Regarding "Bitcoin Cycle Models", we have one clear differentiator:
Mining no longer matters.
Given that all previous cycles were driven in large part by the cut in mining rewards, i think it is logically incorrect to assume this 4 year cycle will persist.
Sure, the reduction of 450 BTC / day to 225 BTC will have a *minute* impact. But insignificant when ETFs and Treasury Companies are buying 5,000 BTC / day.
I also think running stats on 3 data points is not actionable. We don't know when the top will happen, and it's somewhat useless to try and predict it.
What we do know, is that the Kelly Criterion works and will keep you out of trouble.
It will capture most of the massive power law return. So chill at 70%.
Rebalance.
Enjoy Life.
Regarding "Bitcoin Cycle Models", we have one clear differentiator:
Mining no longer matters.
Given that all previous cycles were driven in large part by the cut in mining rewards, i think it is logically incorrect to assume this 4 year cycle will persist.
Sure, the reduction of 450 BTC / day to 225 BTC will have a *minute* impact. But insignificant when ETFs and Treasury Companies are buying 5,000 BTC / day.
I also think running stats on 3 data points is not actionable. We don't know when the top will happen, and it's somewhat useless to try and predict it.
What we do know, is that the Kelly Criterion works and will keep you out of trouble.
It will capture most of the return. So chill at 70%.
Rebalance.
Enjoy Life.
T Token Soars 18% as Trading Volume Surges Over 369 Million Amid Market Volatility
TUSDT experienced a significant price increase of 18.24% over the past 24 hours, with the current price at 0.01666 USDT and a 24-hour open of 0.01409 USDT on Binance. The price surge is attributed to a sharp rise in trading activity, as evidenced by TUSDT's trading volume surpassing 369 million T on Binance and a 757.57% jump in aggregated trading volume across multiple exchanges, reaching approximately $2.49 million within a 10-minute window. This heightened activity coincided with broader market volatility and was further supported by T’s 27% daily gain, making it a top market performer as highlighted in recent market updates. The overall cryptocurrency market saw increased trading volumes and heightened volatility, with a total market capitalization of $2.09 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $37.87 billion, reflecting a 42.79% increase. Despite a generally neutral-to-bearish sentiment in the wider market, TUSDT’s strong performance appears driven by concentrated investor attention and rapid trading flows.
1st JEWISH COIN RUNNER 💹 IF #jewish #JEW WHALES GET BEHIND THIS , THIS CAN FLIP $TRUMP MC WHICH I THINK DID 40-60BILLION MC
EVEN @realDonaldTrump knows Jews are richer than whole #USA ITSELF
THE LORE OF #J&P6900 IS HUGE PEOPLE DONT UNDERSTAND YET THEY WILL SOON
#BLACKROCK OWNER IS JEWISH , WHAT REALLY PUMPED $BTC TO TRILLIONS , @MustStopMurad is a Jewish u think he won’t support when he knows the crazy Jewish whales have unlimited wealth ! WHAT THEY WANNA SEND THEY CAN WITH THE AMOUNT OF MONEY THATS FLOWN BY THE JEWISH PEOPLE IN THE WORLD , AS WE GO HIGHER NARRATIVE ONLY GETS HIGHER, FLIP #MSFT #NASDAQ SIRR , #BLACKROCK IS THE REASON WHY THERES EVEN STOCK MARKET AND UR TELLING ME IF THE OWNER SEES THIS COIN HE WOULD FADE ? R U SURE 👀😏 EVEN @a1lon9 IS JEWISH , THIS GETS CRAZY BUT I MEAN JUST FOR A SECOND IMAGINE IF SATOSHI BUYS #SOLS JUST TO TRADE THIS COIN THIS CAN FLIP #SPX6900 MC IN JUST A WEEK/MONTH LORE IS WAY TOO BIG HERE !
🚨 ZKJ Token Takes a Nosedive! 📉
⚠️ Massive 87% Drop in 24 Hours ⚠️
As per the latest market update 🗓️ (June 15), the ZKJ token has crashed to just $0.2524, marking a staggering 87% plunge in the last 24 hours
{future}(ZKJUSDT)
📊 Its market cap has shrunk dramatically to $112 million, and the token is still in a free-fall trajectory, showing no signs of recovery yet.
👉 Go & Read my pinned post on profile
🔍 Analysts are closely watching this meltdown, urging investors to remain cautious 🚫 — especially during such high-volatility phases.
💡 Pro Tip: Always diversify and set stop-losses during extreme market turbulence to protect your portfolio! 🛡️
#CryptoCrash #ZKJ
The $INJ Summit speaker lineup is 🔥
Over 20 speakers will be live at the @Injective Summit, coming from diverse backgrounds across finance, Web3, and beyond.
RWAs, tokenization, and the future of DeFi will be major talking points.
Get ready, this summit is going to be big 🧠
https://injective.com/summit2025/form
The Price of a Bitcoin on Father's Day 👨🍼
2025: $105,713
2024: $66,110
2023: $26,492
2022: $19,701
2021: $36,889
2020: $9,389
2019: $9,167
2018: $6,484
2017: $2,569
2016: $752
2015: $246
2014: $609
2013: $105
2012: $6
2011: $16
2010: $0.01
2009: $0
I used to spread my capital over 50-100 $alts and hope to catch some unicorns.
While the upside is massive, the amount of capital you poor down the drain is as well.
This run is different, since we did not have an altseason for so long, there is absolutely no need to take this amount of risk.
🔺A concentrated $AVAX position isn’t risky — it’s calculated
🔺$AVAX is ~90% down from ATH but fundamentals are better than ever
▪️ Rising validator count
▪️ L1s like Beam, Gunzilla, Arena launching
▪️ Token burn accelerating = deflation in motion
🔺 Unique roadmap — AVAX will soon enable permissionless L1s (Game changer)
▪️ $AVAX is Not scaling apps — its scaling entire chains
▪️ Every L1 = more demand for AVAX + more burn
▪️ 10 altcoins won’t outperform 1 narrative that hits
▪️ You gain exposure to the entire modular chain trend via one token
🔺 It’s not just a bet on @avax — it’s a bet on the next internet of chains
“Many 'crypto cards' rely on off-chain systems to manage balances or authorize payments, often adding friction, latency, or trust assumptions. This one’s different.
With @immersve and @PeraAlgoWallet, authorization and balance tracking happen fully on-chain, with instant finality and no delegated custody.”