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XRPUSDT 4H Analysis + Trading Setup

XRP has bounced strongly from 1.8201, breaking above MA7 and now pushing toward MA25. The broader structure is still bearish, but momentum is shifting upward for a short-term recovery.

Trend / MAs:

Price below MA25 (2.0114) and MA99 (2.2376) → macro downtrend still active.

Break above MA7 shows early reversal signs.

Next decision area: 2.01–2.05 zone.

Indicators:

MACD crossing bullish with rising histogram → momentum building.

RSI ~75 → strong but approaching overbought.

Stoch J > 100 → short-term overextension likely.

OBV increasing → buyers stepping back in.

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Key Levels

Support:

1.95

1.88

1.82 (major bottom)

Resistance:

2.01 (MA25 – key breakout)

2.16

2.24 (MA99)

2.57 (major swing high)

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Trading Setups

✅ Bullish Breakout Setup

Entry: Break + 4H close above 2.01

Targets: 2.10 → 2.16 → 2.24

Stop: Below 1.94

Reason: Reclaiming MA25 confirms short-term trend reversal.

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🔄 Pullback Buy Setup

Entry: 1.95–1.98 retest

Targets: 2.04 → 2.10

Stop: Below 1.88

Reason: Buy pullback if resistance rejects first attempt.

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❌ Bearish Continuation Setup

Entry: Break below 1.82

Targets: 1.72 → 1.65

Stop: Above 1.90

Reason: Losing the major bottom resumes the downtrend.

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Summary

XRP is showing a strong relief bounce, but still inside a downtrend. The key breakout level is 2.01. A close above it opens room for a larger recovery, while rejection may bring a retest of 1.95 or even 1.88.