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Trump's nomination of the Federal Reserve Chair is fraught with political calculation and risk:

Deliberately choosing the market's closure time: Trump announced the news after the closing of major global markets on Friday, intending to use the weekend to buffer the market shock. This 'nervous' operation temporarily avoided a stock market crash, but gold prices have already responded by falling 1.27%, exposing concerns about subsequent chain reactions.

Substantial undermining of Powell: Although Powell's term lasts until 2026, announcing a successor nearly a year early directly undermines his policy authority. Market focus shifts to expectations of the new chair, leading Powell to become a 'transitional chair,' severely impacting internal coordination within the Federal Reserve.

Naked intervention in central bank independence: Trump's demand for a '100 basis point rate cut' is pushed forward simultaneously with the nomination of a new chair, with the core demand being to establish a 'compliant' Federal Reserve. St. Louis Fed President Bullard warns that political intervention will undermine the stability of inflation expectations, while former Fed Governor Warsh openly supports the president's right to criticize the central bank, further weakening its independence.

Dilemma of candidate choices: If Trump nominates external loyalists like Warsh, it will confirm political manipulation; if he chooses insiders, it will be difficult to meet aggressive rate cut demands. Regardless of the choice, the credibility of Fed policy will be damaged, potentially triggering a dollar credit crisis.

No way out of policy risk: Compared to previous verbal threats, this formal nomination, if it triggers a market crash, cannot be retracted. The current rise in U.S. stocks is merely a short-term reaction stimulated by rate cut expectations; if future policies waver or internal conflicts become public, global financial markets may face systemic shocks.
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⚖️ ​​The Core Means of Personnel Intervention​​
​​Advance Nomination to Pressure the Current Chairman​​
Trump publicly announced that he would "soon announce the next Federal Reserve Chairman" before Powell's term ended (May 2026) and highly praised the popular candidate, Waller. This move aimed to undermine Powell's authority in advance and force a policy shift towards interest rate cuts. Although Powell stated, "The president cannot fire me," political pressure has substantially interfered with the Federal Reserve's decision-making independence.
​​
Testing the Legal Boundaries: Supreme Court Game​​
The Trump team pushed for the Supreme Court to review the 1935 case (Humphrey’s Executor v. United States), attempting to abolish the president's restrictions on dismissing officials of independent agencies. If successful, the president could dismiss Federal Reserve governors based on policy disagreements, completely undermining the foundation of central bank independence. The Supreme Court is expected to rule on this case in May 2025.

​​Installing "Loyalists" into the Board​​
In June 2025, Michelle Bowman, who advocates for loosening bank regulations, was confirmed by the Senate as the Federal Reserve's Vice Chairman for Supervision. Through personnel changes, Trump gradually controlled key positions, paving the way for future interventions in interest rate decisions.
🎯 ​​Political Motivation: Short-Term Interests and Power Expansion​​

​​Shifting Policy Contradictions​​
Trump's tariff increases raised the risk of economic recession; his demand for "immediate rate cuts of 100 basis points" was actually meant to hedge against the negative effects of tariffs and shift economic contradictions onto the Federal Reserve. If rate cuts were implemented, it could temporarily lower U.S. Treasury bond rates (which had reached an average of 3.36% at the time), alleviating government debt pressure.
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Framing Economic Performance for the Election​​
With the 2026 election approaching, Trump needed to stimulate short-term economic data to gain support. By manipulating the Federal Reserve to maintain ultra-low interest rates, he could create a false sense of prosperity, but this could potentially trigger asset bubbles and inflation rebounds.
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Establishing a “Presidential-Central Bank” Co-Governance Mechanism​​
According to internal documents, Trump allies drafted a proposal requiring the Federal Reserve Chairman to “consult the president before interest rate decisions” and placed Federal Reserve regulations under White House review. This move aimed to turn the president into an “informal member” of the interest rate committee, thoroughly politicizing monetary policy.

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Shocking! Trump is researching whether he can dismiss Powell, and the stock market may explode!

🔥 The White House has just revealed that President Trump is studying the law to confirm whether he can dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Powell! Netizens can't help but laugh: "The president is researching legal articles, not for a bill, but to dismiss the chairman?" This scene is too dramatic!

🎬 This is not just an economic game; it is a Wall Street version of "The President vs. The Federal Reserve":

Who is the true master of the market?

The "Understanding King" with soaring stock prices, against the "Powell" who is combating the interest rate chaos!

🚨 Investors are alert: If you trusted the Federal Reserve in the past, you now have to pay attention to the decisions of the Understanding King!

In this power struggle, the only one unaffected and not playing by the rules is the "Coin" - Conan, who has become the "counter-indicator" hero for the Understanding King, a dark horse that turns the market around!

📈 Solana's astonishing surge, is it really the blessing of the Understanding King?

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Trump angrily confronts Powell: If you don't cut interest rates, will you be replaced? A palace drama-level spectacle emerges in the financial circle!

🔥 Trump lashes out, striking hard with a triple whammy

Mocking Powell: Only knows how to cut interest rates, can't do anything else

Dragging Europe down: If others cut and we don't = losing out

Implicitly pushing for a coup: Inflation is low, the Federal Reserve should be 'smart' now

🎯 Powell remains calm: Don't rush me, I let the data speak

Insists it's still too early to cut rates, subtly criticizing that the tariff policy is the real source of inflation.

But internally, there are already 'backup candidates' aligning with the White House, the independence of the Federal Reserve is in jeopardy.

💣 The market gets ahead of itself, ends up getting slapped in the face

Investors rush to buy U.S. Treasuries, betting on a rate cut next week, only to be met with Powell's cold response: Don't fantasize about me saving the market!

Within two days, U.S. stocks evaporated by 6.6 trillion, and the fear index soared to a new high since the pandemic!

⚔️ The truth is torn apart: Political maneuvering VS Professional bottom line

One treats interest rate cuts as a weapon for votes, while the other steadfastly adheres to data rules,

Who is manipulating the market, who is playing with fire, all has long surpassed the economic realm—this is not a debate over 'whether to cut rates', but a contest of power!

📉 Conclusion: Interest rate cuts are not the antidote, but a more significant anesthetic risk

This financial palace drama has just begun.