美联储会议

The Federal Reserve has seen the "interest rate cut vanguard"! Governor Waller shouts: We must hit the gas in December!

Inflation? It's already been knocked down! Employment? Very stable! In Waller's view, cutting interest rates is not a problem at all right now; the speed even needs to be a bit faster, to quickly return to that "neither hot nor cold" golden interest rate level.

However, the Federal Reserve is not a one-man show; other big shots are feeling anxious: "So urgent, what if inflation makes a comeback?" This drama concerning the global purse is bound to be a "battle of the titans".

But be careful, there might be a "black swan" ahead! If the Supreme Court kicks Trump's tariff policy to the curb, America's trade chess game will be thrown into chaos. This policy "vacuum period" is akin to economic poison; who would dare to invest freely at such a time?

What does it mean for the crypto world?

· In the long term: The faucet is turning, good news! As long as the expectation of rate cuts does not die, the whales' funds are stirring outside.
· In the short term: Get ready for a roller coaster ride! Every word from officials, every piece of data can trigger dramatic tremors.

The future is bright, but the road is bumpy. Keep an eye on the news and fasten your seatbelt! #美联储会议 #加密市场回调

注意！美联储今天要讲话，行情可能大波动#美联储会议

【Market Review · Liquidity Tightening Triggering Systemic Pullback】
In the early hours of today, the overall cryptocurrency market faced downward pressure, primarily driven by global liquidity contraction combined with hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, leading to a typical 'passive pullback' in risk assets.
1️⃣ Fundamental Reason: Intensification of Liquidity Tightening Effects
The U.S. Treasury, during the current phase of liquidity fragility, has still launched a total of $163 billion in 3-month and 6-month Treasury auctions. Such a scale of financing operations significantly withdraws market funds in the short term, tightening liquidity and directly suppressing the valuation space of risk assets.
2️⃣ Inducing Factor: Rising Hawkish Expectations from the Federal Reserve
Hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Goolsbee have lowered the market's probability of a rate cut in December from 69.8% to 67.5%. Although the decline is limited, it sends a clear signal — the tide of easing expectations is receding, and funds are biased toward avoiding risk.
Professional Interpretation by Su:
This round of decline is not due to a technical breakdown but rather a typical liquidity event leading to an emotional release. As long as the fiscal side resumes liquidity injections (e.g., government operations restoring reverse repos and moderately easing), market sentiment will quickly recover.
The market has not ended but has entered a transitional phase of the liquidity cycle.
What do you think about this wave of decline? Is it a real washout or a buildup before a liquidity inflection point?
See you in the comments.
#美联储会议 #流动性 #宏观分析
$BTC $ETH $XRP

The US government shutdown has lasted 33 days and is about to break the record! It's not that there is no money, but is it afraid of the collapse of US debt?

Recently, the US federal government has been shut down for 33 days, and it looks like it will break the 35-day historical record set by Trump. Many people are puzzled: the US prints money so aggressively, how can it still shut down? Is there really no money?

A shutdown is not bankruptcy; it is that Congress has not approved the budget, and the government legally “cannot spend money” as mandated by the Constitution. Without Congressional authorization, not a single cent can be spent. It’s like you have money in your account, but your parent hasn’t signed, so you can’t withdraw it.

The root cause is the deadlock between the two parties: the Republican Party wants to cut welfare, environmental, and immigration spending; the Democratic Party wants to protect these projects. Without budget approval, the government can only shut down. The longest shutdown in history lasted 35 days, affecting 800,000 people without pay, resulting in economic losses exceeding 11 billion, causing suffering for businesses and the public.

However, I see a deeper crisis: US debt has now reached 41 trillion, and it’s just a step away from the “collapse threshold” of 45 trillion as stated by industry insiders. Issuing more debt to borrow money could directly undermine national credit. Therefore, it is better to have a government shutdown and delay data affecting interest rate cuts than to borrow more money.

This also affects us: the Federal Reserve dares not cut interest rates without data, and the US stock market is at a historical high, which may need to adjust. November is critical for the cryptocurrency market; if it can’t hold on, this cycle may end prematurely. Previous analysis showed that the interest rate cut and hike cycle greatly impacts cryptocurrency, and the 4-year pattern may be broken.

The shutdown appears to be a political squabble, but in reality, it is a signal that US debt is on the brink of collapse. A larger crisis may have just begun.

