According to Jinshi data reports, CME's 'Fed Watch' indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 81.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 18.6%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 14.8%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 70%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 15.2%.