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$PNUT $AR $SWELL 
PNUTUSDT
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+1.39%
ARBUSDT
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BOJ fears? Carry-Trade Unwind? BS! Just look at the chart JPY/USD First, the simple translation JPYUSD down = yen weak. If there were an active, aggressive carry-trade unwind happening right now, this chart would look nothing like this. What the chart shows Downtrend, not panic: JPYUSD remains below its key moving averages and inside a controlled, grinding structure. No vertical moves, no disorder. No volatility spike: RSI is mid-range, momentum is muted. This is not stress behavior. Price compression: We’re seeing consolidation after a prior selloff, not acceleration lower or sharp reversal higher. No breakout strength: Yen is not ripping higher — which is what you’d expect if capital were urgently rushing back to Japan. What this means for the BOJ / carry-trade narrative If markets were genuinely bracing for: a BOJ shock, a violent carry-trade unwind, or “Japan pulling liquidity from the world” then JPYUSD would already be breaking higher aggressively. It isn’t. That tells us: The BOJ hike is priced Positioning is hedged, not panicked This is watching and waiting, not unwinding Tie this back to the broader tape Now overlay this with what we already know: VIX is low Yields are low Bonds are bid DXY is stable JPY is weak, not surging That macro combination does not support a risk-off cascade or carry-trade implosion thesis. The real takeaway JPYUSD is confirming exactly what the rest of the macro tape has been saying: This is not fear. This is not liquidation. This is not a macro bomb. It’s indifference and compression ahead of a known event. If Friday were truly dangerous, the yen would already be screaming. Instead, it’s whispering. That’s the signal. $ATOM $CYS $IRYS #CPIWatch

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International oil markets showed limited movement on December 19, consolidating near multi-year lows. A U.S. blockade on sanctioned Venezuelan tankers provided brief support earlier in the week. However, abundant supply from rising exports overshadows disruption risks. Demand growth appears subdued in key regions like China and Europe. Forecasts point to persistent surpluses through next year. $RAVE $VVV $FHE

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Spot silver held steady near $65.60 per ounce today, following a slight pullback from mid-week peaks above $66. Tightening global inventories and strong ETF inflows have fueled the 2025 rally. Industrial applications in renewables and data centers remain key drivers of demand. Geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns have boosted safe-haven buying. Many experts forecast silver could test $70-75 in 2026 amid ongoing structural shortages. $FOLKS $JELLYJELLY $F #FederalReserve

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The BRICS group unveiled its new gold-backed "Unit" payment system this month, aimed at facilitating cross-border transactions outside traditional Western networks. Composed partially of gold and a basket of member currencies, it supports trade among expanding partners. Central banks in member nations have ramped up gold purchases to bolster reserves. While not a full common currency, it advances efforts toward financial multipolarity. Analysts view it as a pragmatic step amid geopolitical tensions. $AKT $AKE $LINK #BinanceAlphaAlert

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BOJ Summary: - Rate Decision: Hiked by 25 bps to 0.75%, as expected. - Monetary Policy: Real interest rates are expected to remain significantly low. - Economic Outlook: The economy has recovered moderately, though some weaknesses persist. - Inflation & Wages: Both wages and inflation are likely to continue rising moderately. - Labor Market & Corporate Profits: Labor market conditions remain tight, and corporate profits are expected to stay high overall. $F $RVV $GHST #TrumpTariffs

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