I am Jin Min from the cryptocurrency community. Follow me, and I will teach you how to seize this wave of market opportunities! If you don’t know how to time it right, Jin Min will provide real-time analysis in the community and give the current best entry points.
#美联储会议

Significant historical moments in the world happen around us

In the early morning of the eighth district, the market witnesses history again:
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, continuing to ease for the second month in a row,
but Powell's statement that "a rate cut in December is far from a done deal,"
in an instant brought the market back from celebration to calm—甚至恐慌.
This is not an ordinary interest rate decision,
but a rare performance of "hawkish and dovish" together:
Some advocate keeping interest rates unchanged,
while others demand a direct cut of 50 points.
And Powell's "hawkish knife" after the rate cut,

wakes the market up completely:
"The data is not enough; we must be cautious."
"How will December go? There is a lot of disagreement; don't be too optimistic."
The result?
Expectations for a rate cut in December plummeted from 90% to 65%,
Bitcoin fell in response, nearly 130,000 people were liquidated,
more than $560 million evaporated within 24 hours.
Why did a rate cut lead to a crash instead?
Because the market is not consuming "rate cut dividends,"
but rather the "expectation gap."

A rate cut itself is a good thing, lowering the cost of funds, increasing liquidity,
but Powell extinguished the fantasy of "continuing to inject liquidity."
Liquidity will slowly flow to the crypto market,
DeFi and high-yield protocols will become active again,
but in the short term, volatility is the main theme.

What to watch next?
The economic data after the U.S. government shutdown ends,
whether inflation is manageable,
and the political drama of the Federal Reserve chairman candidate at the end of the year.
If you are still in the market,

remember:
Don't let one or two messages lead the rhythm,
don't let leverage become the straw that breaks your back.
The market is always changing,
but those who live long understand:
To control positions in uncertainty,
to maintain rhythm in volatility.

Or, you can get on the bus with me
#美联储会议

What do you think of such strength?

Behind a person making a lot of money, many others are losing a lot of money.

Several of my new fans lost hundreds of thousands of US dollars playing alone before they found me.

This time, Powell's hawkish remarks triggered immediate turmoil in the financial markets, with significant fluctuations in both traditional financial markets and cryptocurrency markets.

This caused the cryptocurrency market to experience a short-term decline in Bitcoin, with nearly 130,000 people liquidated in the market within the past 24 hours, amounting to about 560 million US dollars.

Are there people around you involved in this?

One tree cannot make a forest; let's get on board together.
#美联储会议

A Brief Discussion on Some Thoughts Regarding This Morning's Interest Rate Meeting. This morning's 25bps moved as expected, which has long been priced in by the market. Chairman Powell's remarks after the meeting were quite interesting, a mix of dovish and hawkish tones. Personally, I believe this reflects Chairman Powell's concern about the market overheating. With QT coming to an end, the market officially enters a loosening cycle. Even if there is no rate cut next month, the market remains dominated by bulls #美联储会议 #鲍威尔发言

Tonight the Federal Reserve will decide on interest rates! Are retail investors in the crypto space going to lay flat or buy the dip? Maple Leaf's exclusive interpretation!


Brothers, at 2 AM tonight, the Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate decision! Currently, the market expects the interest rate ceiling to rise from 4.00% to 4.25%, but the results have not yet been released. What does this have to do with the crypto space? Simply put: if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the US dollar becomes more attractive, and some funds may flow out of Bitcoin and Ethereum; if there is no rate hike or even a rate cut, hot money may flow into the crypto market to make moves!


For example: After the Federal Reserve raised interest rates last March, Bitcoin dropped 10% within a week, but then gradually rebounded. So don’t panic and sell at a loss as soon as you see a rate hike; market reactions can sometimes be “scary in the short term, calm in the long term.”


What should retail investors do? Maple Leaf gives you some tips:


Keep a close eye on the results: If the interest rate is above 4.25%, it’s a short-term bearish signal, and those with heavy positions can reduce their holdings to hedge; if it stays the same or below expectations, consider buying the mainstream coins in batches.


Don’t bet on direction: Some people play contracts by “guessing the interest rate,” and many end up getting liquidated! Retail investors have less capital and are more suited for holding coins and dollar-cost averaging, so don’t blindly follow the crowd.


