$ETH ๐๏ธ Date - June 21,2025
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๐ Key Changes
๐ฅ Price crashed to $2,423.16 (-3.76%) โ broke below all key supports and EMA99
๐ฅ New 24h Low: $2,367.36 โ market is now severely bearish
๐ EMA Breakdown:
EMA(7): $2,489.20 โฌ๏ธ
EMA(25): $2,525.00 โฌ๏ธ
EMA(99): $2,373.51 โฌ๏ธ
๐ป Oversold Indicators:
RSI(6): 29.87 โ lowest in months
StochRSI: 2.99 / 5.39 ๐ฑ โ Maximum reversal probability
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๐งฑ Key Levels to Watch
๐ป Support
1. $2,367.36 โ Must hold (24h low)
2. $2,282.72 โ Structural support
3. $2,126.64 โ Equivalent to 2024 low
๐บ Resistance
1. $2,438.79 โ Immediate swing resistance
2. $2,489.20 โ EMA(7)
3. $2,569.00 โ 24h high
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๐ Price Predictions
โณ Short-Term (12โ24h)
๐ฅ 70% chance ETH retests $2,367
Break below โ move to $2,282
Bounce above โ recover to $2,438
โ ๏ธ RSI 29.87 + StochRSI 2.99 = strongest reversal alert
๐ Needs >100k ETH volume confirmation
๐ Medium-Term (3โ7 Days)
๐ฉ Bullish (30%): Hold $2,367 โ range between $2,350โ$2,500
๐ฅ Bearish (70%): Close below $2,367 โ target $2,126
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๐ฏ TRADE PLAN
๐ด SHORT Setup (Breakdown Momentum โ 60% Probability)
Entry Zones:
$2,420 (active zone)
$2,435 (dead cat bounce)
Targets:
$2,367 โ Partial TP
$2,282 โ Final TP
Stop Loss: ๐บ $2,495
RR: ๐งฎ 1:15
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๐ข LONG Setup (Extreme Oversold Play โ 40% Probability)
Entry Zones:
$2,370 (bounce at low)
$2,285 (next major support)
Targets:
$2,423 โ Breakeven area
$2,438 โ Partial TP
$2,489 โ Final TP
Stop Loss: ๐ป $2,360
Confirmation:
StochRSI cross >10 + ๐ Volume >80k ETH
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โ๏ธ Trade Triggers & Invalidation
๐ป SHORT
Trigger: Price < $2,420
Targets: $2,367 โ $2,282
Invalidation: 4h Close > $2,495
๐ผ LONG
Trigger: Bounce at $2,370 + volume spike
Targets: $2,438 โ $2,489
Invalidation: 4h Close < $2,360
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๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
1. ๐ฐ Capital: Max 0.8% per trade
2. โ๏ธ Leverage: Max 3x
3. ๐ Adjustments:
Break < $2,360 โ Cancel longs, go short to $2,282
Break > $2,495 โ Cancel shorts, long to $2,569
4. โ Execution: Confirm with 4h candle close
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๐จ Final Warning
ETH is at maximum oversold since 2022.
๐ Strong reversal potential โ but fragile due to low volume.
๐ Watch BTC correlation + ETH gas fees for institutional signs.
๐ฃ Expect explosive volatility in either direction.
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๐ Trade with discipline. Let price and volume confirm direction.
Take Trade From here ๐
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