the fact that $SOL is up 7% and bouncing the hardest is pr | BullishBanter on Binance Square

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the fact that $SOL is up 7%
and bouncing the hardest
is proof that everything is unfolding exactly how i expected.
patience.
$SOL 
SOLUSDT
Perp
138.6
-1.91%

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#Altcoins What do you think will happen when $ETH breaks out of this falling wedge? Right, Altcoins will fly. The pain will soon be over.

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Bitcoin overview. Read until the end. BTC Daily MA200 Analysis Across 4 Bitcoin Cycles (End of Cycle: Q4 correction Vs Q1 Retest) 🟢 2013–2014 Cycle: - Once price closed under MA200, it triggered a deep 71% correction. - After finding the bottom, BTC made a 94% relief rally back toward the MA200 but failed to reclaim it. - Conclusion: MA200 acted as heavy resistance during the entire bear phase. 🟢2017–2018 Cycle: - Similar structure: BTC lost MA200 after the top. - This breakdown caused a 67% decline over 109 days. - BTC did a 54% relief rally, but again could not reclaim the MA200. - Result: Multi-month accumulation under MA200 before a new bull cycle. -Conclusion: MA200 = Bear Market Roof in this cycle. 🟢 2021–2022 Cycle - BTC fell below MA200 after the mid-cycle top. - Breakdown led to a 52% drop. - BTC bounced 44%, touched the MA200, but failed to flip it. - Price continued grinding lower for months. - Conclusion: MA200 rejection = continuation of bear market. 🟢2025–2026 Cycle (Current Projection) - BTC has again broken below MA200 after a big run. - So far, the correction is -28%, in line with previous cycles. If BTC repeats history: - A relief rally toward MA200 is likely. - Failure to reclaim MA200 could trigger multi-month sideways/lower price action. - A clean reclaim of MA200 would signal a new bullish phase. 🟢 Simple Summary In every Bitcoin cycle: - Losing MA200 at the end of bull cycle (Q4) starts the bear phase. -Relief rally back to MA200 = normal, but failure to reclaim MA200 = extended bear market / accumulation zone. - Reclaiming and holding above MA200 = new bull cycle begins. Remember this structure is valid if you believe in a 4-year cycle, but if the 4-year cycle theory is dead, we will see a new structure in the Bitcoin chart in 2026. If the bear cycle is going to start, the market will give a retest rally at any time in the next 6 months as per all the last 3 cycles. If it repeats Q1/2018, we can see a 3x-5x jump in alts from here.

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November close is in 11 days. Bitcoin... Red -> continuation. Green -> new ATH

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Japan may have triggered a bigger problem than the August 2024 crash, and crypto felt it first. Here’s what’s happening: Japan’s 10-year bond yield went above 1.7%, the highest since 2008. For years, Japan kept rates near 0%, so Japanese banks and funds invested a lot of money in U.S. and global bonds. Now with higher rates at home, holding U.S. bonds loses money for them. They pull money back to Japan. What happens next: Less money in U.S. bonds → yields rise → borrowing becomes more expensive → financial stress rises. Risky assets like crypto feel this first. Short-term for crypto: Higher volatility is normal. Bitcoin and altcoins may go down temporarily. Medium to long-term: Central banks may slow tightening or start easing. Liquidity returns → risk-on assets recover. Bitcoin usually recovers first because it reacts to liquidity, not earnings. In short: Crypto may fall now, but it usually recovers first when liquidity returns.

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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 President Trump just said interest rates are too high. THIS COULD MEAN MORE CUTS ARE ON THE WAY If he’s hinting like that, markets are definitely going to start guessing a big rate cut coming

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