According to Jinshi data reports, CME's 'Federal Reserve Watch' indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 94.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 5.4%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 73.1%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 25.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.2%.