Brothers, the recent sharp plunge of #Bitcoin has made the market emotional again โ some shout โthe bull market is over,โ while others stubbornly hold onto โit will always rise.โ โ Both are extreme views.
๐ Iโve been closely monitoring key indicators like AHR999 and MA200, and my judgment remains unchanged:
๐ This large cycle is expected to peak between $128,000 โ $150,000 by the end of the year.
Letโs break it down ๐
๐ Macro Perspective:
1๏ธโฃ The Federal Reserveโs rate cuts by the end of the year are basically confirmed โ this is strong liquidity support for BTC.
2๏ธโฃ After Trumpโs return, political uncertainty has dropped. ๐ When confidence returns, risk appetite rises.
๐ Market Signal:
A โsharp drop with quick recoveryโ is not a bear signal. SOPR turning negative shows panic selling, not high-profit taking.
๐งฑ The short-term holder cost is around $113,000, forming a strong support zone. Unless this level breaks, itโs more like a washout than the end of the bull.
๐ง But Beware the Peak Trap:
BTC will not rise forever. After the peak, big players and leveraged institutions like MSTR will gradually sell off. Once confidence cracks, ETF investors may follow โ triggering a real downturn. ๐
โ ๏ธ Looking Ahead:
Liquidity today is hot, but next year, inflation risks, tariffs, and geopolitics may return. Once liquidity tightens, BTC will face a long adjustment period.
๐ก Final Thought: The end of this year is the key window. Donโt get trapped by greed or fear. Understand the cycle, not just the hype.
๐ Follow me @ๆๆๆฃไบบ to stay ahead of the game.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAlertX #bullmarket #BฤฐNANCESQUARE #cryptotrading #MarketCycles ๐ฅ๐๐๐
