🗣 Key Points from #JeromePowell Speech:

➣ Current data suggest that the outlook for employment and inflation has changed little since the September meeting.

➣ Overall economic projections remain largely unchanged.

➣ Before the government shutdown, data indicated the economy might have been shifting to a more stable growth path.

➣ The shutdown is expected to weigh on economic activity while it lasts, but the effect should fade once it ends.

❗Powell estimates that both headline and core PCE inflation increased by 2.8%.

➣ Data show that both layoffs and hiring remain at low levels.

➣ Labor demand has clearly weakened.

➣ The baseline scenario assumes the impact of tariffs on inflation will be short-term.

❗There were notable differences of opinion among #FOMC‬⁩ members regarding future actions.

❗A rate cut in December is far from guaranteed.

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