Last Friday, US Spot #Bitcoin ETFs just recorded one of the largest net positive flows YTD - 7,869 $BTC - marking the biggest daily inflow since April 29. The 7-day SMA is also trending higher, signaling a sustained uptick in institutional demand: https://glassno.de/3So5zJg
There is a notable cluster of investor cost basis levels around $2,800 for $ETH. As price approaches this zone, sell-side pressure may increase as many previously underwater holders may look to de-risk near breakeven.
More than 420K $BTC now have a cost basis around the $94K level, forming one of the strongest support zones in the current cycle. This dense cluster of accumulation has held firm through consolidation in early May - providing the launchpad for #Bitcoinās breakout to new highs.
Despite $BTC trading above $108K with 100% of supply in profit, funding rates remain muted - below neutral at 0.0079%. Across the top 10 coins, speculative appetite is surprisingly subdued as well. Only $XRP and $DOGE show rates slightly above neutral: https://glassno.de/3MVJAGP
In May, $ETH broke above its Realized Price at $1.9K, putting the average holder back in profit. Price is now above the True Market Mean ($2.4K), a bullish sign - but reclaiming the Active Realized Price at $2.9K remains key for further confidence: https://glassno.de/4mv8IEP
When $BTC hit all-time high yesterday, total profit-taking volume was around $1.00B - less than half the amount realized when #Bitcoin first crossed $100K last December, which hit $2.10B. Despite a higher price, profit realization was far more muted.
At yesterday's $BTC ATH, total spent volume in profit hit $1.31B - only half of what we saw when #Bitcoin first crossed the $100K mark last December, where profit realization peaked at $2.56B. Despite the higher price, profit-taking was much lighter this time around.
#Bitcoinās Realized Cap is nearing $1T - its next major milestone. It took just 2 years to go from $1M to $1B (2011ā2013), but nearly 6 years to move from $100B to $1T. As $BTC matures, growth slows and each leap requires exponentially more capital.
$BTC MVRV helps us gauge investor confidence by comparing #Bitcoinās current price to the average cost basis of holders. When MVRV rises, it means holders are sitting on more unrealized profit - boosting confidence and reducing sell pressure: https://glassno.de/45ltwbM
#Ethereumās Pectra upgrade hasnāt translated into a spike in network engagement just yet. Since the upgrade, the average new and resurrected addresses are down in comparison to YTD values (ā1.8% and ā8.4% respectively) - but churn is notably lower as well (ā8.5%).
Since the #Pectra upgrade, #ETHās Realized Cap - representing the total capital stored in the asset - has surged from $240.8B (May 7) to $244.6B (May 19). That's a +$3.8B (+1.6%) rise, reversing a 3-month downtrend since early February.
Since the #Pectra upgrade, #ETHās Realized Cap - a metric representing the total capital stored in the asset - has surged from $240.8B (May 7) to $244.6B (May 19). That's a +$3.8B (+1.6%) rise, reversing a 3-month downtrend since Feb.
Accumulation is now visible across nearly the entire wallet spectrum. Even <1 $BTC holders have flipped from distribution to light accumulation (~0.55), joining larger cohorts like 100ā1K (~0.9) and 1Kā10K #BTC (~0.85). Only 1ā10 #BTC remain net sellers.
#BTC's price surge stalled just below $106.6K - a level with 31K $BTC held at that cost basis. This supply cluster originated on Dec 16 and remains unshaken. Holders havenāt redistributed, nor averaged down - making $106.6K an important level to watch in the short term.
#Bitcoin's short-term correlation to gold has dropped to -0.54 over the past 30 days - the lowest since February. Meanwhile, 90D and 365D correlations remain positive at 0.39 and 0.60, respectively.
#Bitcoin is testing key resistance at $93Kā$95K, breaking its downtrend and forming a higher high. On-chain and technical signals show a market at a turning point. Can the rally hold? Read the full analysis in the latest Week On-Chain: https://glassno.de/44cpjXq