#FOMC‬⁩

FOMC Meeting Underway – Decision Drops Tomorrow Night!The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kicked off its two-day meeting today, October 28, 2025. It’s closed-door — no live stream, no drama. The real action comes tomorrow, October 29:
2:00 PM ET (11:00 PM PST) → Rate Decision Announcement2:30 PM ET (11:30 AM PST, Oct 30) → Jerome Powell’s Press Conference (LIVE)
Watch Live: Federal Reserve YouTube
What’s the Rate Decision? (99% Locked)
Current Fed Funds Rate: 4.00% – 4.25%Expected Move: 25 basis points (0.25%) cutNew Target Range: 3.75% – 4.00%CME FedWatch Probability: 97.8% for 25 bps cutReuters Economist Poll: 115 out of 117 predict 25 bps cut
This will be the second rate cut of 2025 (first was in September). Why?
Inflation is nearing 2% targetLabor market showing slight cooling (unemployment up to 4.1%)Fed wants a soft landing, not a crash
How Will Crypto React? (BTC, ETH, Alts)
Crypto hates uncertainty — and FOMC days are pure volatility fuel.
Current Market Snapshot (Oct 28, 5:30 PM PST)
$BTC : $114,800 (-1.8%) – Holding $114K support;
Fear & Greed = 25 (Extreme Fear)
$ETH : $4,110 (-3.2%) – Testing $4,000 psychological level
Total Market Cap: $3.86T (-1.5%) – Pre-FOMC caution mode 3 Possible Scenarios & Crypto Playbook
Dovish 25 bps Cut + Soft Powell (85% chance)
Crypto Reaction: Pump → Dip → Rally
Your Move: Buy the post-announcement dip (BTC $110K–$112K)Cut as Expected, but Cautious Tone (12% chance)
Crypto Reaction: Sell the news – 5–8% drop
Your Move: Wait 24–48 hrs, DCA on panicSurprise Hold or Hawkish (<3% chance)
Crypto Reaction: Crash mode – 10%+ drop
Your Move: Stay in cash, buy at $105K–$107K
Historical Pattern: September 2025 cut → BTC +10% in 7 days after initial 6.5% dip.
Classic “Buy the rumor, sell the news” — but the real rally starts 1–3 days later.
Should You Buy Crypto Right Now?
NO — Not Yet (Smart Money Waits)Pre-FOMC dip is normal — markets are pricing in the cut already
Volatility spikes at announcement — even a “good” cut can trigger profit-taking
X (Twitter) Sentiment: 70%+ traders saying “Wait for the dip”
Pro Tip: Set buy alerts at:
BTC: $112,000 | $110,000 | $107,000
ETH: $4,000 | $3,850 Best Strategy (Sipe-Approved)
Wait for 11:00 PM PST tomorrowRead the statement — look for words like “ongoing easing” or “data-dependent”Watch Powell’s tone — confident = bullish, worried = cautiousBuy in tranches on any sharp dip post-newsDCA over 48 hours — don’t FOMO at the top
Final Verdict
FOMC Cut = Bullish for Crypto (Long Term)
But Timing is Everything Don’t buy now. Wait for the news, survive the chop, then strike on weakness.
Target Post-FOMC:
BTC: $120K–$125K by mid-November
ETH: $4,500–$4,800