Aster has been moving in a quiet range even as the wider market stays soft. The token fell more than five percent but the mood in the community stayed strong. Most people still expect a move up and many votes on major platforms show a high level of hope. Aster also moved back over the one dollar mark but the price is still stuck in a sideways zone. The early hype around the project has cooled down and the market is waiting for the next clear sign.
A key question now is if Aster can push up by thirty percent in December and reach near one point five zero again. When we look at the four hour chart the price has been moving in a tight range for more than a week. This came after a strong run that pushed the token near one point four zero. The sideways swings show that holders are slowly building positions again. The On Balance Volume line is also copying a move seen in early November and that move later led to a break higher. Aster is now trying to do the same thing.
The market is watching the down line that has been holding the price under pressure. For a strong run this line needs to break just like the sideways block that broke on the fourteenth of November. The chart also shows a soft sign of strength. The MACD bars are light green which means buyers are trying to come back but they do not have full control yet. This leaves a chance for a thirty percent rise but it is not certain.
On chain numbers are also mixed. Daily volume grew around ten percent which shows that traders are still active. Aster also held a higher trading volume than some other new coins in the same space. That shows relative strength for Aster even though it launched later. Still many signs on the chain are weak. Trading activity on the exchange has fallen from the levels seen in September and October. Fees on the network also dropped heavy and reached around one point one eight million for the day. The locked value on the chain fell from about two point four eight billion to one point three two billion which is a big cut. All these changes show pressure on the chain and make a strong run harder.
Another risk is the unlock planned for December. A large number of tokens will enter the supply and this can bring selling pressure. About three point eight nine percent of the whole supply will unlock which is about seventy eight million tokens. More than half of the supply is still locked and a small part does not have a fixed unlock time. Even with that the December unlock can slow down any rise if holders start to sell.
In simple words Aster has a chance to grow by thirty percent if the chart breaks the down line and buyers take control. The chain data and the unlock are heavy risks and can block the move. The market is mixed so the next days will decide if Aster can push up or stay in the same range.
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