$BTC ready to dump! A pump before dump can be witnessed howe | ALISHBA SOZAR on Binance Square

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$BTC ready to dump! A pump before dump can be witnessed however a breakdown must be ahead.

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@SamDada

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🚨 LONG-TERM BITCOIN HOLDERS ARE DUMPING ALL THEIR COINS Why is that crazy? Because they’re the people who usually NEVER SELL. And you can literally see it in this chart. They’re losing confidence in the markets. Let me explain exactly what’s going on right now: – Black line = BTC price – Purple line = Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply – Green/Red bars = the 30-day change in LTH supply (net accumulation vs net distribution) When the bars are green, long-term holders are adding (they’re absorbing supply). When the bars flip red, they’re distributing (they’re dumping coins into the market). Now look at the right side of the chart, it’s not just one red candle, but THREE. That means: the group that normally sits tight is NET SELLING. Why that matters: Long-term holders are defined around the “held for ~155 days” threshold in most on-chain frameworks. After that point, coins statistically become way less likely to move. So when they do move? It’s usually for one of two reasons: 1: Profit-taking (classic late-cycle behavior) 2: Capitulation / fear (when they give up) Either way, it changes the market. Because BTC needs fresh demand to absorb that supply. And if demand isn’t there, price has to drop until someone buys. If long-term holders are distributing, rallies get sold into. That can be healthy in a bullrun but it’s dangerous when liquidity is thin and everyone’s leveraged. As I said before, I expect next year to be bearish, followed by a three-year mega bull run. I successfully called the Bitcoin bottom at $16k three years ago and the top at $126k last October. I’ve been studying macro for the last 22 years and Bitcoin since 2013.

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Is it the most painful chart in finance right now? The "everything rally" is real - unless you're a crypto degen 😑

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I AM NOT F**KING SELLING !!!! coz I’m already down -90%

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$BTC Looking ahead, Q1 is generally a good quarter for Bitcoin. But so was Q4 and that one didn't quite work out this time. No doubt 2025 has been a very messy year. Massive inflows and treasury accumulation which was matched by big OG whales and 4 year cycle selling. Q1 2026 is where Bitcoin has a chance to show whether the 4 year cycle persists or not.

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Same trader, Same strategy! But Different Result... What changed?

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