According to Jinshi data reports, CME's 'Federal Reserve Watch' shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 91.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.3%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 36.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 58.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 5.0%.