市场影响

📢Two major domestic securities firms have spoken out, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in September!

🚀 Galaxy Securities and Founder Securities, two major securities firms, have recently expressed their views on the Fed's interest rate cut trend. It indicates that the Fed's interest rate cut in September is almost a foregone conclusion!

📊 Galaxy Securities analysis pointed out that based on the current economic situation in the United States, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will implement 2 to 3 interest rate cuts in the second half of 2024, with each interest rate cut expected to be 25 basis points, and the cumulative interest rate cut will reach 50 to 75 basis points.

📈 However, Founder Securities believes that according to the guidance of the dot chart, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points this year, and there may be a cumulative interest rate cut of 125 to 150 basis points next year.

💼 Galaxy Securities pointed out that although US consumption is still strong at present, investment is affected by high interest rates, fiscal policy is still expanding, and unemployment is also rising. Therefore, the Fed's interest rate cut can not only ease investment pressure, but also support the economy. Moreover, the US economy is still resilient in the short term, so there is no need to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at one time.

📉 Founder Securities smelled the scent of interest rate cuts from Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. Powell said that the inflation target will be closer and he is confident in the upward inflation target. However, the labor market has cooled down and the downside risks have increased. The Fed does not want to see the labor market cool down further, so it is wise to cut interest rates.

👀 In short, both major brokerages believe that the Fed may cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting in September. Founder Securities also specifically mentioned that the non-agricultural data in August may make the market's expectations for the economy and interest rate cuts clearer.

📈 If these predictions come true, U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index may continue to decline, bringing new trading opportunities to the U.S. stock market and the crypto market.

🔍 So, as retail investors, how should we view these predictions? How will the Fed's interest rate cut decision affect our investment strategy? Leave your thoughts in the comments section and let’s discuss the potential impact of the Fed’s rate cut on the market!

#美联储降息预测 #银河证券 #方正证券 #市场影响 #投资策略

🏛️ In Line with Expectations: The Federal Reserve Confirms a 25 Basis Points Rate Cut in November, and Another 67 Basis Points Expected Next Year!
 
According to the latest news, the Federal Reserve announced on November 7 local time that it would lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%-4.75%. This is the second rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year, in line with market expectations.
 
The decision to cut rates was unanimously passed, with the wording of the policy statement remaining largely unchanged, continuing to emphasize close monitoring of the risks to the dual objectives. However, the phrase "more confident that inflation is sustainably moving toward the target" was removed, and there was no explicit signal regarding future rate cuts, nor any comments on the outcome of the U.S. elections.
 
Following the announcement of this rate cut, the U.S. interest rate futures market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by another 25 basis points in December, and possibly by an additional 67 basis points in 2025.
 
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated at a press conference that inflation expectations remain stable and that the policy stance will gradually shift toward a neutral position over time. Additionally, as rate cuts approach a neutral interest rate, the Federal Reserve may consider adjusting the pace of rate cuts.
 
Powell also emphasized that decisions will continue to be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis and that they are prepared to adjust the pace of rate changes and target assessments accordingly.
 
In summary, the Federal Reserve's assessment of inflation and employment risks shows a balanced stance, which may indicate an increase in uncertainty regarding future economic prospects. This also reflects the Federal Reserve's cautious attitude and its intention to flexibly adjust policies based on actual conditions to achieve inflation and employment goals.

🗣 Views:

The Federal Reserve's rate cuts typically lower the financing costs in capital markets, encourage corporate investment, and promote economic growth. At the same time, rate cuts may lead to a depreciation of the dollar, prompting capital to shift to high-yield markets, positively impacting capital inflows to emerging markets and global liquidity.

However, the sustainability and extent of rate cuts remain uncertain, leading to divergences in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future policies, which may trigger market volatility. Therefore, while investors look forward to returns, they should remain vigilant about market fluctuations, manage risks effectively, and allocate assets wisely.

💬 Are the Federal Reserve's consecutive rate cuts really beneficial for the investment market? What are your views on the current market environment and future investment opportunities?

#美联储降息 #市场影响 #投资策略

Suddenly I can understand why many investors lose money in the bull market.
In a bear market, investors who are already losing money may continue to do so, and even more losses will not bring much change. For investors who should not be trapped, they have already adopted stop-loss and other strategies and maintained relative stability.
However, the situation is completely different in a bull market. The market has given investors hope, and many will quickly add to their positions. When the market pulls back, some investors may be overconfident, operate with full positions, or even use leverage to trade. When the market is volatile but still maintaining an upward trend, investors using leveraged trading may further increase their positions.
However, once the market falls sharply and triggers panic, many investors may choose to rush to stop losses and clear positions. Under such circumstances, when the market bottomed out and gradually recovered, they missed the rising trend, resulting in cutting meat at the bottom of the market and missing the opportunity to rebound.
This phenomenon reminds us that in a bull market, we need to be more rational and cautious to avoid blindly following the trend and excessive leverage transactions. An in-depth understanding of market trends and the development of scientific risk control strategies are the keys to success in the bull market.

#爆仓 #BTC #UMA #市场影响 $UMA $MULTI $OAX

🌐 India releases new consultation document to open a new era of cryptocurrency regulation?

📢 The Indian government has been a bit busy recently. They are preparing to overhaul the cryptocurrency market. According to foreign media reports, they will release a consultation document in the next few weeks and want to hear everyone's opinions.

📖 The document will be drafted by the bigwigs of the Ministry of Economic Affairs and is expected to be unveiled between September and October. The content may include who will be in charge of this matter, how to manage it, when to start managing it, etc.

