RSI indicator, we need to be vigilant about the risk of a short-term rebound. It is recommended that the ideal entry points for short positions are at the 94000 and 94800 levels, with the first target below focusing on the previous low of 91000. If that level is lost, the further target looks towards the round number of 90000.

When operating, investors must strictly control risk and flexibly adjust strategies according to market changes. #币圈 #数字货币 #财经解读

According to an in-depth report by the authoritative financial media Wu Shuo Information, the Federal Reserve officially disclosed to the public on July 3 the detailed minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting on June 12. This minute not only reveals the complex considerations of the Federal Reserve in the face of the current global economic situation, but also provides us with important clues about the future direction of monetary policy.
The most striking point in the minutes is that as the US inflation rate continues to be high, far exceeding the Fed's long-term target of 2%, Fed officials are generally satisfied with the current wait-and-see stance. They generally believe that there is not enough confidence to start a rate cut cycle before inflation pressure is effectively alleviated, so as not to further increase the risk of price increases. This position reflects the Fed's firm determination and cautious attitude in dealing with inflation challenges.
However, the minutes also reveal subtle differences within the Fed. Some policymakers put forward a thought-provoking view at last month's meeting that they should pay close attention to signs that the labor market may weaken faster than expected. These policymakers are worried that if economic growth cools too quickly, it may have an adverse impact on the job market and thus affect the broader economic stability. This concern reflects the difficult choice the Fed faces in balancing economic growth and inflation control.
In addition, the minutes also clearly pointed out that the vast majority of participants observed that the growth of economic activity seemed to be gradually slowing down. This observation is not only consistent with the current economic data, but also indicates that the Fed may need to flexibly adjust its monetary policy according to changes in the economic situation. Against the backdrop of slowing economic growth, the Fed needs to weigh various factors more carefully to ensure that the formulation of monetary policy can effectively control inflation and support the continued healthy development of the economy.
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #财经解读

SOL is moving exactly as we expected and is now ready for the steepest up leg.
I would not be surprised if SOL hits a new all-time high in August.
Everything is ready, let's go! #经济政策 #财经解读 #比特币大会

Important news notification for Bitcoin!

In view of the recent decline in Bitcoin, it can be basically considered that it is not an ideal hedging tool. The rising unemployment rate has led to people losing their jobs and they have to convert to modern currency, which is still untenable!

In the short term, there are factors such as the possibility of lower interest rates, the possibility of Trump's victory in the election, and the potential impact of the Harris government on cryptocurrency policy reform. The market is keenly evaluating the price of Bitcoin!

A few days before the Federal Reserve meeting on Thursday, Bitcoin fell from nearly $70,000, even if policymakers ultimately kept interest rates unchanged. The cryptocurrency market has already factored in the broader market downturn in advance. The current market has entered a risk-averse phase, and funds are looking for a safe haven. As ETFs and the regulatory environment mature, Bitcoin has become more mainstream in this category, but the volatility of tokens indicates that the signal is unreliable.

Overall, the liquidity of hot money in the market is not enough to support a full bull market, but it may be realized after a certain rate cut! 🚀

#比特币 #加密货币 #财经解读

The newly released US CPI annual rate hit a six-month high, which is bad news. You should consider buying the bottom after it falls.
The US unadjusted CPI annual rate in March was 3.5%, higher than the expected level of 3.4%, the highest level since September 2023! #财经解读 #BTC