反思
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#反思 #人性 posted a controversial technical analysis post about the daily chart of $DOGE 3 last night, and was immediately questioned, accused, and criticized by everyone.
Because I have just started learning trading, I think it is a good thing to be pointed out for my inadequate analysis and avoid potential losses. Thank you for your corrections!
At the same time, through this post, I gained some new knowledge:
1. At present, I should try to avoid placing orders before posting.
I know that my technology is far from mature, so I posted it to seek recognition and also consulted a friend in the industry. From the conclusion, everyone disagreed with my views at the time, and the market was the same. If I had placed an order to enter the market first, I might have lost another stop loss.
2. Controversial content seems to have a higher transmission speed than correct content.
Compared with my previous posts, this post received 2,000 reads in less than one night. Now I understand the thoughts of those bloggers on social platforms who occasionally post some wrong views. You laugh at him for not understanding XX, and he laughs at you for not understanding traffic.
3. Trends are repeatedly verified, and correct ideas should also be able to withstand verification.
Because I have just started learning trading, I think it is a good thing to be pointed out for my inadequate analysis and avoid potential losses. Thank you for your corrections!
At the same time, through this post, I gained some new knowledge:
1. At present, I should try to avoid placing orders before posting.
I know that my technology is far from mature, so I posted it to seek recognition and also consulted a friend in the industry. From the conclusion, everyone disagreed with my views at the time, and the market was the same. If I had placed an order to enter the market first, I might have lost another stop loss.
2. Controversial content seems to have a higher transmission speed than correct content.
Compared with my previous posts, this post received 2,000 reads in less than one night. Now I understand the thoughts of those bloggers on social platforms who occasionally post some wrong views. You laugh at him for not understanding XX, and he laughs at you for not understanding traffic.
3. Trends are repeatedly verified, and correct ideas should also be able to withstand verification.
$DOGE #价格行为 3 A head and shoulders top pattern appears on the daily chart. The head is composed of a double top descending pattern. The height and trading volume of the right shoulder are significantly lower than the left shoulder. It is currently in a slow decline stage. At the same time, it can also be seen on the 4-hour chart. See many small double top lowering patterns on the right foot.
For left-hand transactions, market entry can be considered, with a stop loss at the top of the right shoulder, the first take-profit level is around 0.1225, and the second take-profit level is around 0.107.
For trading on the right side, you can consider waiting for the market price on the 3-day chart to pull back slightly and test the neckline again before entering the market. The stop loss level can be lowered a little further.
After observing the market for almost two months, my poor trading skills resulted in a loss of almost 20%. The main loss was that I couldn't hold it after I saw it correctly, and the entry position was not good. This time I decided to open the position in small batches to see if it would be better.
For left-hand transactions, market entry can be considered, with a stop loss at the top of the right shoulder, the first take-profit level is around 0.1225, and the second take-profit level is around 0.107.
For trading on the right side, you can consider waiting for the market price on the 3-day chart to pull back slightly and test the neckline again before entering the market. The stop loss level can be lowered a little further.
After observing the market for almost two months, my poor trading skills resulted in a loss of almost 20%. The main loss was that I couldn't hold it after I saw it correctly, and the entry position was not good. This time I decided to open the position in small batches to see if it would be better.
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$DOGE #价格行为 #反思 Just now, three consecutive K lines with long lower shadows appeared near 0.1552, which means that the bulls are accumulating strength, so I opened a long position and set the stop loss at the low point of the lower shadow. As a result, I got an operation that swept the stop loss and immediately rose, which really pissed me off 😂
Reflection: When doing a trend reversal, leave more space for the stop loss +2
Reflection: When doing a trend reversal, leave more space for the stop loss +2
$DOGE #价格行为 After failing to break the bottom of the oscillation range at 0.149 late last night, there was a wave of rapid rise. After two simple callbacks, it turned into a narrow rising channel and broke the bottom of the narrow channel about half an hour ago. Currently, the bears are testing the starting point of the channel at 0.154.
It is usually not recommended to enter the market during the narrow channel. First, the ups and downs change quickly, and the profit margin is relatively small. What needs to be paid attention to is the breakthrough of the narrow channel. However, there is no obvious signal on the charts of more than half an hour, so we still need to wait patiently.
It is usually not recommended to enter the market during the narrow channel. First, the ups and downs change quickly, and the profit margin is relatively small. What needs to be paid attention to is the breakthrough of the narrow channel. However, there is no obvious signal on the charts of more than half an hour, so we still need to wait patiently.