🌟 Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has previously said that G20 countries all feel that it is necessary to uniformly regulate cryptocurrencies. She emphasized that although global consensus is important, each country still has to set rules according to its own situation.

🚀 India is already preparing. In 2023, they banned some non-compliant crypto platforms, such as Binance. However, as long as they abide by the new rules, there is still a chance to return to the Indian market.

📈 Despite strict regulations, Indians are still very enthusiastic about cryptocurrencies. By 2024, 115 million Indians may have invested in cryptocurrencies, which is a significant number. Young investors are particularly optimistic about this area and think it is a good long-term investment.

🔍 Viewpoint:

Although the Indian government's regulatory actions may cause some market fluctuations in the short term, in the long run, this is the only way for the healthy development of the market. Clear regulations will provide investors with the necessary protection and pave the way for the legalization and popularization of cryptocurrencies.

At the same time, the leading role of young investors cannot be ignored. They are the source of market vitality and will also be the key to the success of regulatory policies. Let us wait and see how India embraces the innovative opportunities brought by cryptocurrencies while ensuring financial stability.

👇 So, what do you think of India's upcoming cryptocurrency regulatory policy? How will it affect the global market? Share your views in the comments section and discuss this important topic with us!

#印度 #加密货币监管 #政策动态 #市场影响

Auntie ahead by a long distance #跟单交易 #市场影响 #ETH #BTC

📉The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations; Powell's hawkish remarks lead to a market decline

In its latest interest rate decision, the Federal Reserve has cut rates by 25 basis points as expected, lowering the federal funds rate target range to 4.25%-4.5%, which aligns with basic market expectations. This is the third consecutive meeting where the Federal Reserve has announced a rate cut, bringing the total rate cut for the year to 100 basis points.

The Federal Reserve mentioned in its statement that recent economic data shows steady growth in economic activity, a easing labor market, rising unemployment rates but still at low levels, and inflation is close to the target but has slightly increased.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) aims for inflation to reach 2%, and to support these goals, the Committee will continue to reduce its balance sheet plan, which has received the support of most members, but Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack (a voting member of the FOMC in 2024) opposed, arguing that interest rates should be maintained at 4.5%-4.75%.

The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates that it expects to cut rates twice in 2025, down from four cuts projected in September, while inflation is expected to reach the 2% target level by 2027, delayed from the previously expected 2026.

This suggests that the Federal Reserve will reassess the magnitude and timing of future rate cuts and will carefully evaluate based on the latest data and changing outlooks and risks.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated in a press conference that the Federal Reserve is not permitted to hold Bitcoin and does not anticipate changes to relevant legal provisions. Following these remarks, the U.S. stock market immediately responded with a decline. By the close of the market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped by 2.58%, the Nasdaq had fallen by 3.56%, and the S&P 500 index decreased by 2.95%.

Additionally, the entire cryptocurrency market was also significantly affected, as data from Coinmarketcap showed that BTC had fallen by 5.71% and Ethereum by 7.27% over the past 24 hours.

This indicates that the market is sensitive to Powell's remarks, and investors are highly attentive to changes in the Federal Reserve's policies and regulatory stance.

#美联储降息 #经济数据 #鲍威尔 #美股下跌 #市场影响

🎙 Live broadcast preview on September 1, 2024 🎙

This Sunday, we will have an in-depth live broadcast at Binance Square to discuss two hot topics:

1️⃣ The current stage and future trends of the bull market: We will reveal the true face of the bull market and predict future trends!

2️⃣ The impact of the Fed's interest rate cut: The real impact of the interest rate cut on the market and its operating strategy are revealed!

🕒 Time: 8 pm on September 1, 2024
📍 Location: Binance Square

#牛市阶段 #未来趋势 #美联储降息 #市场影响

Come and ask questions, we will see you there!

In the field of cryptocurrency, the currency circle is an important part of it, attracting countless investors to join it. However, for novices, there are some basic investment principles and taboos that need to be understood in order to succeed in the cryptocurrency community.
First, choosing a reliable platform is crucial. An excellent trading platform should have the following key elements:
Strong strength background and financial security guarantee can ensure the safety of investors' funds. The simple and intuitive trading interface and smooth operation process make it easy for novices to get started quickly. Reasonable transaction fee settings to avoid unnecessary costs.
Secondly, novices should avoid blindly chasing ups and downs and conducting frequent short-term transactions. In the currency market, prices fluctuate violently, and novices are often easily affected by market sentiment and follow the trend blindly. However, frequent short-term trading not only increases transaction costs, but also increases the risk of losses. Therefore, the key is to maintain a calm mind, analyze market trends carefully, and wait patiently for the right time to enter the market.
Third, we must follow the principle of "buy when no one cares, sell when there is a lot of buzz". In the currency circle, some popular currencies are often overly sought after by the market. When a certain currency is highly publicized and hyped, it is often the stage when bookmakers begin to harvest. Therefore, novices should stay alert, do not blindly follow the trend, and seize the opportunity to clear positions in time.
Finally, be particularly wary of the high risks of contract trading. Contract trading uses leverage to magnify returns, but it also magnifies risks. For newbies, contract trading can be extremely dangerous. Do not attempt contract trading without fully understanding and mastering the relevant risks.
In short, investment in the currency circle is full of challenges and opportunities, but for novices, the key is to follow the above principles and taboos and invest cautiously. At the same time, doing a good job in risk assessment, learning relevant knowledge, and maintaining rational thinking are also important factors for success. Through continuous learning and practice, novices can gradually accumulate experience and achieve success in the currency market.
#市场影响 #MAV #magic $UTK $BTC $ORDI