Focus on the medium to long term: The Federal Reserve’s policy is just one of the indicators; there are also halving cycles and institutional entries in the crypto space that are positive signals. Holding valuable coins is more solid than monitoring interest rates every day.


Maple Leaf's view: No matter what the result is tonight, don’t panic if it drops, and don’t get carried away if it rises! Bull markets often have sharp drops, and bear markets often have rebounds; staying calm is key to profiting from the cycle. Don’t forget, risk control is always more important than dreams of getting rich!


Follow me, @区块链 枫叶 , for timely interpretations of the market. Smart people never miss the opportunity! Today, Maple Leaf will provide the latest strategies based on the data and policies we have in our village, for fans who want to catch up, find Maple Leaf Village, and follow the latest strategies in real-time #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储会议

The Federal Reserve's move has left the market a bit bewildered.

After waiting for a long time for the rate cut to finally happen, Powell's subsequent cold water has left everyone feeling chilled. "Another rate cut in December? Not necessarily" — this statement instantly woke up traders who were in a festive mood, causing U.S. stocks to turn down, the dollar to surge, and Bitcoin to shudder.

What lies ahead is a complex situation: while the rate cut has indeed lowered funding costs, how much more the faucet can be opened in the future has suddenly become an unknown. This dilemma is particularly evident in the cryptocurrency space — enjoying the benefits of the rate cut while also worrying about liquidity expectations being discounted.

A key turning point will have to wait until December. First, the Federal Reserve will stop tapering (ending balance sheet reduction), genuinely providing blood transfusions to the market; next comes the next interest rate meeting, when the government shutdown will end, economic data will become clearer, and the Fed will be able to present a more definite roadmap.

To be honest, this kind of volatility may not be a bad thing. When the market transitions from "celebrating the rate cut" to "seeing value before taking action", it can filter out those mediocre projects. Short-term emotions will always pass, mid-term liquidity is about to improve, and those who can truly navigate through cycles are always the ones with solid value.

A bull market may well need to start from such calm.
$ETH $BTC $币安人生
#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场回调 #美联储会议 #加密市场观察

Boom! The Federal Reserve has a 99% probability of cutting interest rates; your wallet, stocks, and mortgages are about to change!\n\nAt 3 AM Beijing time on October 30, the results of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting will be announced, and the market is already in a frenzy—CME's "FedWatch" data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in October is as high as 99.9%, which is almost a done deal! Is this wave of rate cuts an opportunity or a "trap"? Ordinary people must understand these 3 points!\n\n1. Where should the money in your hands be placed? Pay close attention to these two types of assets\n\n- Gold is likely to continue rising: with the US dollar weakening and expectations of rate cuts, the precious metals market has already entered a strong zone ahead of time. Institutions suggest that low positions can be appropriately arranged to diversify risks.\n\n- The stock market may welcome a "breathing period": If the Federal Reserve's stance leans towards "dovish", further weakening of the US dollar will directly benefit the global stock market, especially the previously suppressed growth sectors. However, be wary of the risk of "good news already priced in", after all, the market has already anticipated it.\n\n2. First-time buyers and home purchasers: good news but don't rush blindly\n\nWith the rate cut period starting, the RMB is likely to maintain a relatively strong position in the short term, and the risk of exchange rate fluctuations has decreased. For families with mortgages, the likelihood of domestic LPR following up is increasing, and the pressure on monthly payments is expected to ease. But remember: real estate policies still prioritize "stability", don't fantasize about a surge due to rate cuts.\n\n3. Key minefield: The Federal Reserve is in turmoil!\n\nDon't think that rate cuts are a unified decision; the Federal Reserve has already split into two factions: one is eager to cut rates to protect jobs, while the other warns of "inflation possibly rebounding". More crucially, this meeting may also announce a halt to "balance sheet reduction", a move that directly affects market liquidity, and a slight misstep could trigger volatility.\n\nFinally, key point: When the results come out at 3 AM, gold, stocks, and exchange rates may all jump! Whether it’s investment or saving, the first thing you must do when you wake up tomorrow is check the announcement, don’t let your money "shrink passively"! $BTC $ETH $BNB \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n#美联储降息预期 #美联储何时降息？ #美联储会议 #美联储利率决议 #美联储利率决议即将公布

The interest rate decision will be announced at 2 o'clock! The showdown with the Federal Reserve!
Today! Right today! Trump won't let Powell increase interest rates, what if! Just afraid of what if the FOMC takes reverse action, then the cryptocurrency market will be in chaos again. However, the known information currently suggests that the probability of a rate cut is close to 100%!