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Reflection on carrying an order
In fact, I have also had 3 blow-ups and lost more than 100,000 yuan. I slowly found my own rhythm and wanted to steadily recover my investment, just like most people. Most people in the cryptocurrency circle should be on the road to recovery, haha. I had been profitable for more than 20 days, and the sudden market made me resist orders for several days. At first, I only wanted to make 50u a day, but later I found that 50u a day was too easy, and gradually became arrogant. I hope that all brothers and sisters will supervise me, and I will keep a small position and proceed steadily in the future. Thank you everyone, if you like it, you can follow it, and occasionally update the singing self-media newcomer
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#反思
When calculating order placement, can we consider one more layer? When there are two target prices, should we calculate one more layer to take the average value again?
Last night's short position at 3397 is regrettable, and I apologize, brothers. Sometimes posting is just to validate some of my own ideas. If any brothers are following the operation, please manage your positions well, and try not to use too high a leverage ratio. My personal habit is 50 times, because I often pull positions by more than 20%.
Last night's short placement at 3397 actually had another point at 3498, which could be the weekly high among possibilities.
If we calculate one more layer, we might actually touch the real top.
Ethereum will go down, I placed a long position below, not mentioning the numbers to avoid disturbing everyone. If it gets filled, I will post it out.
#越来越觉得交易就是有情人行无情事 Emotions must be kept cold 🥶$ETH
When calculating order placement, can we consider one more layer? When there are two target prices, should we calculate one more layer to take the average value again?
Last night's short position at 3397 is regrettable, and I apologize, brothers. Sometimes posting is just to validate some of my own ideas. If any brothers are following the operation, please manage your positions well, and try not to use too high a leverage ratio. My personal habit is 50 times, because I often pull positions by more than 20%.
Last night's short placement at 3397 actually had another point at 3498, which could be the weekly high among possibilities.
If we calculate one more layer, we might actually touch the real top.
Ethereum will go down, I placed a long position below, not mentioning the numbers to avoid disturbing everyone. If it gets filled, I will post it out.
#越来越觉得交易就是有情人行无情事 Emotions must be kept cold 🥶$ETH
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$DOGE #反思 I got up at 6 o'clock this morning and looked at the hourly chart and the 4-hour chart after feeding my baby. Then I found the continuous lower shadow signal in the early morning. I was very excited at that time, so I immediately opened a long position. After catching up on my sleep, I found that the stop loss was hit. I looked at the details on the 15-minute chart when the stop loss was hit. I thought that the stop loss was set too small. The short position tested the previous low again, so I re-entered the market and increased the stop loss.
At that time, I blindly trusted the signals on the hourly chart and ignored the real-time trend of the market price. I didn't notice that the bulls were already weak at more than 7 o'clock. I made a big mistake, which led to the stop loss being hit again. I lost all my income yesterday and lost a lot.
Reflecting on it, the market changes in real time. The signal at that time had already caused a round of upward trend. Blindly chasing the rise without paying attention to the real-time trend is a taboo.
At that time, I blindly trusted the signals on the hourly chart and ignored the real-time trend of the market price. I didn't notice that the bulls were already weak at more than 7 o'clock. I made a big mistake, which led to the stop loss being hit again. I lost all my income yesterday and lost a lot.
Reflecting on it, the market changes in real time. The signal at that time had already caused a round of upward trend. Blindly chasing the rise without paying attention to the real-time trend is a taboo.
$DOGE #价格行为 There was a problem with the prediction that the market price would rise sharply based on the 1-hour chart. At present, the short sellers have taken control of the market and suppressed the market price to a very low position.
The problem occurred in the callback at 7 o'clock. Compared with the previous decline and the rising trend, the trading volume of the rising wave at 7 o'clock was significantly reduced. There was no follow-up force, which caused the high point to fall. Then the short sellers controlled the market and the bulls tried to It failed to defend the previous low of 0.1468, causing the market price to fall further.
The problem occurred in the callback at 7 o'clock. Compared with the previous decline and the rising trend, the trading volume of the rising wave at 7 o'clock was significantly reduced. There was no follow-up force, which caused the high point to fall. Then the short sellers controlled the market and the bulls tried to It failed to defend the previous low of 0.1468, causing the market price to fall further.
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$DOGE #反思 The day before yesterday morning, blind confidence led to a large loss. After calming down and re-analyzing the trend in the afternoon, I made up for a little loss.
Yesterday, the market of the day before yesterday was repeated. Because I was raising my child at the time, I was not sure which stop-profit position I could reach, so I did not dare to enter the market to short. I waited until the trend reversed before entering the market to go long.
In fact, I found that I should have entered the market when the wave of decline yesterday was found. If I am not sure about the stop-profit position, I will move the stop-profit, which is better than nothing.
