市场前瞻

👀Next week's market outlook: Trump's tariff policy and Fed dynamics may become the main focus of the investment market

Next week, global investors will face a week full of uncertainty and key economic data. The Trump administration's tariff policy will continue to be the focus of market attention, and its impact on the market cannot be ignored. At the same time, the upcoming US inflation data and speeches by Fed officials will be key factors affecting expectations of interest rate cuts.

In the coming week, the market will pay close attention to the following important events:

· Monday: ECB President Lagarde will participate in the debate on the 2023 annual report.

· Tuesday: The New York Fed will release annual inflation expectations; Cleveland Fed President Hammack discusses the economic outlook; Fed Chairman Powell presents monetary policy at a Senate hearing.

· Wednesday: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech; the United States will release January CPI and core CPI data; Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony to the House Financial Services Committee.

· Thursday: 2027 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on economic outlook; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending February 8; U.S. PPI annual and monthly rates in January.

· Friday: U.S. retail sales monthly rate in January; U.S. industrial output monthly rate in January.

Several Wall Street analysts warned that due to seasonal factors, forecasting CPI data in January is usually more challenging, which may increase market volatility when the data is released.

According to the Cleveland Fed's inflation Nowcasting indicator, the overall CPI is expected to grow by 2.85% year-on-year in January, and the core CPI is expected to grow by 3.13% year-on-year, only slightly slower than the previous month. These data may strengthen the market's expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates stable at the March meeting.

In summary, next week's economic data and official speeches will provide investors with important market guidance, especially in the context of increasing global economic uncertainty. Investors need to remain vigilant and pay close attention to relevant market developments.

💬Finally, what impact do you think these factors will have on the direction of the cryptocurrency market? Leave your insights and predictions in the comments section!

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📊 Hot Spot Preview: The Secret of the US Labor Market Revealed!

Hey, investment experts! 👋 This time we are going to talk about the US labor data, the freshly released June report! Data from last Friday showed that the US labor market increased by 206,000 jobs, 17,000 more than the expected 190,000! What does this mean? The US labor market is still strong! 💪

But don't be happy too quickly, at the same time, the unemployment rate quietly climbed by 0.1%, from 4.0% to 4.1%. Although it's just a little bit, it's also a signal that cannot be ignored!

Although the growth in employment exceeded expectations, the rise in the unemployment rate cannot be ignored, which makes the data present a mixed situation. 🍦

Some people believe that the unemployment rate is the key to the Fed's decision on whether to cut interest rates. If the unemployment rate soars all the way, the Fed will have to come to the brakes and make an emergency interest rate cut. That is to say, if the unemployment rate surges in the next few months, the Fed may hold an emergency meeting at any time to decide the time of interest rate cuts!

The current unemployment rate in the United States is slowly rising, but job opportunities are also increasing, so now a contradictory situation has formed. 😣 Some analysts believe that the Fed may make a big move in August or early September, so whether it starts from September or November, the pace of interest rate cuts is getting closer and closer.

For those friends who have been in the bear market for more than two years, waiting for a few more months will be a piece of cake! 🍪 Moreover, this period of time is just right for you to slightly arrange some cottages and stock up on your favorite assets.

Remember, unemployment rate and interest rate cut expectations are the two vanes of the general environment. It is expected that before the end of this year, the Fed is likely to start a rate cut cycle. Once it starts, it may be a three-year long run of interest rate cuts.

In the next three years, the investment market may usher in spring. 🌸 Therefore, everyone should pay close attention to labor data and the actions of the Federal Reserve, seize the opportunity, and make wise investment arrangements! #劳工数据 #美联储降息 #投资布局 #市场前瞻

📈 The US September non-farm payrolls report will be released tonight, and the market is holding its breath!

The US September non-farm payrolls report is about to be released, and the market expects the unemployment rate to remain at 4.2%, and the number of new jobs is expected to be 140,000.

At 20:30 Beijing time tonight, the US will release the September non-farm payrolls report. Economists generally predict that the unemployment rate will remain at 4.2%, and the number of new jobs is expected to reach 140,000. This report will reveal the latest developments in the US job market and is also an important reference for the Fed's subsequent policies.

It is worth noting that the previous "small non-farm" ADP employment has exceeded expectations, reaching 143,000, which may indicate that the non-farm payrolls data will also bring surprises. The market generally pays attention to this data because it is not only related to the health of the US economy, but also directly affects the Fed's interest rate cut path.

💼 Viewpoint:

If the non-farm data meets or exceeds expectations, this may further consolidate the Fed's expectations of interest rate cuts within the year. On the contrary, if the data is not as expected, the market may re-evaluate the Fed's policy direction and may even increase expectations for a larger interest rate cut.

In short, as a weathervane of the financial market, the non-farm payrolls report has an influence that cannot be underestimated. Let us wait and see how this report will shape the future direction of the market.

💬 How do you think tonight's non-farm data will affect the cryptocurrency market? In the current economic environment, what are your predictions for the Fed's next move? See you in the comments!

#美国非农就业报告 #美联储降息 #经济数据 #市场前瞻