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AsterBoy Crypto Desk

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What if this time is simply not different again?
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AsterBoy Crypto Desk

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$8 TRILLION IN US DEBT WILL MATURE NEXT YEAR. And most people aren't understanding its impact. In 2026, over $8 trillion in US debt (T-bills) will mature. Most people think that it will lead to a massive crash as the US government won't be able to pay its debt, but they are wrong. The U.S. government does not pay off its debt; it rolls it. Most of the debt maturing in 2026 was issued during the 2020-2021 pandemic, which was intentionally short-dated. Bills and 2-3 year notes were issued heavily to fund emergency spending. But calling this a time bomb shows a misunderstanding of sovereign finance. The U.S. is not a company, and U.S. treasuries are not corporate bonds. U.S. Treasuries are: • Global collateral • Reserve assets • Base layer of repo and money markets • Supported by the Fed, which can print as much as it wants This is why there's no scenario where the U.S. cannot refinance its debt. But interest rates are much higher now than in 2020-21, so don't you think it will impact negatively? When debt rolls at higher rates, what follows is: • Higher deficits • More issuance • Pressure to keep real rates low • Political demand for easier financial conditions Historically, this leads to: • Lower real yields • Liquidity support • Gradual currency debasement And this is the most bullish case for risk-on assets. A large debt rollover is not a crash signal; it’s a signal that policymakers will choose growth and liquidity over austerity. And that's exactly why the Fed is already shifting tone now. You don’t start reserve injections unless you’re preparing the system for future Treasury absorption. During this environment, bonds, fixed income, and cash savers are the ones who get hurt the most. While equities, real assets, commodities, and crypto holders benefit the most due to low rates and liquidity injection. This is why I remain bullish in the 2nd half of Q2 2026, as there's no stopping of the "money printing" train. $BTC $ETH $BNB

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Crypto interest is low again. Retail is largely absent from the market. That’s when it gets interesting. $BTC $ETH $BNB

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🚨 BREAKING: BEARS AND BULLS GOT REKT TODAY BY THE MARKET MAKERS! $249,000,000 IN LONGS LIQUIDATED AND $153,000,000 IN SHORTS! $BTC $ETH $BNB

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AI stocks are selling off heavily. Is the AI bubble bursting? $BTC $ETH $BNB

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🚨 BREAKING: MICHAEL SAYLOR SAYS, “GUESS THE ₿ANK.” $BTC $ETH $BNB

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