After entering the market to go long, I originally set a stop-profit at the first recent high point. Later, I felt that I was too unimaginative, so I raised the stop-profit position to the second high point. Facts have proved that I really lack imagination. After a short rest, the bulls rushed directly to the vicinity of the fourth high point.
In general, I have almost recovered the tuition fees paid the day before yesterday.
There have been large fluctuations recently, so I decided to try moving the stop-profit.
Yesterday, the market of the day before yesterday was repeated. Because I was raising my child at the time, I was not sure which stop-profit position I could reach, so I did not dare to enter the market to short. I waited until the trend reversed before entering the market to go long.
In fact, I found that I should have entered the market when the wave of decline yesterday was found. If I am not sure about the stop-profit position, I will move the stop-profit, which is better than nothing.
After entering the market to go long, I originally set a stop-profit at the first recent high point. Later, I felt that I was too unimaginative, so I raised the stop-profit position to the second high point. Facts have proved that I really lack imagination. After a short rest, the bulls rushed directly to the vicinity of the fourth high point.
In general, I have almost recovered the tuition fees paid the day before yesterday.
There have been large fluctuations recently, so I decided to try moving the stop-profit.
$DOGE #价格行为 A double top structure appeared on the 30-minute chart. The volume and closing price of the right shoulder were lower than those of the left shoulder, and the right shoulder itself was also a small double top structure.
It has now fallen below the first and second stop-profit levels.
Since the prices on the left are relatively dense and the recent upward trend is high, I don’t plan to enter the market to short for the time being, and wait and see if there is an opportunity to go long.
It has now fallen below the first and second stop-profit levels.
Since the prices on the left are relatively dense and the recent upward trend is high, I don’t plan to enter the market to short for the time being, and wait and see if there is an opportunity to go long.
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$DOGE #价格行为 #反思 Yesterday, I predicted that the market price would test the recent high of 0.1633, and tried to enter the market at the market price to go long, but due to the problem of entry timing, I lost the stop loss.
Looking back at today's 4-hour chart, I found that the market did retest 0.1633, and the bulls were temporarily unable to break through the high point, but the retest started at around 0 o'clock today.
It means that I can currently make a certain prediction of the trend direction, but the entry timing is still not well grasped, and the entry timing and entry method need to be strengthened.
Looking carefully at today's 2-hour chart, you can see an obvious convergence pattern, and the market price is close to the end of the pattern. You should enter the market cautiously and pay more attention to the breakthrough direction.
If you regard the current pattern as a bear flag, you should pay attention to the breakthrough in the long direction.
PS: At the same time, after connecting the bottom of the interval, you will find that 0.1663 The backtest of the price also started from the bottom of the range. Next time, we can consider looking for entry opportunities from a chart with a higher period.
Looking back at today's 4-hour chart, I found that the market did retest 0.1633, and the bulls were temporarily unable to break through the high point, but the retest started at around 0 o'clock today.
It means that I can currently make a certain prediction of the trend direction, but the entry timing is still not well grasped, and the entry timing and entry method need to be strengthened.
Looking carefully at today's 2-hour chart, you can see an obvious convergence pattern, and the market price is close to the end of the pattern. You should enter the market cautiously and pay more attention to the breakthrough direction.
If you regard the current pattern as a bear flag, you should pay attention to the breakthrough in the long direction.
PS: At the same time, after connecting the bottom of the interval, you will find that 0.1663 The backtest of the price also started from the bottom of the range. Next time, we can consider looking for entry opportunities from a chart with a higher period.
$DOGE #价格行为 4 On the hourly chart, it can be observed that the upward trend has been destroyed, and the previous high has not been broken, and a double top pattern is forming. The latest K line is a cross star with a long upper shadow and almost no lower shadow. Zooming in to the 1-hour chart shows an obvious 3 K line reversal.
From the 15-minute chart, the bulls are currently trying to test the height of the second top of the right shoulder. You can consider entering the market to go long after a strong signal appears on the half-hour chart or hourly chart, with the target around 0.1619, or you can start tracking and taking profits from 0.1618.
If the high point continues to rise, the double top pattern is destroyed, and you can continue to track and take profits.
If the high point fails to rise, it will form a double top, and it may fall below the neckline next, and then wait for the bulls to retest the neckline.
From the 15-minute chart, the bulls are currently trying to test the height of the second top of the right shoulder. You can consider entering the market to go long after a strong signal appears on the half-hour chart or hourly chart, with the target around 0.1619, or you can start tracking and taking profits from 0.1618.
If the high point continues to rise, the double top pattern is destroyed, and you can continue to track and take profits.
If the high point fails to rise, it will form a double top, and it may fall below the neckline next, and then wait for the bulls to retest the neckline.
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