According to reports from Jin Shi data, multiple institutions predict that the Federal Reserve will restart interest rate cuts within this year. First Savings Bank expects rate cuts of 25 basis points in September and December. IG Group believes a rate cut of 25 basis points may occur in July.
Insight Investment predicts two rate cuts this year and further cuts next year, with a terminal rate of 3%. The Oxford Economic Institute believes that tensions in the Middle East may lead to an earlier rate cut, but the baseline expectation is for the first cut in December.
Goldman Sachs expects the first rate cut of 25 basis points in December, followed by two more cuts next year. Wells Fargo believes that a weak job market will prompt a rate cut of 75 basis points this year. Dutch International Bank expects a rate cut of 50 basis points in December and three cuts of 25 basis points next year.
French Foreign Trade Bank expects a rate cut of 25 basis points in October and a continued reduction until June next year. Other opinions include HSBC believing that rate cuts should wait for inflation and economic activity to stabilize, and the Federal Reserve's spokesperson indicating that tariff impacts the timing of rate cuts, while Berenberg Bank believes the possibility of rate cuts this year is low.