Sợ hãi thế này thì đáy lắm rồi, mà tiền đâu bắt đáy thì khôn | Anh_ba_Cong on Binance Square

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Sợ hãi thế này thì đáy lắm rồi, mà tiền đâu bắt đáy thì không ai nói 
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Circle Mints Another $500M USDC: Is $15B New Capital Fuelling the Rally? Circle has executed another large-scale minting operation, adding 500 million USDC to the stablecoin supply. Critically, this recent mint pushes the total USDC issued by Circle to $15 billion since the significant market volatility observed around October 11th. The continuous, massive expansion of the stablecoin supply is a powerful indicator of latent buying demand. Stablecoins are primarily minted to be deployed into the crypto ecosystem for trading or yield generation. The injection of $15 billion in new, highly liquid capital since the October market bottom suggests significant fiat on-ramping and provides the necessary liquidity foundation to sustain the current market rally. This pattern implies that institutional or large whale entities are continuously positioning themselves for further upward movement. $USDC

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BTC Supply Squeeze: Exchange Balances Hit Cycle Low, Signaling Reduced Selling Pressure The total Bitcoin balance held on exchanges has reached a new low for the current cycle, falling to just 2.936 million BTC. This critical metric indicates that a significant amount of BTC is being moved to cold storage (on-chain reserves) rather than being deposited onto exchanges for potential sale. The last time exchange balances were this low was on December 17, 2022, following the FTX collapse, which triggered a centralized withdrawal action due to market distrust in CEXs. The BTC balance on Binance specifically provides a useful short-term price signal. Since the beginning of 2024, there have been four distinct periods of rapid balance increase, each corresponding to a weakening BTC price trend. The Binance BTC balance directly correlates with the strength of immediate selling pressure in the market. The recent sustained decline in this balance, as observed currently, provides a necessary precondition for a market rebound. A deeper look at the data reveals a compelling divergence in investor behavior. Large entities (whales holding >$1M and >$10M USD in BTC) are consistently withdrawing coins to self-custody (on-chain). Conversely, retail investors (holding <$100K USD) are net depositing BTC onto exchanges. This aligns with recent observations of major whale entities beginning to accumulate. This pattern is highly reminiscent of the consistent outflows observed from major entities during the July-August 2021 period. In contrast, the period of January-March 2022 showed divergence, with entities >$1M withdrawing but entities >$10M depositing. Given that both on-chain and exchange selling pressure are simultaneously weakening, and demand is slowing its rate of decline, conditions for a price rebound are established. Therefore, I personally believe the current BTC rebound, initiated from the $80,000 support level, has more room to run, though its sustained momentum will depend on changes in investor sentiment and risk appetite. $BTC

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The Stablecoin Chain Paradox: Why Tether’s ‘Heir’ Stumbled Post-TGE The recent Token Generation Event (TGE) of Stable, the stablecoin-centric public chain often dubbed Tether’s “heir,” offers a cautionary study on launching a high-profile project during periods of severely constrained market liquidity. Despite its high expectations, the project has faced challenges that have resulted in underwhelming performance compared to peers like Plasma. Stable launched with an inflated Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of $1.88 billion. However, its derivatives market activity remains thin, with total Open Interest (OI) across all platforms standing at only $37.23 million. Crucially, on Hyperliquid—a key exchange for competitors like XPL—Stable’s OI is marginal, at just $2.4 million. This lack of deep trading interest, combined with significantly diminished social media buzz and reported reductions in airdrop value, highlights a structural deficit. The weak TGE performance underscores that high FDV and strong backing are insufficient to drive momentum when fundamental liquidity is absent, leading to disappointment in both price action and market visibility. $STABLE

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$38M Whale Long Fights $14.6M Loss on Plummeting HYPE A massive, highly speculative position is currently dominating market focus as a whale, suspected of possessing insider information regarding the HYPE listing, maintains a substantial leveraged long. The trade is under severe duress, with HYPE reaching its lowest price point since May 21st, 2025, challenging the conviction of this prominent speculator. The whale holds a leveraged 5x long position valued at $38 million, consisting of approximately 1.38 million HYPE tokens. Their average entry price stands at $38.67, placing the position deep into an unrealized loss of over $14.6 million. Despite the significant drawdown, the trade remains active, though its liquidation price of $22.16 is rapidly approaching. This extreme risk exposure—maintained even as the token price shows a continuous descent—suggests either unwavering conviction in a sudden turnaround or a strategic maneuver by a major market participant with unique information regarding future liquidity events. $HYPE

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Ethereum's Final Frontier: The Open Gas Initiative and the End of Transaction Fees ETHGas has launched the Open Gas Initiative (OGI), a strategic endeavor aimed at permanently eliminating gas fees from the user experience, transforming Ethereum into a real-time, gasless economy. This initiative addresses the cumulative $30.3 billion users have spent on gas fees, positioning gas costs as a potential driver for ecosystem growth rather than a systemic burden. OGI’s core mechanism, the Gasless Flywheel, allows protocols to directly fund gas fees for users without requiring complex code integration. This framework is designed to boost user retention, incentivize high-value activities like staking and asset deposits, and ultimately make Web3 transactions as seamless as Web2. The Flywheel comprises four steps: Attraction, Incentive (protocols fund priority tasks), Reward (users receive monthly gas fee refunds), and Iteration (users share benefits, increasing awareness). Initially, refunds are issued in ETH, with plans to include the protocols’ native tokens, potentially creating deflationary pressure through market buybacks. ETHGas views this as a fundamental shift, moving gas cost abstraction to a core feature of blockchain adoption. Early OGI partners include prominent DeFi and restaking protocols like EigenLayer, Ether.fi, Pendle, and Velvet Capital. Their participation focuses on subsidizing specific actions—such as asset deposits or LP positions—to reward loyalty. Looking forward, ETHGas outlines a three-phase roadmap, culminating in full automation (Phase 3) where gas is entirely removed from the user flow, potentially integrating new standards like EIP-7702 to achieve a truly gasless Ethereum experience. $ETH

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