Currently, the market generally expects the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to announce a rate cut of 25 basis points at tonight's second consecutive meeting, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%-4%—according to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of this rate cut is currently as high as 99.9%.
#美联储会议

Tonight at two o'clock, the Federal Reserve's decision: hawkish escape, dovish bottom fishing, never hold a position!

Before the decision, reduce positions in the altcoins, keeping 50% USDT in hand.
Once the decision is announced, if it leans dovish, interest rate cut expectations will rise, immediately chase the price of Bitcoin and Ethereum. If the target high leans hawkish, buy in batches below 62k for Bitcoin and below 3400 for Ethereum during a sharp drop.

Powell's speech, be wary of "verbal swings"! Any contradictory statements may trigger violent fluctuations, chase after breaking key levels, do not make predictions, stop-loss must be set, do not go all in on any direction, and keep bullets ready for secondary fluctuations.

Tonight is either a trap or an opportunity, control your hands to seize the chance!

#美联储会议 #比特币 #交易策略分享 #逃顶抄底 #鲍威尔讲话

Can focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut at 2 AM on October 30th, with high market expectations for rate cuts. Two scenarios, controlling positions to protect capital is key. #美联储会议

#美联储会议 Powell announces the end of quantitative tightening policy on December 1! Positive for risk assets

#美联储会议 The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut in October.

$BTC
Tonight at two o'clock🕑 Powell announces the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and a rate cut is a foregone conclusion; it just depends on how much it will be cut. So, what impact does this have on the crypto market?

While focusing on positive impacts, it is crucial to maintain a clear mind, as the market does not benefit unidirectionally.

Risk of expectation fulfillment: There is an old saying in the market: 'buy on expectations, sell on facts.' If the rate cut is completely in line with or even lower than market expectations, the price of crypto assets may experience a short-term correction due to the good news being fully priced in. The final price movement depends on the gap between actual policy and market expectations.

Macroeconomic uncertainty: The Federal Reserve's rate cuts are sometimes aimed at addressing pressures from economic slowdowns. If future economic data (such as employment and inflation) indicate that the weakness of the economy exceeds expectations, even if the Federal Reserve continues to cut rates, market concerns about economic growth may suppress the performance of risk assets.

Market volatility: Cryptocurrencies are inherently volatile, and before and after significant macro events, price fluctuations often intensify. Investors need to be wary of the risk of liquidation that high-leverage trading may bring during extreme volatility.

In the long term, this is beneficial for the crypto market. How can we retail investors seize the opportunity in this wave of hotspots?
#巨鲸动向 #美联储会议

$美联政策储降息也就是周四的凌晨2:00会公布美联储的联储利率决定，那么这个是在短期之内我们能够得到的1个重要的信息，市场投行预计全球70家投行预计降低25个BP,也就是降息25的概率是98%，早就已经给过了，市场对于美联储降息50个BP.的概率是93%，市场的热度非常高，那么也就是说会分为几种情况，第一，如果市场在周四的凌晨2:0000公布是掉了25个BP,那么行情接下来就不取决于BP的幅度，而是取决于凌晨2:30美联储主席鲍威尔讲话
剧本一 如果鲍威尔的讲话释放以下信号，就是明确的“鸽派”，对市场是大利好:
信号1(前瞻指引）：明确表示“为了支持经济，在未来数月（例如明年3月后）我们可能继续降息”。这等于告诉市场，宽松周期才刚刚开始。
信号2（政策转向）：直接宣布“我们之前的货币紧缩政策已经结束，现在要开始向市场提供支持了”。说直白点，就是要“放水”救市了。
结论：只要他这么说，即使只降息25个基点，市场也会视作重大利好，行情大概率强势上涨。
剧本二：直接降息50个基点
如果美联储超出主流预期，直接宣布降息50个基点。
结论：不用多想，这是跨越式的强力宽松信号，对黄金等资产是极度的“北上”催化剂，行情会直接引爆。
剧本三：降息25基点+鲍威尔“打太极” 这是最磨人的情况。如果鲍威尔说话模棱可#美联储会议