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  • The cryptocurrency market cap rose by 9.9% in April, marking a strong rebound from the previous month—likely supported by the 90-day pause on tariffs. While the temporary suspension (excluding key trade partners such as Canada, Mexico, and China) offered some relief, investor sentiment remains cautious over the long-term implications. Global trade and business confidence continue to lag, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and persistent trade tensions.

  • Bitcoin's dominance has surged to a four-year high of 63%. Amid tight financial conditions and geopolitical uncertainties, Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge against risks could sustain its outperformance over riskier crypto assets. Driven in part by its "digital gold" narrative and adoption as a reserve asset, institutional interest in Bitcoin is evident, with its ETF attracting significantly more inflows than Ethereum's.

  • In April, G4 (U.S., Japan, China, and Europe) M2 is projected to exceed a record US$93T, reflecting ongoing global liquidity expansion driven by central bank policies and fiscal stimulus. G4 M2 growth has historically shown a strong positive correlation with Bitcoin’s market cap (currently a 0.79 rolling coefficient). This liquidity backdrop likely continues to support Bitcoin through increased risk appetite and demand for inflation hedges.

  • Since December 2024, Centralized Finance (CeFi) companies have accounted for an average of 41.42% of all funds raised each month, a sharp increase from 6.07% between April and November 2024, which coincided with a favorable regulatory shift following President Trump's election.

  • The application layer now captures over 70% of total on-chain fees, while protocol (blockchain) fees have declined to just 28.8%. Stablecoin issuers dominate with 47.2% of fees in April, followed by decentralized exchange (DEX) and liquid staking. The shift highlights how value is increasingly accruing at the user-facing layer. Still, without stablecoins, the application layer’s share drops to just 24.0%, pointing to a trend driven by specific use cases.


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