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👀👀👉CoinGlass reports $1 billion in liquidations driving the crypto market’s price decline. Buy the dip?
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👀👀👉The odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December 2025 have surged to around 71-81%, a significant increase from below 33% just last week. This rise in rate cut probability follows dovish comments from Fed officials. The data from CME's FedWatch tool reflects a jump in market expectations for a 25 basis point cut in December, with probabilities reported around 71%, and some estimates even higher, close to 81%. This shift occurred after market concerns about inflation easing and labor market softness became more pronounced, leading traders to price in a high chance of a December rate reduction. This marks a sharp reversal from earlier in the month when the odds were much lower, around 30%-40%, and reflects increased expectations for the Federal Open Market Committee's December meeting to ease policy to a more neutral stance. #FOMC
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👀🚀🔥👉 US Stock Market The Nasdaq Composite jumped over 2.6% as stocks rallied to start the Thanksgiving week of November 2025. This strong rally in the tech-heavy Nasdaq followed a volatile period for the market, especially in the tech sector, which had been facing valuation concerns and macroeconomic headwinds. Concurrently, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) tumbled by about 12%, reflecting reduced market uncertainty and investor anxiety as the market rebounded. The overall stock market saw gains with investors encouraged by hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December and rotation into sectors like biotechnology and retail. The market was also poised for a shortened trading week due to the Thanksgiving holiday with some expectations of upbeat action despite recent volatility. Will the crypto market follow? #BTCRebound90kNext?
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👀👀👉Federal Reserve Revises Industrial Production Data: Implications for December FOMC Rate Cut The Federal Reserve recently revised its indexes of industrial production, capacity, and utilization using updated benchmark data, reflecting more accurate measures through August 2025. These revisions show slower manufacturing output growth, slightly reduced capacity expansion, and lower capacity utilization than previously estimated. Manufacturing output is now understood to have declined over the recent five-year period, with capacity utilization in August 2025 registering at 75.6%, well below the long-run average. Such data revisions reveal a more subdued industrial sector performance amid ongoing economic shifts. This revised industrial data holds significance for the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) policy decisions, especially regarding potential interest rate cuts in the December 2025 meeting. The softer output and capacity utilization figures suggest less economic overheating in manufacturing, reducing inflationary pressures and thus supporting the case for a more accommodative stance. While the FOMC evaluates a broad range of economic indicators, the downward revisions to industrial production strengthen the argument for caution on raising rates further and plausibly favor a rate cut to balance growth and inflation concerns. In summary, the annual benchmark revisions by the Federal Reserve provide a more nuanced picture of the U.S. industrial economy, highlighting challenges that could influence the FOMC toward easing monetary policy soon. Market participants and policymakers will closely monitor this data as part of the comprehensive economic assessment guiding the December rate decision. The revised figures underscore the complexity of post-pandemic recovery and signal that the Federal Reserve may lean toward supporting growth with a rate cut at its next meeting. #RateCutExpectations
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🚨🚨Key Events to Watch This Week: Earnings Reports🚨🚨 This week is packed with earnings from PC/enterprise tech, software/SaaS, U.S. retailers, industrials, food, and China EVs. 👉Big tech / software Dell Technologies and HP Inc. are key reads on PC, enterprise hardware, and AI‑related infrastructure demand; markets will focus on AI server exposure, PC pricing, and any commentary on corporate IT budgets. 👉Alibaba, Zoom Video Communications, Workday , Autodesk, Zscaler , and Analog Devices tie into China consumer/cloud (BABA), collaboration and enterprise software (ZM, WDAY, ADSK, ZS), and semis (ADI), so watch cloud growth, RPO/backlog, AI‑related demand, and margin guidance. 👉Retail and consumer Best Buy, Guess , Kohl’s , Burlington Stores , Dick’s Sporting Goods , Abercrombie & Fitch , and Urban Outfitters will give a cross‑section of U.S. consumer health just as holiday season starts, including traffic trends, promotions, and inventory levels. 👉Industrials, food, and China EVs. Deere & Company is a bellwether for agricultural and construction equipment. Nio and Li Auto are key for China EV risk sentiment; deliveries, gross margin trajectory, and guidance versus intense price competition in China will be the main focus. #TrumpTariffs
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🚨🚨Key Events to Watch This Week: Economic Data🚨🚨 Key events this week include several important economic data releases amid the Thanksgiving holiday. 👉On Tuesday, the U.S. will release Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data and Retail Sales figures. Retail sales are expected to show a moderate increase around 0.4%, continuing the trend of resilient consumer spending despite inflation concerns and anxieties about job security. 👉Wednesday features several more economic reports: Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders, and Core PCE inflation data. These indicators will provide further insight into the health of the labor market, manufacturing activity, and inflation trends respectively. 👉Thursday is the Thanksgiving holiday with market closures observed. 👉Friday is Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days in the U.S., with a record 186.9 million shoppers expected during the Thanksgiving weekend period and holiday retail sales anticipated to surpass $1 trillion for the first time this season. #USJobsData
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